Cheng

重磅：民主党赢得2028年美国总统大选的机会飙升至有史以来最高纪录。

评论区让我想吐了 极右的人反犹太 极左的人反犹太 跟风的人反犹太 恶心

王志安是一个很好的案例，他的推特话术可以作为大陆对台湾认知作战的教材。在因为违反台湾入境条例被起诉后，王志安开始转移话题，东拉西扯，但这里使用了几种话术，值得分析一下，可以当作“王氏话术疫苗”使用——王志安说民进党就是绿色的共产党（凡是王志安不喜欢的都说成是共产党，拉反共者共情）；说民进党在抹黑他搞认知作战（装无辜）；说如果他入了日本或者美国国籍就可以无视台湾的禁令（装大爷）；说民进党是三流政客（装高大上）；说自己要在台湾注册一个四立电视台（台湾有三立电视台）跟他们硬刚（装英雄）；说自己要请律师为自己维权（装弱者和受害者）；说同情贺珑秀失去广告（装好人）；说自己不行就回国跟任志强一起坐牢（碰瓷好人，让人以为他们是一类）。王志安不愧在央视混了这么多年，但也把央视那几招都给泄露了。

乐死我了

We’re going full blown banana republic.

We’re going full blown banana republic.

现在唱衰Tesla的： 1. 从来没用过最新FSD 2. 因为政见而恨Elon的bias🐶 3. 股票卖早了，酸 4. 正在用tesla只是靠卖车的逻辑做空 5. 竞争对手公司的员工（知道自己因为FSD快失业了所以仇视 6. 蹭流量骗弱智网友 7. 纯粹自己弱智🙂

I want to preface by saying that I don’t know anything obviously. But, I don’t think anyone else knows either beyond sheer speculation about the value and impact of AI. I think genAI is tremendously useful and promising, but also remains deeply flawed. We are not on the verge of Terminator. All the AI maxi bros are basically either hallucinating or talking their own books by massively overestimating the timeline of progress and underestimating the efforts required to get there. They just seem to lack basic commonsense in a lot of their macro forecasts. My base case is that China will not beat the US using AI nor will it need to, when it already beats the US in enough ways from manufacturing capacity, control over key natural resources and supply chain, and regional military matchup. It already has enough to keep the US more or less out of its immediate surroundings. This idea that the US and China are in some existential rivalry to build AGI and somehow whoever gets there first has absolute dominance over the other seems fanciful and silly to me. Leave alone the fact that AGI may be years if not decades, implausible amount of compute, and maybe a totally different algorithmic paradigm away, even if AGI was reached it’s not obvious whatsoever that the inventor nation will have any more control over it than a parent has over its rebellious child. Given all of that, I think the most rational thing to do is to open the floodgates and sell not just the second tier chips, but all of the most advanced AI chips to everyone, the more the merrier. That’s the most surest way to reduce the bilateral trade imbalance.