Duality
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@Tom__Capital @tradernurse Will make a new low, RBA will be forced to cut.
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@Duality60 @tradernurse I think AUDUSD will be closer to 60 than 70 by end of the year
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@tradernurse @Tom__Capital The only worse looking curve is Australia’s, deflation.
CBA was half its current quote when the curve was inverted, RBA might hike one more time but will quickly cut.
No one is talking about this.

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@Tom__Capital Deflation is coming for Australia. Curve flattening will be bad for Aussie banks and the Aussie dollar.

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@realweirdgene This is demand destruction, not inflationary, the yield curves are flattening and are painting a different picture Gene.
Happy to discuss!
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It’s about to be a really long and wild ride. A lot of sleepless nights trying to find the right investment opportunities for sure, but also, where are the folks who said this wouldn’t happen?
When inflation skyrockets out of control, don’t forget who caused it and the people who supported it 👍🏾
RT@RT_com
US-ISRAEL BOMB IRAN’S ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE — FARS
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A birthday I’ll never forget.
@ZacLloydx what a ride, what a horse 🐎
Couldn’t happen to a better bloke.
#guesthouse #cleanup


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@Tom__Capital You only have to look at its SMT with $NZDUSD to see it will fall to the floor.
I think it’ll make new lows within a year.
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$AUDUSD
I’ve been a broken record on this, but the math is getting ugly.
Australia is facing a triple threat: an energy crisis, aggressive central bank tightening, and a cost-of-living squeeze.
The RBA’s move to 4.10% this week is an immediate handbrake on consumers. Between soaring fuel prices (fuelled by Middle East instability) and mortgage repayments jumping hundreds of dollars a month, the "tightening effect" isn't a future risk it’s hitting now and will smash consumption.
I expect one more hike to take the cash rate back to previous cycle highs after the next CPI, and after that the rate market is likely to start pricing in rate cuts in H2, you wait and see
AUD remains the ultimate "risk-off" proxy and as global growth is revised lower and Asia feels the economic weakness, I expect the AUD to lose the current gains and head back to its 2025 lows in H2
Tom Capital@Tom__Capital
$AUDUSD $ASX Hot take (that shouldn't be): Australia is dead last in the race for energy stability. Given our current supply chain mess and zero energy security, we’re a sitting duck for the global disruption. We’re rich in resources but poor in positioning. Prove me wrong."
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@Tom__Capital Add energy prices to that chart and it’ll look even worse, what a disgrace.
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@hamptonism Considering a few missiles revealed to China we have 20 days of fuel reserves left, I’d say it’s a pretty safe bet.
China invades Taiwan and 60% of our exports get cut off.
How did I do?
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@CyclesFan Reasonable to expect $45 a barrel before mid terms I would think. OVX not sustainable at current level.
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BTW, oil rallied an additional 43% over the next 2 months. Trump will do everything he can to open the strait of Hormuz and prevent a similar outcome. As I noted in an earlier post this week, I expect it to repeat the 2022 scenario, not the 1990 one.
x.com/CyclesFan/stat…
CyclesFan@CyclesFan
$USOIL - We're witnessing an extreme development today. Crude oil is up 16% currently. The 14 day RSI is above 89. The last time it closed above 89 was in August 1990, during the Gulf war.
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Duality retweetledi

I would never recommend anyone to start trading.
Whenever someone asks me about it, my answer is always the same, DONT.
People see the money, the freedom, the lifestyle. They don’t see the other side of it. The isolation. The pressure. The way it slowly gets inside your head.
Trading can ruin your life if you’re not careful. I know because I’ve lived through it. It can pull you into some very dark periods.
It’s a lonely and brutally hard path. Much harder than most people think.
Some days you feel like a genius. Other days you feel like the biggest idiot in the world.
That kind of mental swing is something most people aren’t prepared for.
And that’s why I never recommend it.
Not because it’s impossible.
But because most people have no idea what it really costs.
But if you’re already in it…
If you’ve already chosen this path…
Then the only thing I can say is this:
Be prepared to suffer for it.
Be prepared to question yourself more than you ever have before.
But if you manage to stay disciplined, stay patient, and survive the dark periods you’ll come out stronger than most people ever will.
Because the ones who make it through trading don’t just learn the markets.
They learn themselves.

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