@CryptoBullet1 Don't you think we have around 4 months and if we spend more time here odds of reaching 40k will be less
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The Ghost Trader
242 posts
$BTC is facing Major Resistance here
👉 200DMA + 200DEMA + Strong Horizontal + VWAP
We may spend the rest of the month (or more) between $78-85k giving $Alts time to breathe (pump) before bearish pressure returns.
$BTC is still in a bear market, don’t forget that 😉
CryptoBullet@CryptoBullet1
$BTC is about to test the EMA200 & MA200 on the daily 👀 We’ve spent 6 months below them
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@CryptoBullet1 Don't understand on one page you're bearish and on the other you're bullish lol
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$OTHERS.D looks ready to break out 👀
You know what that means
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@CrypNuevo Waiting the whole week for this man, don't make us wait that long. Cheers
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$BTC Sunday update:
Price is testing the resistance of the range highs.
We've been waiting 2 months for price to trade at one of the extremes of this range, and right here is where we look for interesting trades.
Let me explain this setup that gets my attention:
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🙅♂️ I'm not expecting crazy returns from $BTC in the next Bull Cycle (2027-2029)
👉 Each cycle #Bitcoin shows diminishing returns:
3200x -> 623x -> 119x -> 22x -> 8x
In the 2027-2029 Bull Run I expect a 4-5x from $BTC
From ~$40k (Bear Market Bottom) to $160-200k (Cycle Top) 📍
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$BTC Sunday update:
It's the clearest chart in a long time:
Nothing to do here at mid-range - wait for price to trade at one of the extremes, probably this week or the next.
• I'll look for swing shorts at $79k-$80k
• I'll look for swing longs at $61k-$59k
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@CryptoBullet1 78-79 before the last leg? What do you say 💭
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Good news from the Middle East
Is this enough to end the Bear Market? No!
A short-term relief rally doesn't change anything
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The SEC and CFTC dropped a landmark document that officially classifies crypto assets
They're telling us by name which crypto assets are securities and which ones are not 👀
sec.gov/files/rules/in…
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$BTC 1W chart | Game plan for the rest of the year
The 200-Week MA will be broken eventually 📉
🎯 Next Target - $48-50k (the August 2024 low is a magnet)
Fibs confirm my Bear Market Bottom Target of ~40k 🏁
CryptoBullet@CryptoBullet1
Let me explain my $40k +/-5k #BTC Bear Market Bottom Target One of the Key indicators that I pay attention to during bear markets is $BTC Realized Price [ Realized Price is value of all coins in circulation at the price they last moved, in other words an approximation of what the entire market paid for their coins ] Every Bear Market #Bitcoin tests the Realized Price level and breaks below it 📉 In 2011 $BTC went -66% below the Realized Price In 2015 $BTC went -48% below the Realized Price In 2018 $BTC went -35% below the Realized Price In 2022 $BTC went -33% below the Realized Price And in 2026 we’ll also see $BTC going below the Realized Price (currently sitting at $56k) Keep in mind that in Bear Markets the Realized Price usually slowly declines, so the levels might slightly change. If we’re gonna repeat the 2022 Bear Market, -33% below the Realized Price would be $37.4k. As I mentioned, the Realized Price will likely decline this year, so by Q3-Q4 in can be at $53-54k and -33% would be around $35k. That’s the lowest I could see $BTC go this year. As we can see, over the years BTC Volatility has decreased and the distance between the market Price and Realized Price has narrowed: from -66% in 2011 to -33% in 2022 So I believe in 2026 we will have something between -24% & -31% below the Realized Price which means $40-43k That’s basically how I came up with my $35-45k Bear Market Bottom Target using this on-chain indicator
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@CryptoBullet1 It's awesome and perfectly to the point, a slap to the moon boys and optimistic people
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#BITCOIN MACRO CHART | New Cycle
October 2026 - $BTC Bear Market Bottom around $40k 📍
Next Cycle Top in September 2029 between $172-203k 🏁
CryptoBullet@CryptoBullet1
#BITCOIN MACRO CHART UPDATE We’ve already spent several MONTHS in my Purple Topping Zone 🟪 🏁 Bull Market Top: $100-130k - DONE! ✅ 😎 4-Year cycle has come to an end. If you’re still holding $BTC, in my opinion it’s time to take profits and prepare for a Bear Market 📉
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@follis_ A chapter has been completed in Follis Book. R.I.P. More power to you.
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$BTC Sunday update:
In all honesty, it looks like this could be one of the most difficult trading weeks of Q4.
That makes me think we might be in a range-bound environment; therefore, I should be aware of a potential range lows retest.
Let's give this a thought:
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@CryptoBullet1 It's a lie for those who think alt season will come
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