Ellis Bates
1.6K posts
@ElliscbIV
Election Analysis Fellow @VoteHub. Forecasts & occasional writing on Substack. MI roots, CA native. 17 y/o, Marist '30 🦊
Georgia Supreme Court Elections Total Early Vote: 🔵 Democrats: 568,314 🔴 Republicans: 425,682 The early voting period ended today.
California Early Voting Now vs at this point in 2022 At this point in 2022: 🔵 54% 🔴 25% 🟡 21% (557K Voted) Now: 🔵 41% (-13) 🔴 37% (+12) 🟡 22% (+1) (725K Voted)
New: The liberal billionaire @TomSteyer has been paying influencers to boost his campaign for California governor - and many are doing so without disclosure. One big TikToker, who called the 68-year-old a "vibe," didn't mention he'd been paid $10,000 wapo.st/4twTpOh
.@TomSteyer: If @MattMahanSJ thinks the oil companies are the good guys, that’s news to me! I’ve been fighting the oil companies and they are ripping us off at the pump as a result of this war in Iran. If you think the electric monopolies are doing us a favor and we should be nice to them, let me say this: They’re charging us twice as much as everybody else in the United States. Those are the people who I’m going to be taking on — the people who are using their market power to rip off Californians and make our costs go through the roof.
Friends, it’s official: it’s our pleasure to formally endorse @MattMahanSJ to be the next Governor of California. In so many ways Mayor Mahan is a ready-made New Liberal candidate and embodies where we hope the state and the Democratic Party are headed. We’re with you, Matt!
SEMAFOR: Senate Majority PAC Reserves $154.6M Across Key Senate Races • Ohio — $46.4M • Maine — $33.4M • North Carolina — $31.4M • Michigan — $20M • Iowa — $13.4M • Alaska — $10M
Breaking News: An influential strategist in California tied to Gov. Gavin Newsom and Xavier Becerra, who has emerged as a top Democratic contender for governor in the state, pleaded guilty in a corruption case. nyti.ms/4nzPsas
Mitchell Research & Communications poll | 5/1-5/7 LV Michigan Governor 🟦Jocelyn Benson 42% 🟥John James 30% ⬜️Mike Duggan 13% —— 🟦Jocelyn Benson 42% 🟥Perry Johnson 32% ⬜️Mike Duggan 13% —— 🟦Jocelyn Benson 41% 🟥Mike Cox 30% ⬜️Mike Duggan 14%
NEWS — Maryland Democrats are considering revisiting redistricting after declining to do so last year. A new congressional map would likely dismantle the state’s sole Republican-leaning district, currently represented by Rep. Andy Harris. Per @NOTUSreports
CALIFORNIA POLL - Governor (top two advance) 🟥 Steve Hilton: 23% 🟦 Xavier Becerra: 22% 🟦 Tom Steyer: 15% 🟥 Chad Bianco: 13% 🟦 Katie Porter: 12% 🟦 Matt Mahan: 7% 🟦 A. Villaraigosa: 2% 🟦 Matt Mahan: 1% David Binder | 5/5-11 | LV politico.com/newsletters/ca…
New - Governor poll - California 🔵 Becerra 20% 🔵 Steyer 19% 🔴 Hilton 18% 🔵 Porter 13% 🔴 Bianco 12% 🔵 Mahan 9% Emerson #A - LV - 5/10
