@amitisinvesting @SayNoToTrading He's senile and even not with hindsight, anybody could have seen GOOG as a main tech holding from a mile away. This guy is completely senile at this point.
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Drizz
252 posts
@SayNoToTrading Kind of crazy. Buffett always said how hard it is to beat the S&P. Didn’t know it was exactly the same…
They really need the next big outperformer.
Really curious what the strategy ends up becoming. Not sure if doubling down on Dominos will work.
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Really interesting question below about the future of Berkshire.
Over the weekend, Buffett spoke at the annual shareholder meeting and it was revealed that Berkshire is now sitting on around $400B of cash. Buffett noted that he'd much rather be patient vs. allocate any capital as he feels the market is a casino right now.
If the question is on where to put that cash to work, I think there is one broad big picture question that overhangs on Berkshire:
Berkshire needs their new $AAPL.
It's probably hard to find it given how much tech has run, but without Apple, Berkshire would have underperformed the S&P over the past 10 years. They took a $5B stake in Google last year, but that pales in comparison to the $35B they put into Apple 10 years ago.
Maybe the tech trade has run too hot and holding onto the cash makes sense before going heavy into another tech play like that again, BUT if tech continues on the bull run that it has been on for the past 5 years, Berkshire will not only be able to rely on Apple for the majority of performance. They will need a new winner.
Dare I say, I think that winner, even after the run, is $AMZN due to the diversity of it's model, operating margins on the path to 20%, the eventuality of it becoming the first $1T revenue run rate business, and robotics as the inflection for cost savings at scale which will return FCF back to shareholders. They haven't even bought a single share of stock back.
Berkshire bought Apple mainly on the logic that it is a consumer play on hardware, not a tech company. Obviously, many tech investors would disagree, but you could basically apply that logic to Amazon. They are a verb at this point, a consumer play on buying things that everyone on the planet uses, but they have these other elements to the business like AWS/Prime/Leo/etc. that allow margin expansion at scale.
Maybe Amazon is the safest and most effective way for Berkshire to find their next Apple.
Jonah Lupton@JonahLupton
Now that Warren and Charlie are no longer running the company... what do you think Berkshire Hathaway and the new management team should do with their $400+ billion of cash? $BRK $BRK.A $BRK.B I joked last year that $BRK should buy $INTC but clearly that ship has sailed. I also thought $BA could make some sense but Warren never liked the airline business so that's probably unlikely. Whatever they do needs to move the needle on a $1 trillion company. I could see them buying the other 73% of $OXY (Occidental) that they don't already own... or the other 91% of $CB (Chubb) they don't already own.. or the other 85% of $MCO (Moody's) they don't already own... or the other 74% of $AXP (American Express) they don't already own (this deal would be massive)... or maybe they go after a utility like $VST or a pharma company like $REGN which trades at 14x NTM EPS not including their $20B cash pile. Any thoughts?
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@bclay3984 @michaelsikand Lmao you must be new to investing or just not good. You jumped ship right before inevitable uplisting to main TSX exchange
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@michaelsikand I abandoned ship, opportunity cost too high. Curious to see how the defense sector plays out over the next 6 mos. Rooting for you!
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For most people their "go long, go to sleep" stock is $NVDA, $AMZN, $TSLA
Mine is a < $2B MC defense stock $KRKNF.
It specializes in critical tech that can detect mines and makes batteries that power undersea drones from companies like Anduril.
It's profitable, well run, and fast growing with a robust moat - rare in a theme as hot as autonomous defense etc.
The stock is now trading where it was before:
- The Iran War proved sea mines can neutralize trillions in shipping commerce and foreshadowed tactics in Taiwan
- The company announced an accretive acquisition of another profitable. fast growing complementary business for 2x sales.
- The two leading banks in Canada covering the stock put out PTs at $13/$14 CAD on the PNG ticker, representing nearly 2x upside over current levels.
Catalysts ahead:
- An uplisting to the TSX mainboard this year which will help increase the ratio of institutions to retail (20:80 currently).
- A U.S. Navy order worth many billions for Anduril's subsea products, which would mean Anduril goes full balls into production and so does Kraken (each drone is millions of dollars of revenue for Kraken).
I'm just happy I have spent so much time building conviction around this name through research.
It's rare you can find a tiny small cap stock you feel comfortable DCAing into and being confident enough to concentrate into long term.
Ignore the noise. Buy the capability gaps.
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@amitisinvesting @alexcompounds Mean reversion investors deserve to get crushed by software. If you invest in software in this specific market, you deserve to lose lmao. I am up massively on steel companies, and it's not going to slow anytime soon.
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@rndo_calrisian @michaelsikand Those aren't ones that he paid for you dumbass. They are made by scammers
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Loaded more $AVEX here.
Defense official: "The vast majority of the $75 billion is aimed at evaluating, purchasing or modifying drone systems that are already in use"
$AVEX has shipped 10,000 Group I-V drones to Ukraine across two DoD contracts worth $1.2B.
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@amitisinvesting Last month he said irans Navy is in the bottom of the ocean but they somehow still have ships? What a joke
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@michaelsikand There's a lot of losers in the financial space. You can tell who makes money and who doesn't. You've got some great picks, and the trash people who talk about you are worthless.
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"You’re late as shit buddy"
"All with PE multiples to the moon and beyond"
"Bro these stocks have 10 bagged, go back to sleep."
Michael Sikand 🦑@michaelsikand
The next $1T AI bottleneck isn't power, compute, or memory. It's connectivity. And the only solution is light. So I launched @joinautopilot's first ever photonics themed stock portfolio. AI clusters are hitting a "Copper Wall." Signal decay, thermal loss, and power constraints make electronic interconnects unviable past 800G. Networking already eats up to 50% of data center power. As Gilad Shainer, Senior VP of Networking at NVIDIA, recently noted, the exponential growth of AI requires a “new class of high-speed, scalable networking". The physics are simple: electrons move through copper and generate heat. Photons travel through fiber with near-zero loss. As we scale to 1.6T and 3.2T architectures, every watt saved on interconnects is a watt returned to compute! Without this transition to light, the industry faces a physical ceiling that threatens to stall the progress of LLMS. A full supply chain repricing over optical tech is just beginnnig. The "Photonics Is Next" portfolio maps every layer: $LITE (21.07%) Single most critical chokepoint. ONLY supplier of 200Gbps EMLs. No EMLs = no transceivers = no AI cluster. NVIDIA GB200 and Google TPUv7 critical supplier. $COHR (20.33%) Most vertically integrated player in photonics. 6-inch InP wafers mean 4x the chips at half the cost. Book-to-bill over 4x. $5.81B record backlog booked through 2027. No competitor matches this integration depth. $TSEM (18.96%) ONLY pure-play silicon photonics foundry. NVIDIA partnership is the strongest endorsement in the space. 50+ customers. Tripling capacity with a $650M expansion. CPO foundry tech. $CIEN (15.59%) WaveLogic 6 is the only 1.6T coherent system deployed at scale. $7.8B backlog. Just re-entered the S&P 500. 50% North American optical networking share. In-house 3nm silicon. $AAOI (14.81%) $4B Amazon deal transformed this company. In-house InP laser fab gives them a supply edge during the industry-wide EML shortage. 3 of the top 5 hyperscalers as customers. Ramping to 200K units/mo. $INTC (9.24%) Pioneered silicon photonics. Shipped over 8M photonic integrated circuits with 32M on-chip lasers. Their OCI chiplet is the first fully integrated optical I/O co-packaged with a CPU. Smaller position, optionality on a turnaround. Link below 👇
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People who don’t know how to read charts: “Technicals are useless!”
People who don’t know how to read balance sheets: “Fundamentals don’t matter!”
How about you use all the tools available to you?
Data is data.
Druckenmiller, who I consider the GOAT, actively uses both.
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@GrumpyRhino100 @michaelsikand Just a run of the mill typo where you typed too fast and transposed two letters. Only a lower IQ person would not be able to dismiss that minor gaffe, and instead think that you were smart for pointing it out. You're a moron lol.
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When I said "photonics is next"...
It wasn't just about AI.
Lasers are genuinley the future of everything.
Directed energy weapons use laser beams to shoot drones out of the sky at $3 per shot instead of $1M $LASR $EOS.AX
Self-driving is actually here. The next generation of LIDAR is being built directly on silicon photonics chips, the same tech powering AI data centers $AUR Waymo $OUST
Quantum computers like $INFQ's uses lasers to trap and control individual atoms, which is how they're already selling $31M worth to the DoD and NASA.
Now do you see the light?
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@Drizz523 @wealthmatica Ummm if you consider 8 figures poor. Than yes.
But I have more money than i could ever spend.
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I think Bill Ackman is correct...
"Some of the highest-quality businesses in the world" are really FREAKING cheap right now.
1/10: $AMZN - Amazon
- 10y Avg Multiple: 26.2x
- TTM Multiple: 13.9x EV/EBITDA
Bill Ackman@BillAckman
Some of the highest quality businesses in the world are trading at extremely cheap prices. Ignore the MSM. One of the most one-sided wars in history that will end well for the U.S. and the world. And we have the potential for a large peace dividend. One of the best times in a long time to buy quality. Ignore the bears.
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@wealthmatica Warren Buffet disagreed today.
Bill better listen more amd learn to STFU.
Bill was thumping his chest when he made Nike his largest position.
It feels like Harvard may have received a substantial donation to admit Bill.
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@trumpetadagreat @MayraFlores4TX My ancestors settled this country. You are a termite
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It’s a fact, not my opinion. I reviewed the census data and birth rates. I want Texas to stay red—don’t you? I have been watching Spanish media, and our side has absolutely no one pushing back against the lies and misinformation being spread. Whether you like it or not, they will be voting in November. Why not have someone speak directly to the Hispanic community and educate them on what’s happening and encourage their continued support? This is about winning in November and in future elections.
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Everyone screaming “buy the dip.”
I’m waiting for the real panic.
If we get a major correction, these are the levels I’ll be loading:
$MSFT: $290
$AMZN: $175
$META: $450
$NVDA: $115
$GOOGL: $220
$AAPL: $200
$TSLA: $280
You can’t be afraid to buy into the fear.
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@BSheetsMatter @midascabal Do you think that I listen to these losers on fintwit? 🤣🤣🤣
They don't even talk about the stocks that I'm in.
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@Drizz523 @midascabal Sound* like you bought $DUOL. Apologies for my typo, it must have been very confusing.
You just sound very salty, like your account is already down significantly.
What great stocks are you long then?
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🚨 PREPARE FOR A -20% DROP IN THE S&P 500
The stock market CRASH is coming.
The Iran War is a bigger crisis to the markets than Covid-19.
I am not a buyer of $IREN till $20.
I am not a buyer of $ONDS till $3.
I am not a buyer of $RKLB till $40.
I am not a buyer of $ASTS till $50.
I am not a buyer of $ASST till $1.
I will announce once I’m bullish.
Many will regret not following me sooner.
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@BSheetsMatter @midascabal FJIKY, I guarantee you you have never even heard of it, loser lmao. It's OTC and you've never even heard of this company. I'll give you a freebie. Since you're not on my level.
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@Drizz523 Some bloggers are just following trends. I think they're only in it for the money and traffic, completely misunderstanding the market and constantly misleading their followers.
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@BSheetsMatter @midascabal What the hell are you even talking about? I am in names that you know nothing about that are all over 90% institutionally owned. Not some retail idiot who read a book about DCF and thinks that he's an accountant or analyst LOL
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@Drizz523 @midascabal You should like you bought $DUOL at $500 😂
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@RicoSuave873 @Leo_Traydes The market is still green on the day. His original commentary was that today could be one of the worst days of the year, meaning that it would be down well over 1%. Do you not understand the difference? The market is still up
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@Drizz523 @Leo_Traydes And now everything crashed again good job you jynxed us.
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@_Shaun_K777 @Leo_Traydes So it reversed its gains but it's still green on the day. Moving the goal posts? He said that today could be one of the worst days of the year. Meaning that it would be down well over 1%. We are still up.
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@Drizz523 @Leo_Traydes The day is young and it still could be bloody, however… x.com/leo_traydes/st…
Leo Invests@Leo_Traydes
Tomorrow could possibly be the worst day we see in the market in all of 2026… $SPY
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@Leo_Traydes Yes you did, and you know nothing. Last night you posted that today could possibly be one of the worst days in the market and all of your posts were panicking lol.
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How bloody is the market going to be come open tomorrow morning?!
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