Emily C Evans

What is clear is that Labour have five years to deliver on their promises, or the success the smaller parties have seen take them to second place across the map will start to take them to first up and down the UK...

Meanwhile Scotland's second place map looks like the winning party map from 2019, with the SNP edged out across the central belt.

The second place map shows even more clearly that it was a night for the small parties. Greens won 4 seats but came second in 38 constituencies. Reform UK took 5 seats in the end, but came second in 96...

Seats we are now colouring red for Labour include Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock, which we previously had as SNP, and Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard, which we previously had as Conservative. Thanks @Morninstar1992, Dods Polling Guru, for your work on this amazing data set!📊

Nevertheless, that's a further solidification of the Labour lead on our edition last week, when we had them at 378 seats and a majority of 106.

Back with another one! YouGov's first MRP of the 2024 general election is out, and they have Labour with 422 seats, a majority of 194. Our latest Dods Projected Winners map isn't quite as optimistic as YouGov for Labour: our poll aggregator has them at 396, a majority of 142 📈

My thoughts on how the MPC meeting on 20 June could shake up the election 👀 #UKGeneralElection2024

We'll be updating this every week - get in touch if you want to know more!

Our projections have Labour doing less well than predicted elsewhere - we are projecting a 106 majority, while the latest YouGov projected them at a 154 majority.

Dods Map Goblin back with another Dods Projected Winners map, and its looking very (unsurprisingly) red right now🔴#ukgeneralelection2024

UK Election 2024 Package: Your Ultimate Guide 📢 Get ready for the #UKGeneralElection on July 4th with our complete election package. Access expert pre- and post-election analysis to stay ahead. 👉 dodspoliticalintelligence.com/uk-election-in… #Election2024 #UKPolitics

After just 11 minutes of debate today, the long-awaited Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Bill passed! I have provided expert comment for @dodspolintel on this crucial legislation, whose parliamentary journey I have closely followed. #DMCC

Message me for methodology info!

Vast swathes of rural areas are still very much in play, but looks like the Red Wall is solidifying, and the SNP in retreat north of the border...

Pretty proud of this! Thanks to our Dods People team for putting together a model using polling averages, mapped by yours truly, the Dods Map Goblin. Stay tuned for more🌎

Finance (No. 2) Bill being rushed through the Commons today on an accelerated journey to Royal Assent --> tune into Business Questions to the Leader of the House for an update on the wash-up timetable! parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/c4…

With CPI down to 3.2% in March 2024, and the next inflation statistics, due on 22 May, expected to show a further decrease, the Committee is preparing for a thaw. If tomorrow’s GDP statistics show more troubling news for UK economic growth, that may speed up action to cut rates.

Where previously the Governor, Andrew Bailey, has insisted that rates will stay high for as long as it takes to get inflation back to the 2% target, this monetary policy report highlighted the fact that restrictive monetary policy “is weighing on activity in the real economy”.

As anticipated, the Monetary Policy Committee chose to maintain the Bank Rate at its 16-year high of 5.25 percent for the sixth time in a row. However, there is now division amongst the members with Dave Ramsden joining Swati Dhingra in pushing for a cut to 5 percent.