Edward M. Druce

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Edward M. Druce

Edward M. Druce

@EdwardMDruce

Diplomatic history for Ambassadors. The intersection of politics/military/finance/intelligence.

London, UK Katılım Ağustos 2022
2.4K Takip Edilen2.6K Takipçiler
Edward M. Druce retweetledi
Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Steve Witkoff & Jared Kushner are reportedly in Switzerland for talks with Iran.
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Ti Morse
Ti Morse@ti_morse·
Set II is ready @ElonMusk "First rule in government spending: Why build something once when you can build it twice for 3x the cost???" We built Set I in a studio near downtown Austin but the space was only available for a week so we had to tear it down last Friday. Like SpaceX, it would be completely unreasonable to expect the first rocket to make it to orbit so on Wednesday I rented an aircraft hanger 15 minutes from Giga Texas and we started construction on Set II. We finished it on Saturday night and can now record anytime in the next 30 days. The most entertaining outcome is the most likely. Let's make this happen. 🏴‍☠️
Ti Morse@ti_morse

Set is ready @ElonMusk We built it 25min from downtown Austin and can shoot anytime in the next 7 days on 1h notice. Humanity is on the verge of becoming a multi-planet species and spacefaring civilization. My goal with this interview is to help people viscerally feel what that future is going to look like and get everyone excited to help build it.

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Nigel Farage MP
Nigel Farage MP@Nigel_Farage·
I just met the last surviving fighter pilot from the Korean War and thanked him for his service.
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Ben Tavener
Ben Tavener@BBCBenTavener·
Donald Trump envoys Steve Witkoff & Jared Kushner will visit Moscow “in the near future” but exact dates not yet confirmed, says Kremlin. (Not the first time we’ve heard this.)
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JD Vance
JD Vance@JDVance·
Thank you, Lindsey. The President’s coalition is uniting behind his leadership and vision for a safer, more peaceful and prosperous world.
Lindsey Graham@LindseyGrahamSC

I just had a very lengthy and productive discussion with @SEPeaceMissions @SteveWitkoff about the state of play regarding Iran.   After this discussion, it is my opinion that signing the MOU will be beneficial to the United States, in as much as the Strait of Hormuz will begin to open, and the hostilities with Iran will stop.   Whether or not the United States can reach an acceptable, verifiable deal with Iran regarding its nuclear program and other issues is yet to be determined, but I see little downside to trying.   The economic stability that comes from opening up the Strait and the cessation of hostilities could create a pathway to peace well beyond the Iranian conflict.   The expansion of the Abraham Accords and normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel is President Trump’s and my ultimate goal. I think that is best achieved by creating economic stability for the United States, the region and the world, as well as the cessation of hostilities.  The signing of the MOU is an essential step to make that happen and thus it is worthwhile.

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Al Carns
Al Carns@AlistairCarns·
My resignation speech to the @HouseofCommons today ⬇️
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Edward M. Druce
Edward M. Druce@EdwardMDruce·
@AlistairCarns “Make Britain resilient again” is a great line. 👏 “National resilience, not just defence.”
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Al Carns
Al Carns@AlistairCarns·
A Russian tanker in the Channel. A social media ban. AI locked down by Washington. These are not three separate stories.
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Edward M. Druce
Edward M. Druce@EdwardMDruce·
@DavidSacks @Jason please invite @logangraham onto the All-In Pod. x.com/logangraham/st…
Logan Graham@logangraham

Fable 5 is the same underlying model as Mythos 5, but with cybersecurity and biology blocks. Mythos is the first model that's made me feel that we've entered the next phase of model progress. For years, we've talked about cybersecurity / self-improvement / autonomy / model-dominated coding / biology implications of model progress. Some of these are issues to defend against; some are areas to advance. Mythos has made me & our team feel like we've seen the earliest glimpse of the world we've been talking about. Also, we published a lot of cyber eval results in the system card, including some evals we designed recently, as well as details of safeguards. In most cases, Mythos 5 ~= Mythos Preview. We found it ticked up on the new ExploitBench eval, and we opted to put that in the eval table so people can calibrate/update on advances in cyber capabilities to be prepared for. (We don't want to compete on offensive capabilities and don't try to.) But overall, Mythos 5 is an efficient model, about equal to Mythos Preview in most cases. I'd really like more people to design new security evals! The better models get, the more our limited evals only see a small part of the picture. In terms of where we go from here, here are some current thoughts: 1/ It's important we get Mythos cyber capabilities to defenders. We just have to do it safely and cautiously. We're working on an expanded trusted access program. We're working with government and industry to do this. I sort of envision the next 1-2 years being a large scale effort to make the world resilient + design & implement new approaches to security. 2/ I think cybersecurity will start merging with AI security and alignment. Let's say you're a defender and you want to use a model -- will it break out of its sandbox? Will it stop where you tell it to stop? This is one reason I'm excited about working on cybersecurity. In the limit, it's the same thing as AI security. 3/ I really want people to develop new evals for... defensive cybersecurity, hardware security, autonomously running a business, advanced biology, and other parts of national security. Our internal eval ship rate is way, way up because Mythos makes it easy to iterate, especially on the engineering aspect of building evals. (Sometimes, we ask new hires to make a new eval on their first day, and another on the next). I’m excited we’re making this available as Fable 5, because I think the world spending time with the model is the most important way to calibrate.

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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true: — As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable. — Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.) — A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused. — In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.” — In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety. — In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community. — The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority. — Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
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Shruti
Shruti@heyshrutimishra·
Elon just created 4,400 millionaires in a single day. 400 of them are now worth over $100 million. These aren't VCs. They're SpaceX employees, and the list includes welders, technicians, and cafeteria staff, because for two decades the company paid every level of the workforce in stock instead of higher salaries. Juan Hernandez immigrated from Mexico and took a $28 an hour contractor welding job in 2015. He says he didn't even know what SpaceX was. The company gave him a $10,000 equity grant and let him buy more shares through payroll deductions. That stake is now worth $880,000. Trevor Hise's parents wanted him to take a stable job at General Electric. He picked SpaceX instead, stayed 12 years, and accumulated over 100,000 shares. At the $135 listing price that's $13.5 million. He's 37 and semiretired. His words: "The magnitude of this has been ridiculous." The most telling detail came before the listing. Over 100 employees quietly banded together and negotiated a group wealth management deal covering up to $5 billion, because none of them had ever needed a wealth manager before. Software IPOs have minted millionaires for 30 years. This is the first one where the money went to the factory floor.
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Edward M. Druce
Edward M. Druce@EdwardMDruce·
March 8, 2022: Senator (now Secretary) Rubio and then-Undersecretary of State Victoria Nuland: Rubio: Does Ukraine have chemical or biological weapons? Nuland: Ukraine has biological research facilities, which in fact we are now quite concerned about Russian troops – Russian forces – seeking to gain control of. We are working with the Ukrainians on how they can prevent any of those research materials from falling into the hands of Russian forces, should they approach. ...And this one year after a global pandemic. Nuts.
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DNI Tulsi Gabbard
DNI Tulsi Gabbard@DNIGabbard·
Today, I’m releasing never before seen intelligence revealing new evidence of past US government funding for more than 120 biolabs in over 30 countries, including Ukraine. In support of President Trump‘s Executive Order to end federal funding of dangerous gain of function research around the world, and increase transparency and accountability, ODNI will continue working with partners across the Administration to identify where these labs are, what pathogens they contain, and what “research” is being conducted. odni.gov/index.php/news…
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The Jerusalem Post
The Jerusalem Post@Jerusalem_Post·
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he had a "positive" conversation with US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and praised what he called their readiness to work toward a settlement of the war in Ukraine in the coming weeks. jpost.com/international/…
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Edward M. Druce
Edward M. Druce@EdwardMDruce·
@ChrisLandauUSA Reporter: “It was quite a cheeky letter, Putin described it as rude.” Zelensky: “You didn’t read first version.” 😂
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Christopher Landau
Christopher Landau@ChrisLandauUSA·
Just finished Walter Isaacson’s excellent biography of Benjamin Franklin, who really helped shape our common American identity and our values of hard work, thrift, and meritocracy. One small point that jumped out at me was how many letters (often intemperate) Franklin wrote but never sent. The unsent letter was a valuable tool for venting frustration without incurring the consequences. In our era of instant communication by email and text, I fear there are fewer unsent communications, which is not a good thing.
Christopher Landau tweet media
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Ben Tavener
Ben Tavener@BBCBenTavener·
Our brief SPIEF interview with Kirill Dmitriev, Vladimir Putin’s special envoy who’s been liaising with Donald Trump’s Ukraine enjoys led by Steve Witkoff. Unlike the Russian foreign ministry, which says US interest in Ukr peace process has fizzled out, Dmitriev is more upbeat:
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The Economist
The Economist@TheEconomist·
Make what you will of @elonmusk, SpaceX is a marvel of free markets. Register for free to read why its listing shows capitalism at its most remarkable: econ.st/4eYX0RN
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Tai Lopez
Tai Lopez@tailopez·
The best advice AI has ever given a human.
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JD Vance
JD Vance@JDVance·
One of the problems we have in public policy is that wonks don’t give any consideration to how their ideas will collide with actual human behavior. Take our Trump Accounts. There are millions of parents who will in theory benefit enormously from this investment in their kids’ future, but the policy does no good if parents never find out how to sign up for it. From day one of our administration we’ve tried to think outside the box on problems like this. That’s why Elon recruited the best and brightest engineers and designers to help us make government more efficient. Some of those same exceptional design and software talents, under @jgebbia’s leadership, have been working for months at National Design Studio on a different problem: making government programs like the Trump Accounts more user friendly. With the Trump Accounts we’ve met people where they are. Instead of expecting them to navigate a ton of complicated forms on Treasury.gov, we’ve built out a simple, easy-to-use app to sign parents up. The app helps us market the program and sign up users, and deploying it this early does something else: it gives our engineers a pilot program to test out Treasury’s digital back-end systems and iron out kinks in advance of the delivery of the funds later this summer. So, parents, sign up now, and help us invest in your kids for tomorrow. Because great policy only works when people can actually use it. That is the power of design. When government is easier to understand, easier to navigate, and easier to trust, people benefit. The American experience should be as great as the American promise.
The White House@WhiteHouse

IT’S HERE! 🇺🇸💰 The Trump Accounts App has officially launched. Now every family has a simple, direct way to get involved and build their child’s future. Download it TODAY on any App Store and make sure your kids are ready for the massive July 4th official launch. 📱

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