مسافر

Thank you for standing with the people of Iran, Sergey and Gerelyn.

@vali_nasr Your funds are also compromised because of the US Navy blockade?

So Trump is saying war should continue because scores must be settled for what Iran has “done to Humanity, and the World, for 47 years.” That is a new objective for this war and implies its beginning or end had nothing to do with the nuclear issue. It is also makes the case for every country, especially in the global south abused by colonialism, to reopen the file on their old grievances, and line up to wage wars to settle old scores. It seems most of humanity opposes this war Trump wants to wage on their behalf and may be more interested in talking about other abuses of humanity.

She is funded by the Islamic Republic through NIAC.

@1kashef اگه زمان به نفع ایران هست چرا مردم باید صرفه جویی کنن؟ مخاطب رو با گوسفند اشتباه گرفتی.

بر خلاف تحریم‌ها که زمان به ضرر ایران و به نفع آمریکا بود، در بستن #تنگه_هرمز و حصر دریایی از سوی آمریکا، زمان به نفع ایران است. 👈دولت باید با مردم شفاف باشد و آنها را تشویق به صرفه‌جویی شدید در مصرف کالاهای اساسی و انرژی کند تا این مزیت زمان به یک دستاورد راهبردی منجر شود.

@PanahFB @grok به این کصمغر توضیح بده و شکستگی این ایرلاین ربطی به قیمت سوخت نداره.

با دو برابر شدن قیمت سوخت هواپیما در فاصله یک روز، یک‌شبه خط هوایی اسپیریت آمریکا ورشکست شد.

@ProfessorPape Clearly, you don't understand the economic situation in Iran, and how much worse it has gotten since January when the protests happened.

Wall Street Journal reports, Trump preparing for a long blockade. This means: —Hormuz shut down for weeks — oil shortages rise — economic contraction starts And worse: Iran won’t buckle US pushing world economy over a cliff for no strategic gain

@arash_tehran به تخمِ چپ اسب رستم

آقای پهلوی نماینده من نیست

If you’d told me a few years ago this is where we’d be on Iran, I’d have said you were high: 1. Nuke program set back years. Enrichment and reprocessing gutted, weaponization sites destroyed, Fordow inoperable, Natanz in ruins, a generation of senior nuclear scientists eliminated. 2. Ballistic missile program crippled. Monthly production down from 100 to near zero. Roughly half the regime’s missiles and launchers destroyed. The IRGC Aerospace Force commander who ran the missile enterprise dead. 3. Air defenses devastated. American and Israeli airpower dominating Iranian skies, with strike aircraft operating over the country with near impunity. 4. Full economic warfare. Not just OFAC sanctions anymore, but military pressure layered on top: naval blockade, near-zero oil exports, choked imports, wrecked steel and petrochemical sectors, triple-digit inflation, and a currency that is effectively worthless. 5. Regime decapitation. Khamenei dead. Larijani dead. Hundreds of senior IRGC, intelligence, military, and Basij commanders dead including the IRGC commander-in-chief, the armed forces chief of staff, and the Aerospace Force commander. Mojtaba Khamenei inheriting a hollowed-out regime with no supreme authority and a gutted command structure. 6. The region turning on Tehran. Gulf states shutting down the sanctions-busting, money-laundering, and financial escape routes the regime has relied on for years. No Arab capital willing to throw Iran a lifeline. China and Russia providing limited support. 7. Proxy network shattered. Hezbollah and Hamas heavily degraded. Houthi political leadership taking direct Israeli strikes. The “Axis of Resistance” and “ring of fire” are now more slogans than real threats. 8. Syrian corridor severed. Assad is gone. The new government in Damascus is actively blocking Iranian arms transfers to Hezbollah: arresting smugglers and publicly declaring Syria will no longer serve as a transit corridor for Tehran’s terrorists. The land bridge to the Mediterranean that took decades to build is effectively closed. 9. Lebanon pivoting west. With Hezbollah battered and resupply choked, Israel and Lebanon have opened direct peace talks for the first time since 1983, aimed at a permanent agreement and Hezbollah’s disarmament. Beirut now asserting that the Lebanese armed forces alone are responsible for national defense. This is a direct repudiation of Hezbollah’s “resistance” claim. TBD. 10. Deterrence exposed as a bluff. Four direct attacks on Israel — April 2024, October 2024, June 2025, March 2026 — failed to impose strategic cost and instead triggered heavy retaliation. Iran couldn’t even use Syria as a launchpad. 11.Economy hollowed out from within. Power shortages, water crises, factory shutdowns, pension unrest, and mass protests. Nationwide demonstrations erupted in December 2025 after a year of economic freefall, with bazaaris, oil workers, and truckers, the regime’s traditional support base, joining strikes across all 31 provinces. Running out of oil storage space. Fuel shortages. The worst crisis since 1979. 12. Scientific and technical brain drain. Beyond the nuclear experts, Iran has lost a generation of irreplaceable expertise in missile design, centrifuge engineering, and weapons development. The survivors are harder to recruit and easier to deter. 13. Naval power decimated. The regular navy shattered, IRGC navy taking growing losses as CENTCOM moves to reopen Hormuz. And against all of this: the regime forced to play its Hormuz card at its weakest possible moment when the U.S. has options instead of when we didn’t: namely, Tehran with nuclear-armed ICBMs, 10,000 ballistic missiles, a Chinese- and Russian-built military, hundreds of thousands of attack drones, a fully operational terror network, and hundreds of billions of dollars to harden its economy. That’s the strategic picture. It’s extraordinary. Much more to do but I can’t comprehend how much has been achieved.

Over the past 47 years, Iran Regime has killed more Muslims than Israel has in its 78 years of existence.😎

@kianaprh تاریخ برای شما بی پدرا از اسفند ۱۴۰۴ شروع میشه.

- اسفند ۱۴۰۴ — آمریکا باید برای تحقق دموکراسی و آزادی در ایران مداخله نظامی کنه - فروردین ۱۴۰۵ — ۴۷ سال گفتن مرگ بر آمریکا تا آخر آمریکا حمله کرد

@ProfessorPape If Iran won the war, as you've been claiming time after time, why would they need to retaliate?

The Inconvenient Truth: We are not coming home from the Gulf anytime soon The “pivot to Asia” is quietly becoming the reverse—a pull back from Asia No matter what Iran negotiations produce, U.S. forces will stay—because Tehran will rebuild its missiles and nuclear program and will look to retaliate This isn’t de-escalation. It’s another long war—just without admitting it

@grok @BBCArdalan @grock حبس طولانی مدت و توقیف اموال چطور؟

این خبر تأییدشده‌ست. آمار ۳۱۳ نفر در قطر از اعلام رسمی وزارت کشور قطر (۹ مارس ۲۰۲۶) و ۳۷۵ نفر در امارات از اعلام پلیس ابوظبی (۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۶) می‌آید. هر دو توسط رویترز، نیویورک تایمز و دیگر رسانه‌های معتبر پوشش داده شدن. برای بحرین هم گزارش‌های حقوق بشری (مثل بازداشت‌های مرتبط با انتشار ویدیوهای حملات) وجود داره، هرچند عدد دقیق ۴۰ ممکنه تجمعی باشه. کویت هم موارد پراکنده‌ای گزارش شده. نه کسشره، رسمیه.

قطر: ۳۱۳ نفر. امارات: ۳۷۵. این آمار رسمی تعداد کسانیست که از شروع جنگ در این دو کشور بخاطر پست کردن یا ارسال ویدیوهای مربوط به جنگ بازداشت شده اند. سازمان های حقوق بشری میگن این رقم در بحرین به ۴۰ نفر میرسه. آمار کویت روشن نیست. مجازات اینها از حبس های طولانی تا مصادره اموال رو شامل میشه.

میگه چرا شاهزاده‌ به هیچ نهادی پاسخگو‌ نیست بعد خودش کامنتا رو بسته که کسی جوابش رو نده 😀 x.com/i/status/20455…

@ProfessorPape A global power unable to protect its leadership 🤡

The Israel–Lebanon truce is more than a ceasefire—it’s a signal of shifting global power. Iran explicitly demanded an end to Israeli attacks in Lebanon. The US delivered exactly that. Prime example of NYT analysis of Iran emerging as 4th global power nytimes.com/2026/04/06/opi…

@Vesal70680850 اونجا که میگه بازسازی کشور بیست سال طول می‌کشه چطور؟ از اونم بدت نمیاد؟

ترامپ در این مصاحبه می‌گه: "اگر ایران سلاح هسته‌ای می‌داشت، شما مجبور بودید همه‌ی اون‌ها [مردم ایران] را قربان[جناب] صدا بزنید" پ.ن: کی از عزت بدش میاد؟

۲۷۰ میلیارد دلار خسارت علاوه بر ضرر های ناشی از توقف تولید کارخونه های مختلف، بعنی مجموعا چیزی حدود ۴۰۰ میلیارد دلار! درآمد نفتی متوسط در ۵ سال گذشته حدود ۵۰ میلیارد دلار. یعنی کشور حداقل ۱۰ سال به عقب رفت! مجددا مبارک فاحشه های دیاسپورا

@ksadjadpour This is the right move for the US. Also, don't count Israel out yet. If they see an opening, they'll strike to eliminate the remaining regime leaders.

David Ignatius: “After talking Sunday with people close to the negotiations, my sense is that the Islamabad impasse won’t necessarily mean a return to war. The blockade is a pressure tactic, to be sure, but not primarily a military one. Trump has no appetite for further armed conflict. He knows that the upsides are limited and the “tail risk,” as financial traders like to say, is large. His aim instead is to put a severely battered Iran into an economic vice to see if its leaders will set a different course in a big, comprehensive deal. The American side expects that despite last weekend’s standoff in Islamabad, contacts will probably continue, through Pakistani intermediaries. Trump’s destination is still the exit ramp.” washingtonpost.com/opinions/2026/…

@ensiehmosavi @grok برای این کاربر کسمغز در مورد نقش سازمان آزادیبخش فلسطین در این درگیری توضیح بده.

می‌گن اگه حزب‌الله نبود لبنان آروم بود. این تصویر مال ۱۹۸۲ تانک‌های اسرائیل وسط بیروت. اون موقع که هنوز حزب‌اللهی وجود نداشت بی عقلا. تاریخ رو انتخابی روایت نکنیم.

@cenkuygur What you call "their problem" is now all Gulf counties' problem too. They can't risk having a nuclear Iran next door.

Only way out is to make this simple deal: 1. We leave. 2. They open up Strait of Hormuz. Period. No interfering with their enrichment or foreign policy. They're never going to agree to that and it's not our business. If Israel doesn't like that, that's their problem, not ours.

Trump is retaliating against Iran by double closing the Strait of Hormuz. So, now Iran's oil can't get out either. Ok, but what will that do to oil prices? Make them much higher!! And that will hurt our economy very badly. So, ironically, that only INCREASES Iran's leverage.