Doug Orth

Anyone who knows me and my matchup analysis process will understand why I will almost certainly pass on Brian Thomas Jr. this season. From Weeks 2-8, BTJ will likely see primary coverage from Surtain, C. Gonzalez, DJ Turner, Quinyon Mitchell, Stingley and Sauce Gardner.

@3intboy Amen. It's amazing how often I feel like I pay "the Doug tax."

@DougOrth Doug. It’s delusion, not illusion…. I can get nothing done in leagues without being the donkey.

A little dynasty advice for those who partake: If you want to get trades done on a regular basis, you have to give up the illusion that your 24-man roster has 18 players who are worth a first-round rookie pick and six more you don't want but others will give you a first for.

@FFStalder If it applies to my guy, it applies! If it doesn't apply to my guy, LUCK!

People won’t draft Parker Washington because his last 4 games were too small of a sample. But… will draft Luther Burden!

I'm sure @rotobuzzguy and @CoopAFiasco are happy this weekend ... I'm listening to yacht rock while doing projections right now.

@dwainmcfarland I've acquired three shares of Godwin in dynasty at reasonable prices. I don't think he quite outperforms Egbuka in fantasy production, but I also would not bet against it.

142 drafts down. Some olds I am drafting often: Chris Godwin 22% Dallas Goedert 19%

@SharpFootball We mostly seem to agree: thehuddle.com/story/sports/f…

ranking the best offensive lines 1. Denver Broncos 2. Philadelphia Eagles 3. Buffalo Bills 4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5. Los Angeles Rams 6. Chicago Bears 7. San Francisco 49ers 8. Los Angeles Chargers 9. Seattle Seahawks 10. Atlanta Falcons 11. Indianapolis Colts 12. Carolina Panthers 13. Minnesota Vikings 14. Detroit Lions 15. New England Patriots 16. New Orleans Saints 17. Jacksonville Jaguars 18. Dallas Cowboys 19. New York Jets 20. New York Giants 21. Pittsburgh Steelers 22. Washington Commanders 23. Kansas City Chiefs 24. Baltimore Ravens 25. Las Vegas Raiders 26. Arizona Cardinals 27. Green Bay Packers 28. Cincinnati Bengals 29. Miami Dolphins 30. Tennessee Titans 31. Houston Texans 32. Cleveland Browns *2026 predicted rankings

@AddisonHayes_ @OverHypedSleepr You are not on that island by yourself.

I might be on an island as the only person in the world who thinks JSN might be overvalued in drafts heading into 2026. The WR3 and 1.05 off the board feels too rich for all the regression signals on his profile from last year: - 1/13 WRs since 2000 to eclipse 1700 yards. The average drop in production the next season is 33% (Antonio Brown and CeeDee Lamb fell below 1300 yards) - 14th player since 2000 with 10 catches of 30+ airyards in a season (double the amount Puka had and triple the number Chase had). - 1/32 WRs since 2000 to eclipse a season-long 30% target share (34%!). The average drop the following season is 7.7%. 2nd highest last year was Amon-Ra at 29%! - Most receiving yards in a season on a team with under 5000 pass attempts. His 1,793 yards was 230 yards more than 2nd on the list and the average was 1400 for the top-10 seasons! He's a 1st round redraft pick, but I don't think he's top-5 overall or the WR3!

By virtue of his complete game, Jahmyr Gibbs' matchup grid will almost always feature a lot of green. With that said, I don't recall ever giving any player 12 greens as I did with him earlier this week: #gid=0" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Justin Jefferson's fantasy playoff schedule projects to be very easy (at least for a player of his talents), assuming Kyler bounces back: DET (Week 15 w/o Terrion Arnold), WAS (Week 16 vs. Mike Sainristil or Trey Amos) and NYJ (Week 17, Brandon Stephens or Nahshon Wright).

Anyone who knows me and my matchup analysis process will understand why I will almost certainly pass on Brian Thomas Jr. this season. From Weeks 2-8, BTJ will likely see primary coverage from Surtain, C. Gonzalez, DJ Turner, Quinyon Mitchell, Stingley and Sauce Gardner.

@4WhomJBellTolls People piss me off sometimes, Jeff!!

Open the app “Last summer I told you to draft JSN” - quick search, they ranked JSN at consensus “Love and Allgeier are going to both top 9 rushing TDs” - only 14 players hit 9 TDs in 2025, only 10 teams had 19+ rush tds. Close app

@TheStingisBack My favorite classic movie. It has everything.

Eva Marie Saint turns 102 today North by Northwest (1959) She’s the oldest living Oscar winner and one of the last surviving stars of Hollywood’s Golden Age. Her scene with Cary Grant is still among the hottest ever filmed; every look, pause, and line lands. This is how it’s done

@Ciga_FF Well played, sir!

Last year I told you all to draft: Puka CMC Bijan JSN Jonathan Taylor Josh Allen Look for my initial 2026 draft list in December (behind a paywall....obviously). 🤣

Potentially really important context on Emeka Egbuka here, from Tampa Bay Buccaneers OC Zac Robinson: (@CoachspeakIndex is invaluable for Fantasy Football players) - ZR talks to Liam Coen almost every day - Egbuka reminds ZR of Cooper Kupp - will move all around the formation

@DaveTerp Listen to Terp.

Everyone is fading CMC Most are fading Trey McBride No one really wants 2 click George Pickens People will always pass on Derrick Henry DJ Moore is barf they say. Davante Adams I can't click him Mike Evans will get hurt Gainwell over Irving always Can't draft Nabers ⬇️ Seems like everyone is saying the same thing Who will be right?

Get your fantasy football prep started the same way I start mine each year ... by evaluating and projecting offensive line play. My famous color-coded matchup analysis grid will be coming soon as well.

@fantasymojo @FFPC @FFMastermind @notJDaigle @evansilva @4for4_John I finally get the No. 1 pick in one of these drafts and the league is named "Garbage Time"? #canceljavier

League Reveal #6 of @FFPC #ProsVsJoes Draft Challenge "Garbage Time" Tuesday 8/4 @ 10 PM on @FFPC YouTube Javier has @FFMastermind as the 8:1 favorite. Somehow Javier has me at 11:1 behind 8 other teams #CancelJavier @notJDaigle @evansilva @4for4_John @DougOrth

@MikeClayNFL @ESPNFantasy We may have to start calling them "Mike Clay jokes" instead of "dad jokes."🤣

Will JSN help you roll to another fantasy title in 2026?