VoteHub

3.4K posts

VoteHub

@VoteHub

Your hub for elections. 🇺🇸 Detailed maps, live election night coverage, and analysis backed by deeper data.

Katılım Nisan 2024

84 Takip Edilen86K Takipçiler

VoteHub@VoteHub·1h

BREAKING — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has signed the new congressional map into law. The map could net Republicans +4 seats in the midterm elections.

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Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV·16h

If Democrats don’t hold this seat, electability could become a focal point in the MDP for Senate. It would also mark the first Republican flip in a special election since Trump 2.0 began. Suffice to say, there’s a lot at stake in Michigan on Tuesday for both parties.

Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024

One special legislative election on Tuesday (May 5) Michigan State Senate District 35 (Harris +1 | 2024) Ballotpedia: “The race could affect control of the Michigan Senate, where Democrats currently have a 19-18 majority. If Greene wins, Democrats would maintain control of the chamber. If Tunney wins, the chamber would tie 19-19, with Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist II (D) casting tie-breaking votes.”

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Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini·23h

👀🔮

QME

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Thank you for your feedback. We are always working to make our election coverage richer, clearer, and more useful for the public. Covering results at the county, municipal, and even precinct level is an important part of our mission. We believe breaking election results down at a more granular level helps people better understand how races are developing and where different candidates are performing well or underperforming. That said, it is important to remember that results can vary significantly across counties within the same race. For example, Donald Trump won Johnson County, Illinois by 59 points in 2024, even though he lost Illinois statewide by 11 points. Johnson County was misrepresentative of the race as a whole, but it was still a real and useful data point when presented with the proper context. Controlling for historical partisan context often helps viewers better interpret these differences and understand whether a result represents a true overperformance or simply reflects the underlying partisanship of a given area. However, elections can be unpredictable, especially in lower-turnout special elections, and unusual results do sometimes happen. That is what we aim to do with posts like these: highlight notable county-level results while also following up with the broader context needed to understand the race as a whole.

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Rachael Lindbeck@RogerLindbeck·1d

@VoteHub Then why did you post something you later will have to say is misrepresentative?

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Texas State Senate District 4 Special Election Jefferson County (>95% Reported): 🔵 Ron Angeletti - 1,726 (67.2%) 🔴 Brett Ligon - 844 (32.8%) This SD-04 portion of county was Trump+11 in 2024, so this is a 45 point overperformance for Democrats.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Good morning, We wanted to clarify that the post you quoted showed completed results only from the Jefferson County portion of SD-04, while the screenshot shows results from the entire race. Jefferson County is one of the five counties in the district. If you click the county results dropdown above the results and select Jefferson County, you should see the same numbers reflected there. VoteHub called the race for Republican Brett Ligon at 8:13 PM ET: x.com/VoteHub/status… Here is our post from 15 minutes before your quote-post, highlighting the strong Republican overperformance developing in SD-04 based on GOP strength in the absentee and early vote in Harris and Montgomery counties: x.com/VoteHub/status… Jefferson County was the second county to complete Election Night Reporting in TX SD-04, meaning all absentee, early, and Election Day votes had been counted there. Chambers County completed reporting first. Here is our post highlighting the strong Republican performance in Chambers County: x.com/VoteHub/status… Because Jefferson County was an outlier, with Democrats performing much better there than in the rest of the district, where Republicans looked like they were on track to substantially overperform from incomplete results, we added this note below the original post: x.com/VoteHub/status… After Harris and Montgomery counties completed reporting, confirming Republicans’ strongest special election performance in three months, we posted this update on the district as a whole: x.com/VoteHub/status… Please let us know if you have any other questions.

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Catturd ™@catturd2·1d

All they do is lie.

VoteHub@VoteHub

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Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV·1d

With all voting centers reporting, Ross looks like the apparent winner here, but given he's only avoiding the runoff by less than a tenth of a point, this race remains too close to call. A handful of outstanding votes could tip the scales between a runoff or not.

Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV

We’ve got our first batch of ED votes in for the Arlington mayoral race, and incumbent Mayor Jim Ross, who’s being challenged from the right by Steve Cavender, has gained slightly. He’s now within less than a point of avoiding a runoff.

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Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini·1d

Another 🔴 to 🔵 flip tonight in Arlington. Overall, it’s shaping up to be a strong night for Democratic voters in Arlington, TX. In the mayoral race, the more liberal option, Jim Ross, is currently doing just enough to avoid a runoff, sitting 12 votes above the threshold.

VoteHub@VoteHub

VoteHub project Brittney Garcia-Dumas to win the Arlington City Council District 5 election.

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Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini·1d

You're reading that correctly. In a suburban Dallas mayoral race tonight, Republican incumbent Jack McCarty handily defeated a man legally named Literally Anybody Else on the ballot.

VoteHub@VoteHub

North Richland Hills Mayor Election >95% Reported: 🔴 Jack McCarty - 4,467 (78.1%) ⚪️ Literally Anybody Else - 1,255 (21.9%)

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

North Richland Hills Mayor Election >95% Reported: 🔴 Jack McCarty - 4,467 (78.1%) ⚪️ Literally Anybody Else - 1,255 (21.9%)

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

VoteHub project Ross McMullin to win the Keller Mayoral election.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

VoteHub project Brittney Garcia-Dumas to win the Arlington City Council District 5 election.

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Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV·1d

Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV

One of the more competitive races in TX tonight is in Harris +8 Arlington, where incumbent Mayor Jim Ross is seeking a third term. The race is nonpartisan, with Ross as the liberal and Cavender as the conservative option. If neither reaches 50%, the race heads to a runoff.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

@RepMAGAKING VoteHub called the race for Brett Ligon just 13 minutes after polls closed, driven by his commanding margin in the early vote. x.com/VoteHub/status…

VoteHub@VoteHub

VoteHub projects Brett Ligon to win the Texas State Senate District 4 Special Election.

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RepMAGAKING@RepMAGAKING·1d

@VoteHub Fucken call it

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Texas State Senate District 4 Special Election >95% Reported: 🔴 Brett Ligon - 25,168 (74.9%) 🔵 Ron Angeletti - 8,427 (25.1%) This district was Trump+34 in 2024, so this is is a 16 point overperformance for Republicans.

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Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini·1d

A flip in Pearland, TX, as the Trump-voting Houston suburb sees its mayor’s office shift from 🔴 to 🔵 in a tightly contested race.

VoteHub@VoteHub

VoteHub projects Quentin Wiltz to win the Pearland, TX mayoral election.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

VoteHub projects Quentin Wiltz to win the Pearland, TX mayoral election.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Pearland, TX Mayoral Election >95% Reported: 🔵 Quentin Wiltz - 6,003 (51.1%) 🔴 Tony Carbone - 5,740 (48.9%) This city was Trump+3 in 2024.

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VoteHub@VoteHub·1d

Please give our new Election Analysis Fellow, @ElliscbIV, a follow.

Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV

The first batch of ED votes from Jefferson County is in, and so far, they’re breaking more Republican than the EV. Either way, Republicans are on track for their biggest overperformance of the cycle in this race.

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Ellis Bates@ElliscbIV·1d

Much of the overperformance in Jefferson County tonight came from Hispanic-majority precincts, where Democrats outran Harris by an average of 31 points.

VoteHub@VoteHub

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Keşfet

@RepMAGAKING @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates @NASA @nikifrancismediavine