ElekNBA

As I promised here it is! Public available tracker, with each bet posted having a Twitter link. As I post a bet, it will be added instantly here and updated after the game ends. I probably should have done it way earlier, but better now than never! docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

1u Gabby Williams over 14.5 pts -120 FD, MGM, -126 DK, -127 Caesars I know Valkyrie's rotation is random and game-dependent (reason why she had just 17 minutes in slugfest vs Mystics), but Tempo is bad fast-paced defense. Against average and above- average pace teams, Gabby averages 27 minutes (while against slower it is 24.5) Tempo allows most points in the league at the rim and most paint points in the league, while being average perimeter defense. They also are allowing above-average free throws. In last three years, Gabby has had a three-point higher average playing against faster-paced teams in comparison to slower ones (with minutes filter) there isn't correlation that strong this year but point is she plays better in a faster-paced environment

6 points in last minute killed this No pick today i was absent

1u Rhyne Howard under 17.5 pts -111 DK -118 FD, -120 bovada, Caesars Valkyries are good defense this year and only spot-up is playtype where they allow more than league average. Against them Rhyne had 12 and 9 pts. They are the slowest-paced team in the WNBA. They are 2nd best defense and allow the fewest paint points and have the 3rd fewest three pointers allowed Rhyne struggles through her career against defenses that don't allow transition. On the third @propsmadness graph are her games against teams that are above-average transition defenses in the past three years

God i look stupid here, horrible read ❌

1u Breanna Stewart under 19.5 pts -124 DK, -121 Caesars, -130 Fliff, HR -115 Lynx this season are good paint defense, in the absence of Collier, it's their main focus and reason they are the best defense in the league now. On the other hand, they have below-average three-point defense, but Stewart is in obvious career regression in terms of shooting since 2023 Since Sabrina is back, Stewart numbers dropped. Last game vs Aces is not something that concerns me as Aces were without A'ja, while in the other one she shot 2/3 for three, and Aces play drop on bigs. Also, rotation was shortened and Betnijah didn't play too, not just Sabally Forwards struggle against Lynx this season, as you can see players by position. I know Sabally is out for Liberty but Satou didn't have heavy minutes, nor Stewart usage jumps drastically with her off (just 1%, which is something but not something too much) Here is the link for 25% discount on @propsmadness ! ⤵️ propsmadness.com/?ref=ElekNBA

🏆 2026 FIFA World Cup is now LIVE on PropsMadness! Featuring: - Multiple markets (Goals, Shots, Cards, Fouls, etc.) - Stats and FIFA/ELO rankings - Team matchup breakdowns - Referee profiles There's no better place to research player props than PropsMadness. Sign up today!

🚨 NEW FEATURE: Expected Minutes is now available for WNBA on all platforms! When selecting the minutes filter, the Expected Minutes shortcut will appear under the minutes range slider. Only on PropsMadness will you find valuable WNBA data stored in one app: Expected Minutes, Potential Assists, Shot Zone maps, Play Type analysis, Similar Players analysis, advanced filters, and much more!

@Gambler77Goated @propsmadness Let's get it!

@ElekNBA @propsmadness On this as well 🔥

1u Flau'jae Johnson over 14.5 pts -110 mgm, -114 betrivers, -115 hr, -128 DK, -125 betonline, -127 caesars While Flau'jae only has one over, against same opponent as today, Sun are perfect matchup and she plays on good usage since start of the season (and good minutes). She has over 23% usg rate in 3/4 games, with only against Tempo where it was lower (which dont give pts to sgs) Currently, Sun looks like they will be horrible on defense again. They allow most fta in the league, 2nd most transition and pnr ballhandler. All of these are major ways Johnson scores. She had 16 pts vs them even though she had 3/10 from the field (9/10 fta). After shooting 3/7 for three in her WNBA debut, she shot 1/8 for three in last 3 games. There should be some positive variation there The graphic below is from @propsmadness, and while similar players have some context which is why it doesnt look perfect (most of the guards there are Aces), it's good to look at the shot chart. Johnson scores from everywhere, but it's good to see she is already able to have a good chunk of points at the rim. Sun is below average at guarding it even though they acquired Griner, as they struggle with returning and defending transition. Flau'jae is shifty and really aggresive, even though her shot selection is bad this matchup is good I dont think points graph has any point in posting as she only has one over but i think as Flau'jae will get more comfortable, we will higher lines on her - i dont think she will continue being this inefficient from outside. She had 40% for three on catch and shoot in last college season

@PropBomb 👊

@ElekNBA Lets go Elek!

@PipsNBA Glad to hear that!

@ElekNBA Love the research! 👊

WNBA record is now 1-2, i had a break as had to fix some things with my personal life but im back now

1u Alyssa Thomas over 16.5 pts -118 betonline, -125 dk. -128 FD, In first two games of the season, Alyssa had 33% usage and 28%. Last season with Sabally off the court, she had 26% usage (23% with on). Sabally is gone, and just like when she wasnt on the court, Alyssa has huge usage. On the graph is Alyssa last year with 27% or higher usage Game vs Valkyries showcased when it isnt a blow-out, Alyssa won't spare from playing heavy minutes (close to last season, but could be even more extreme as i dont think anyone can get into role Sabally had last year). Lynx dont have Allana Smith anymore, and I expect their defense to become worse inside, while Collier is still out (also an important defender). I know there is a chance Lynx decide just to double her, but they were not doing hard doubling in the playoffs, even though Thomas was having good games and beat them Thomas started this season with two overs, while Lynx allowed a ton of rim points and fta (30) to Dream . Alyssa is a force at drawing fouls, and Lynx showcased a problem with that even in preseason when Mystics had 40 free throws vs them, and Nigeria had 37. After starting the season with b2b's, Alyssa should be rested now, and with both heavy minutes and good usage, she has good chances to clear this

If I had this earlier line would be more available, a hook win tho ✅🪝 Mercury allows perimeter fga, but is mixing up with hard coverage on ballhandler guards. Still ended up as an over, b2b was definitely factor why their defense was bad

1u Veronica Burton over 12.5 pts -120 DK, -123 betonline (also moved fuck), -124 caesars, -125 hr -135 bovada FD jumped to 13.5 sadly, betonline too No Hayes and Zandalasini for GSV, and Mercury is on b2b It looks like Mercury will look to play similarly on defense like last year, focus on denying points on the rim. Veronica had good games vs Mercury last season (16,17,24,11), and without Hayes she has increased last year in both usage and minutes. While the addition of Gabby Williams means GSV has more options than last year when Hayes was out, it looks like Veronica will be the main option for GSV When looking at Aces play vs Mercury, Jackie actually had plenty opportunities to score, just couldnt get shot to fall.

Whole day i had problems with the internet and tried to fix it so i decided I won't post anything today, but after i fixed it i think i found something, will post it soon, Mercury Valkyries, best odds DK, HR, betonline, Caesars, playable in FD Season starts with 0-1, yeah I should think more about b2b's, one of the bigger problems last year, but it's fucking nuts how hard Mercury destroyed Aces and A'ja playing just 24 minutes because of how huge the blowout was. Yes, there was help again on A'ja just like in the Finals, but with regular minutes she would clear the line by sheer forcing as other Aces players struggled even more than her + Mercury was giving midrange Mercury will be good defense again

1u A'ja Wilson over 23.5 pts -120 FD, bovada, -125 Dk, Caesars I know Aces added Carter in the offseason, who is coming back to the WNBA after playing one versus five in Arabia (we saw how she will play without A'ja in preseason game vs Japan), but hierarchy was clear in the other preseason game vs Wings, even though A'ja and Aces struggled This matchup is between last season finalists, and Mercury brought belgian center Liskens and lost Sabally in free agency. In the finals, there was a solid amount of help against A'ja, and she still had 28.5 points per game in the series. Liskens played for Belgium vs Usa and was one of the players who guarded A'ja. She has the strength to hold in the paint (Mack doesn't), so I wouldn't be surprised if there is more single coverage Aces addition for the frontcourt is Talbot instead Gustafson and Stokes. I don't think A'ja plays less than 28 mpg this season again as Talbot has some problems in her game on offense

Update Wnba season starts tonight, I didn't want to bet early lines so I will skip season opener. I will post picks for free in May, but I don't know will! open group after or what I will do NBA is not going well but I don't have nothing to blame. Will work on something for @propsmadness

@PipsNBA Truth nuke I needed

@ElekNBA You’re pretty dysfunctional and disorganized while you have potential to be one of the best. Studying and improving is much needed at this point as well. But you can do all because you are pretty smart and intelligent. All down to getting your shit together.

I pretty much killed my own x account but it is what it is Season not going well, record is 91-89 with -5.945u I am not sure what the next step is for me, do I want to continue all of this or call it quits after this season, its just i am unsure is it some kind of mental problem or this just is not what's for me. It is not the record of this season that makes me question, but the whole process being horrible even when i had somewhat good results in the past

@tyvansb That's the issue too I have to find some joy

@ElekNBA Keep your head up brother, remember this shit is for FUN! Live life, do this on the side, laugh at the loses, celebrate the wins, and get back to just enjoying it!