Dr Cat

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Dr Cat

Dr Cat

@DoctorCatX

Ichimoku TA on $BTC | PhD in Semiotics

Earth Katılım Mayıs 2021
7 Takip Edilen13.9K Takipçiler
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
📚Ichimoku Theory - Free Learning Material Below is the full list of the 17 educational threads I've posted on Ichimoku Theory. If they don't contain the entire Theory they probably contain more than 90% of it. I think that it's fair to say that it's impossible to find in written English this information for free. The amount of characters in all threads are approximately 100,825. One standard page is 1800 characters so this is ~56 pages of pure text. But, in reality books are often issued with bigger line spaces so they fit less than 1800 characters per page. If we account for that and all graphs, videos and images, I think that the page number can go up to 75-100. This is an entire book for you - here, for free. Enjoy it, but don't forget to share it. You got it for free, share it for free. If you like it but you don't feel like sharing it you can still pray for the sinful soul of Doctor Cat. Threads index 👇 1. The Ichimoku TA system x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 2. Tenkan Sen x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 3. Kijun Sen x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 4. Real and fake TK crosses x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 5. SSA x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 6. SSB x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 7. Kumo x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 8. Chiko Span x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 9. Sanyaku Signals x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 10. Forecast lines x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 11. Trend and range x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 12. Key levels for visit and reversal x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 13. Bull and bear traps x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 14. Time Theory x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 15. Wave Theory x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 16. Price Theory x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… 17. Kyushu Ashi x.com/DoctorCatX/sta…
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
$TRX Tron - Update 🐂❓The daily chart has now flipped bullish but the price is yet to break from the P wave. 💣If the price breaks out after such a long consolidation with decreasing volatility, volatility explodes. In this case, looking at the 3W timeframe, you can get the idea that if a bullish expansion follows, because of CS, on an open basis the 20th of April could be above $0.45 and on a close basis the 10th of May could be above $0.45. 👀Deribit's OTM option calls for the 24th of April provide around 1:80 R:R for this bet which is an exceptional opportunity. ❓In the same time, it's still early to tell whether the final breakout will be successfull or not because CS is still below the candles on the weekly and there is not any volume increase on the daily breakout making it look suspicious. 🫴However, if you look at CS on the 3D chart you will see how the candle opening on the 1st of April is likely to close above $0.321 which if happens means that the price will have broken from the P wave as the level of the trendline is lower at this date. 🗓️Now looking at the weekly, you can see that you can't get a bullish TK cross before the 1st of April and that there is still gap between CS and the past price so the decision for a real breakout is likely to be taken after the 31st of March and above $0.32. For some reason I can't post more than one chart on this tweet probably some temporary Twitter bug so I can't show the 3D and 1W but you should be able to see it. ⚖️For these reasons I think that the current chance for this to play out is around 35%. ➕With 80X odds I couldn't pass on that even if it's more likely to lose so I bought some here. If the 2D/P wave breakout confirms preferably with volume I may buy more. If the 1st of April is around $0.32 the options price most likely will not be higher due to the theta decay but you never know if a monster candle won't close directy the breakout much higher. ⚠️Keep in mind that altcoin options are extremely illiquid and if your target is hit before expiration most of the time you can't take profit when you strike is already deeply ITM. For this reason if you want to take profit you need to do other things such buying an ATM put, hedging with futures, or selling some of your initial OTM call when it hits ATM before your final target for a lower profit.
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Dr Cat@DoctorCatX

$TRX Tron - Update Seven months later, this is the strongest chart in crypto - unless someone can find a stronger one - but I am yet to find. The only one which is bullish on the monthly both against $BTC and $USD and one of the very few which are not bearish on the weekly. The $USD pair is manifesting rather resilience on dumps than expansion on pumps and you see how a P wave is being built on the monhtly timeframe. As volatility is compressing, IF Tron still holds the Kijun Sen support by summer by when Bitcoin might have bottomed, the low volatility may be finally released with a big move to the upside when the P wave breaks. Obviously, this is just an idea for future observation and confirmation.

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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
@luck_flows Sorry I assumed your comment was about $SPX... For $BTC the current expectation is just that a fresh low should come after March.
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
Welcome sir, happy to hear it's helpful. The next logical step is the area between 5918 and ~6250 but it depends on how quickly the price dump as the next main arrea of support is moving and these numbers are not static. Here is also support but provided all the breakouts after long consolidation which is still assumed as distribution, it would be surprising to hold so the most likely is further dump.
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
$BTC Bitcoin There was no need for an update because everything was covered weeks ago in the quoted tweet but as some people keep asking maybe I need to break it down: 1⃣ I explained why the best window of opportunity to attack 79K was until the 15th of March and that since the 16th of March $74,434 starts to act as a powerful resistance making it more difficult. As a result, bulls missed the best opportunity to attack 79K and because they attacked after the 15th, so far the price only managed to wick above $74,434 and is rejecting. 79K is now less likely to come than by the 15th of March - and this statement was made on the 1st of March. 2⃣ That's why I said in the comments, even though that should have been crystal clear from the post, that I expect a bearish reversal latest around 79K: x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… and in the post I made it clear that it should be time-wise no later than the 29th of March. I also said at the lows that if a weekly pump is to happen it should happen when bearish war news come out: x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… The pump came right after the news, and so far the price rejected no higher than 79K and no later than the 29th of March. As everything is going as expected (so far) I see no reason to update. If I update what should I say.... "I told you so"? Since I got some health issues in November I'm working on my spirit in a sense that I've decided to mature and try not clout chase on Twitter so I don't want to update in this case. I don't understand why people are asking for an update when everything is happening as projected. If I'm wrong or my opinion changes there is a reason for update and I might update if I feel so, otherwise there is nothing to update. Now IF the price doesn't completely break down from here directly to new yearly lows, and there is another exit pump before that (which is still hard to tell), I think that if the price manages to go to at or above the weekly Tenkan Sen this would be a short-lived opportunity for bears. This week that's $76,781, next week it is $75,184. Of course, patient and conservative bears may wait for 79K+ but they risk to miss the opportunity. There is just one thing to add since the last post: Based on the time cycles on the 3M timeframe the macro bottom is not in and should come after March.
Dr Cat tweet media
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX

$BTC Bitcoin - Update To be more specific, the 2W resistance is $79,466.5 - $81,138 between the 2nd of March and the 15th of March and $74,434 between the 16th and 29th of March. And the weekly resistance is $78,934.5 until the 15th of March. In the same time, the window for the next weekly high is until the 29th of March. So if a pump to around 79K happens from here it should be faded by the 29th of March, even though the most obvious period for that would be by the 15th of March. In the same time, based on Kyushu Ashi on the 2M, April should close above $70,202. If the macro bottom is in the price should probably establish a wide range for a few months before a weekly reversal. If the macro bottom is not in, the price will probably go much lower than most people expect, i.e. 20-30s and should not bottom at 45K which is the most crowded target. But that's just a sentiment-based guess and there is no need to predict anything.

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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
$SPX Unless today closes above 6799.94, this is the second step of a Sanyaku Gyakuten, you can learn more about it in the quoted tweet. Conservatieve bears wait for the kumo breakout confirmation with a significant risk:reward trade-off. Aggressive bears start to enter on the 1st or 2nd step depending on how aggressive they are. Usually the 1st step is too risky but the second is the sweet-spot a lot of the time. Keep in mind that this is just general talk about the Sanyaku entries for educational purposes. In this specific case, bears had an optimal entry significantly higher as it was clear by the volume patterns that the daily chart was most likely distributing even before its first breakout as explained here: x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… Full explaination on how to read volume to help you potentially identify distribution, accumulation and trend strength/reversals, you can find here: x.com/DoctorCatX/sta…
Dr Cat tweet media
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX

Sanyaku signals [Ichimoku Thread #9] 🧵👇

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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
@CryptoCoiness Thanks madam. I hope soon to be able to travel again as before.
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Maryam
Maryam@CryptoCoiness·
@DoctorCatX Thank you Dr, I thoroughly enjoy any update you give as there is always something I can take away of learning from it. I hope your health and spirit is much better.
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Phil
Phil@Silvousple·
@DoctorCatX Thanks. I do see a macro bottom at the beginning of April, news related
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Crypto9Wolves🐺
Crypto9Wolves🐺@GoFa44121074·
@DoctorCatX Mava hčerko ja... Ampak tagalog malo ... Ker žena totalno govori slovensko,prekmurski
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
$XRP Ripple - Update On the $BTC pair: On the 2M timeframe, if February closes between 2040 and 2088 the price should continue to range for around 1-2 more years because of the CS tracing: x.com/DoctorCatX/sta… unless the CS tracing is prematurelly interrupted - which is not the default expectation. To the upside it may get interrupted by a bull breakout around November/December 2026 and September/October 2027. But as this is a 2M scale here +- 1 candle time inaccuracy can mean a lot so keep that in mind, these are rather rough estimations. The most important support 2040 is perfectly held on all high timeframes which is very impressive provided that most altcoins are in bear markets both against $BTC and $USD. If 2040 is lost on the monthly, this might be the first hint for a potential bearish breakout and interruption of the CS tracing to the downside. However, in this case the situation needs to be reevaluated because it depends entirely on the time of this event, if it happens at all. I.e. if that happens it would not automatically bearish but it would be a big warning sign whose consequences depend on its timing. On the $USD pair: As already posted at Sunday's close, the weekly chart has flipped bearish and the minimum target is the 2M SSA at $1.392. If that is lost: $0.917 (the high at CS on the 2M) - $1.04 (monthly SSB). Overal, the $USD pair looks progressivelly bad as $BTCUSD does. However, currently the $BTC pair doesn't look bad and it is still holding the most important level. As the chance for $BTC to visit 65K in 2026 is over 70% now, it's important to monitor at what price level $XRPBBTC would be at the time. If it is still holding 2040 satoshi that would be very impressive and would keep $XRPUSD above $1.3.
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Dr Cat@DoctorCatX

$XRP / $BTC Ripple / Bitcoin Based on the 2M chart I expect the next monster leg up to start no earlier than 2026. Because the logical time for CS to get free above the candles is Jan/Feb 2026 on an open basis and March 2026 on a close basis, respectively. As you see, the price needs to hold 2442 so that CS is both above the candles and Tenkan Sen. If that happens, solely looking at the 2M timeframe the logical thing is to attack the next resistance at ~7K. But there is one more thing to keep an eye on till then: the weekly chart. Which, if doesn't renew the yearly high by November/December will get a bearish kumo twist. Which still may not be the end of the world but still deserves attention. So one more evaluation is needed at late 2025 I guess. Otherwise on highest timeframes everything still looks excellent and points to 7K-12K in 2026, until further notice.

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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
@GoFa44121074 Ne, sploh ne govorim. Če mate otroke, oni kjeri jezik govorijio?
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Crypto9Wolves🐺
Crypto9Wolves🐺@GoFa44121074·
@DoctorCatX Seveda... Jaz ne,samo nekaj besed, ker je tam angleščina tudi IN in sva se pol v začetku sporazumevala angleški,sedaj pa prekmurski 😀 Vi govorite tagalog?
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Crypto9Wolves🐺
Crypto9Wolves🐺@GoFa44121074·
@DoctorCatX Ja lahko zakaj pa ne... Moja žena je filipinka in se je naučila prekmurščine perfektno. Lahko vas ona uči ali jaz ali oba 😀
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
@GoFa44121074 Hvala. A lah dobim kaki pouk iz Prekmurščine če bas obiščem?
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Crypto9Wolves🐺
Crypto9Wolves🐺@GoFa44121074·
@DoctorCatX Vljudno vabljeni v naš Prekmurski raj,naravo,gozd,mir,zdravo hrano. Da si opomorete od stresnih mest in vrveža. Kjer vsak dan gledamo srne,zajce,lisice... Želim vam zdravja! 🐺🙏
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Dr Cat
Dr Cat@DoctorCatX·
@ilay_vp The first cycle was 14 and since it both Taito and Kihon Suchi has been relevant sir...
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ilay (aka VP)
ilay (aka VP)@ilay_vp·
Thanks for the update, Doc. I hope you’re recovering well! Regarding the 3M time cycles, the 3-month Kihon Suchi wasn't relevant for both 2013 and 2017 after cycle top correction phases (Bitcoin’s first and second cycles). While I also believe the bottom isn't in yet, we would need to sweep the February low to confirm the monthly count, otherwise the Feb is valid low for now per monthly chart
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Orthocurrency
Orthocurrency@orthocurrency·
@DoctorCatX It’s just because we are slow 😂. It’s funny people were asking for an update, because I found myself thinking I wished you’d say something since the price was starting to pump a little
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