Election Time

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🚨SHOCK POLL: Roy Cooper leads by a whopping 11% in the race for US Senate in North Carolina. North Carolina - 2026 US Senate 🟦Roy Cooper 50% (+11) 🟥Michael Whatley 39% Harper Polling | May 10-11, 2026 | 600 LV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨SHOCK POLL: Democrat internal polling shows Republicans are on track to flip Michigan's US Senate seat. Michigan - 2026 US Senate 🟥Mike Rogers 42% (+1) 🟦Abdul El-Sayed 41% — 🟥Mike Rogers 43% (+3) 🟦Mallory McMorrow 40% — 🟥Mike Rogers 42% (+3) 🟦Haley Stevens 39% In head-to-head matchups, Mike Rogers leads all 3 Democrats vying for their party's nomination. If Republicans flip Michigan, the Democrats' odds of winning the Senate essentially plummet to zero. Mitchell Research (D) | May 1-7, 2026 | 607 LV

🚨SHOCK POLL: Republicans lead in the race for California Governor. California - 2026 Governor - Open Primary 🟥Steve Hilton 23% (+1) 🟦Xavier Becerra 22% 🟦Tom Steyer 15% 🟥Chad Bianco 13% 🟦Katie Porter 12% 🟦Matt Mahan 7% 🟦Antonio Villaraigosa 2% 🟦Tony Thurmond 1% David Binder | May 5-11, 2026 Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨BREAKING: "RINO" Senator Bill Cassidy* of Louisiana is on his way out. Louisiana - 2026 US Senate - Republican Primary 🟥Julia Letlow 32.6% (+8.2) 🟧John Fleming 24.4% 🟨Bill Cassidy* 24.3% Cassidy is expected to lose his renomination by the GOP of Louisiana, as he's consistently polling behind both Letlow and Fleming. Polling average via pollsmax.com.

🚨BREAKING: 🟥Shelley Moore Capito* is the projected winner of the Republican Primary for US Senate in West Virginia. Moore Capito is the senior senator from West Virginia, serving since 2015. She will face off against 🟦Jeff Kessler in the general election, where she will easily win.

🚨BREAKING: 🟥Jim Pillen* is the projected winner of the Republican Primary for Governor in Nebraska. Pillen was elected in 2022 and is now seeking a second term. He will face off against 🟦Lynne Walz in the general election, a race he will easily win.

🚨BREAKING: 🟥Pete Ricketts* is the projected winner of the Republican Primary for US Senate in Nebraska. Ricketts was appointed to the US Senate in 2023 and won a special election in 2024. He will face off against 🟨Dan Osborn in the general election, a race that is increasingly competitive.

🚨GOP ODDS SURGE: Another new poll shows Mike Rogers on track to destroy Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan's US Senate election. Michigan - 2026 US Senate 🟥Mike Rogers 45% (+5) 🟦Abdul El-Sayed 40% El-Sayed is the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination, with a 50% chance of winning the primary. This is disastrous for Democrats, because if they run such a weak candidate like El-Sayed, they will inevitably lose Michigan's Senate seat to Rogers. Glengariff Group | April 28-May 1, 2026 | 600 LV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨GOP LEADS IN CALIFORNIA: Republican Steve Hilton continues to hold the top spot in California's top-two primary for Governor. California - 2026 Governor - Open Primary 🟥Steve Hilton 22% 🟦Xavier Becerra 20% 🟦Tom Steyer 14% 🟥Chad Bianco 13% 🟦Katie Porter 9% 🟦Matt Mahan 9% Hilton is followed by Democrats Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer, who are in an intense battle for second-place with Republican Chad Bianco. Kreate Strategies | May 5-9, 2026 | 900 LV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨GOP SURGES TO NEW HEIGHTS: Republicans' odds of winning the House have doubled over the past two weeks, to a high not seen since November 2025. 2026 US House of Representatives 🔵Democrats 74% 🔴Republicans 27% Margin Change from April 28: 🔴Republicans +24 With the GOP favored in the Senate, Republicans could realistically end up winning both chambers of Congress. Odds via @Kalshi.

🚨GOP LANDSLIDE INCOMING: US Senator Marsha Blackburn is on track to destroy Jerri Green in the race for Tennessee Governor. Tennessee - 2026 Governor 🟥Marsha Blackburn 51% (+24) 🟦Jerri Green 27% Targoz | April 20-27, 2026 | 1157 RV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨NEW POLL: JD Vance continues to hold a dominating lead over the rest of the 2028 Republican Primary field, with Marco Rubio in second. 2028 Republican Primary 🟥JD Vance 37% (+21) 🟥Marco Rubio 16% 🟥Donald Trump Jr 13% 🟥Ron DeSantis 7% 🟥Nikki Haley 4% 🟥Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 🟥Sarah Huckabee Sanders 3% 🟥Ted Cruz 2% 🟥Tucker Carlson 2% 🟥Glenn Youngkin 1% 🟥Josh Hawley 1% 🟥Tom Cotton 1% 🟥Tulsi Gabbard 1% Verasight | April 21-23, 2026 | 864 RV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨NEW POLL: Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom top the 2028 Democratic Primary field, with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg right behind them. 2028 Democratic Primary 🟦Kamala Harris 22% (+7) 🟦Gavin Newsom 15% 🟦Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% 🟦Pete Buttigieg 12% 🟦Mark Kelly 6% 🟦Josh Shapiro 4% 🟦Cory Booker 4% 🟦JB Pritzker 2% 🟦Amy Klobuchar 2% 🟦Gretchen Whitmer 1% Verasight | April 21-23, 2026 | 864 RV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.

🚨BREAKING: With less than a month until the Primary for California Governor, it's becoming increasingly likely we're going to see a Hilton vs Becerra matchup in November. California - 2026 Governor - Top-Two Primary 🟥Steve Hilton 20% 🟦Xavier Becerra 20% 🟥Chad Bianco 14% 🟦Tom Steyer 12% 🟦Matt Mahan 10% 🟦Katie Porter 9% Following Eric Swalwell's exit from the race, Tom Steyer has failed to capture the former congressman's support, making way for a perfectly-timed Becerra surge. Mellman Group (🟦Mahan Internal) | May 3-6, 2026 | 600 RV Visit pollsmax.com for more polls.