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🚨BREAKING: Ashley Moody leads by a HUGE 7% in Florida's Senate race. Florida - 2026 Senate 🟥Ashley Moody* 45% (+7) 🟦Alexander Vindman 38% Moody, the appointed incumbent, is on track to easily win the remaining two years of Marco Rubio's term. Change Research (D) | July 11, 2026 | 1,348 LV More polls @Pollsmax.

🚨NEW FORECAST: Susan Collins has a 66.4% chance of defeating Troy Jackson, the favorite to replace Graham Platner as the Democratic nominee. Maine - 2026 Senate (Odds) 🟥Susan Collins* 66.4% 🟦Troy Jackson 33.6% Projected Vote: 🟥R +2.8 Even after replacing Platner, Democrats are still losing in Maine. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

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🚨RED NEW HAMPSHIRE? John Sununu is within 1% of flipping the granite state for the GOP this November! New Hampshire - 2026 Senate 🟦Chris Pappas 43% (+1) 🟥John Sununu 42% Sununu previously held this seat from 2003 to 2009 and has a very real chance of taking his old job back. Peak Insights | June 24-26, 2026 | 500 LV For more polls: @Pollsmax

🚨GOP WINS THE HOUSE: The updated @Pollsmax forecast predicts that Republicans will win 218 seats, the exact number needed to retain their majority! 2026 House of Representatives 🔴Republicans 218 🔵Democrats 217 — Detailed Breakdown 🔴Solid (R) 156 🔴Likely (R) 40 🔴Lean (R) 15 🔴Tilt (R) 7 🔵Tilt (D) 6 🔵Lean (D) 13 🔵Likely (D) 24 🔵Solid (D) 174 This is based on 100,000 simulations that were run for the full House chamber this morning. The momentum is back on the GOP's side!

🚨BREAKING: Ken Paxton leads by 1.7% in Texas' Senate election against James Talarico. Texas - 2026 Senate 🟥Ken Paxton 45.9% (+1.7) 🟦James Talarico 44.2% As the election nears, enthusiasm for Talarico is dropping, with Paxton now on track to secure victory. Polling average via @Pollsmax.

🚨GOP WINS SENATE: After America's 250th, Republicans are on track to win 52 Senate seats. 2026 Senate 🔴Republicans 52 🔵Democrats 48 The GOP has a 73% chance of retaining their majority, winning Texas, Alaska, Ohio, and Maine. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

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🚨GOP RETAKES THE HOUSE: Republicans are projected to win the 218 seats needed for a majority, according to my latest forecast @Pollsmax. 2026 House of Representatives 🔴Republicans 218 🔵Democrats 217 We conducted 100,000 simulations for every race and for the full chamber today, and on average, the GOP wins a narrow majority. Republicans are no doubt regaining the momentum with the midterms just four months away.

🚨GOP ODDS JUMP: Ken Paxton's chances of winning Texas' Senate race SURGE to 84%, up from 67% a month ago. Texas - 2026 Senate (Odds) 🟥Ken Paxton 84% 🟦James Talarico 16% Projected Vote: 🟥R +6.7 Following the release of new polls, Paxton is now the HEAVY favorite to succeed John Cornyn. Odds via @Pollsmax.

🚨HUGE NEW POLL: Susan Collins leads by 3% in Maine, her best poll since October 2025. Maine - 2026 Senate 🟥Susan Collins* 50% (+3) 🟦Graham Platner 47% Collins' comeback is in full swing. If she wins, Democrats will have basically no chance of flipping the Senate blue. Fox News | June 23-27, 2026 | 1,003 RV

🚨GOP FLIP INCOMING: Ty Masterson's odds of flipping Kansas' governorship have crossed 70%. Kansas - 2026 Governor (odds) 🟥Ty Masterson 70.7% 🟦Cindy Holscher 29.3% Projected Margin: 🟥R +5.1 Following 8 years of Laura Kelly in the governor's mansion, Democrats will lose control of Kansas this November. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

🚨BREAKING: Vivek Ramaswamy has more than a 2-in-3 chance of winning the governor's race in Ohio. Ohio - 2026 Governor (Odds) 🟥Vivek Ramwasmy 68.5% 🟦Amy Acton 31.5% Projected Margin: 🟥R+3.3 Ramwasmy is on track to win his first public office. While Acton will perform well, she is unlikely to overcome the GOP's partisan advantage in the buckeye state. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

@ElectionTime_ According to our forecast, Susan Collins has a 56.5% chance of winning in November. Check out the full forecast at pollsmax.com/senate/maine/f….

🚨STUNNING NEW POLL: Susan Collins leads Graham Platner by 3% in favorability in Maine's Senate race. Maine - 2026 Senate (Candidate Favorability) 🟥Susan Collins* 48% 🟦Graham Platner 45% Sample Generic Ballot: 🟦D +12 In a sample that favors Democrats by 12% overall, Collins is still somehow more liked than Platner. There is no doubt she is on track to winning reelection later this year. The New York Times | June 26, 2026 | 608 LV

🚨BREAKING: Ken Paxton has an INCREDIBLY HIGH 85.2% chance of winning Texas' US Senate election. Texas - 2026 US Senate (Odds) 🟥Ken Paxton 85.2% 🟦James Talarico 14.8% Projected Margin: 🟥R +6.9 While Democrats are optimistic, Texas is ultimately a red state. Paxton shouldn't have too much trouble winning in November. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

@ElectionTime_ Check out our full governor's forecast at pollsmax.com/governor/. 2026 Governor Elections 🟥Republicans 26 🟦Democrats 24 Pollsmax is the #1 site for political polling and forecasting. It features NO ADS and NO SUBSCRIPTIONS.

🚨HUGE GOP WIN: Republican Byron Donalds has an 86.1% chance of winning the governor's race in Florida to succeed Ron DeSantis. Florida - 2026 Governor (Odds) 🟥Byron Donalds 86.1% 🟦David Jolly 13.9% Projected Margin: 🟥R +7.7 In 2018, DeSantis was elected by just 0.4%. In less than a decade, Florida has shifted so much to the right that Democrats are on the verge of giving up on the state. Forecast via @Pollsmax.

Check out our full governor's forecast at pollsmax.com/governor/. 2026 Governor Elections 🟥Republicans 26 🟦Democrats 24 Pollsmax is the #1 site for political polling and forecasting. It features NO ADS and NO SUBSCRIPTIONS.

🚨GOP FLIP INCOMING: Republican Mike Rogers leads in the race for Michigan's Senate seat, which is currently Democrat-held. Michigan - 2026 Senate 🟥Mike Rogers 43.2% (+0.6) 🟦Abdul El-Sayed 42.6% Despite being the worst candidate Democrats could nominate, El-Sayed has an 83% chance of being the nominee. If Rogers' opponent is El-Sayed, he will be in a very strong position to flip Michigan this November. Polling via @Pollsmax.