William_Y

-Warren Buffet

@guo_winnie24 你这样想的时候他已经放下了

@jffans 周日上啥课

@yw9715 老了。

I am obsessed with pickleball!

谈过几次恋爱就知道了 纯爱的那些人都幼稚、拧巴、情绪化 相处舒服的人 你会发现都是骚货

@0b7cm 需要预言家

看到一个短文好好笑。 女主在林中发现一头浑身是伤的狼人。 为治好他，省下自己的吃穿用度，日日煎药熬到眼睛发红。 可后来他却对女主说：“我不可能爱上一个声名狼藉的女巫。” 女主懵了：“不清楚你们狼人有什么规矩，但我从来就没想过和动物谈恋爱。我一直把你当狗养。”

@340102001a @LeigeSee 你不会算概率

@LeigeSee 其他没问题 但有2点 1.被绿的概率不是50比50,而是0和100,取决个人品行 2.哪怕对面谈10个对象,也是和对象发生关系,和在关系存续期间内出轨的性质完全不同,怎么可以做比较?还说自己和对方分数差不多

这姑娘把男朋友绿了，男友要分手，姑娘有理有据逻辑清晰的一套劝说。 他男友怎样不知道，但是我感觉如果换了我，我已经被她说服了。😂

@LeigeSee @bryanwangxin 男人更在意

@bryanwangxin 理论上是这样的，不过女的和男的在意的东西不一样。女的更在意精神出轨。

@ReadSnapX @LeigeSee 哪有厚颜无耻 多正常

@LeigeSee 卧槽。。。诡辩天才啊这是，她是如何做到厚颜无耻的讲出这些来的？😂

@Jordan97995944 归因错误。认为你可能有钱，但又不想你知道图你钱。仅此而已。

想讓女人對你上頭 就需要保持神秘感 永遠別讓她知道你的過去和你的未來 她覺得你不是很富裕 但你股票帳戶上千萬 她覺得你應該很有錢，但你平時又帶著她踩共享單車吃麥當勞 她覺得你很愛她，但經常會消失幾天 她覺得你不愛她，但又會經常一整天陪著她，連手機都不碰 當女人每天都陷入不斷思考，不斷猜想 恭喜你 這個女人，永遠離不開你了

@George2000025 老王上头了。

王石和他老婆😂

@dlw20202020 又开始吹牛逼了

四五年前我的鬍子開始花白 這無所謂 但是同步的 陰毛也開始白 這就太影響形象了！ 总不能下边染发吧！ 於是我果斷刮到乾乾淨淨 最近決定蓄髮 惊奇的发现新长出来的都是黑色的 一头黑发年轻漂亮！ 把这个秘方分享给大家： 长期的刮削毛孔会造成黑色素功能恢复！

@Berry16888 炒B的本来99%都是精光 别拿小偷当掩护

拜拜了被偷个精光的意大利 回国中了，这辈子也不回来意大利了

@ShanghaoJin 同理期权

大道至简， 我来公开个Jane Street的策略（btw梁文峰也没少干） 找ETF中市值大、交易量小的股票，下单买入容易拉的个股，卖出ETF 这才是“量化”懂了么？

@jffans 做完爱以后抱抱哄一哄

@gangg2021 土豹子

我今天才知道 北美这边的皮卡 英文是Pickup Truck 居然是发音直译！！！！！啊啊啊！！！ 竟然这样毫无技术含量的直白！！！！

@Biantaiboooo 我老婆也遇到过。这种人像要把人吃了一样

无语了 吃烤鱼，旁边桌有个男的一直侧身盯着我看。难道不知道被人盯着是有感觉的吗？特别不自在。 我实在受不了，就瞪回去了。结果对方一点反应都没有，还是照样盯着。僵持了几秒，我先败下阵来，默默移开视线。 怎么办啊？我要说他，对方完全可以一句“我没看你啊”顶回来。 明明很不礼貌，却无解。

Sam Altman told the US Senate under oath "I HAVE NO EQUITY IN OPENAI." He is now set to receive a $10 billion stake in the company he turned from a nonprofit into an $852 billion business. And Elon Musk is taking him to court for it and trial just started in Oakland today. Musk is suing for $150 billion and wants Altman removed from OpenAI. Musk co-founded OpenAI in 2015 as a nonprofit and put in $44 million of the earliest funding. The mission was to build AI safely for humanity, not for profit. After Musk left in 2018, Altman and Brockman created a for profit subsidiary and converted the entire company into an $852 billion for profit entity. They raised $122 billion in their most recent round. An IPO could value them at $1 trillion. Brockman's own diary entry from 2017 is the most damaging evidence. After telling Musk in a meeting that OpenAI would stay nonprofit, Brockman privately wrote "if three months later we're doing b-corp then it was a lie." He also wrote "it would be nice to be making the billions." In a separate message Brockman wrote "this is the only chance we have to get out from Elon" and asked "what will take me to $1 B?" And while running OpenAI as CEO, Altman was quietly building a personal empire that directly benefits from OpenAI's decisions. He tried to get OpenAI to invest $500 million into Helion Energy, a nuclear fusion startup where he is one of the biggest personal investors. Employees rejected it over conflict of interest concerns. OpenAI declined but then signed a power deal with Helion that Helion used to boost its valuation with future investors, directly benefiting Altman's personal stake. He pushed for OpenAI to acquire or take a controlling stake in Stoke Space, a rocket company his family office has invested in. He was chairman of Oklo, a nuclear energy company that went public through his own SPAC. He only stepped down in April 2025 to "avoid conflict of interest" and "open up future deals between OpenAI and Oklo." His personal portfolio includes stakes in over 400 companies worth $2.8 billion. Many of them operate in sectors where OpenAI does business. His salary at OpenAI is $66,000 a year. His real wealth comes from deals he makes on the side while running the company. This is the same CEO who was fired in November 2023 because the board said he was "not consistently candid" about his outside interests. He was reinstated days later. The board members who fired him were all replaced. Musk wants Altman and Brockman removed, the for-profit conversion reversed, and $150 billion sent back to OpenAI's nonprofit foundation. He says he does not want a single dollar for himself. Nine jurors were seated Monday. Musk could take the stand tomorrow. Satya Nadella and former CTO Mira Murati are also expected to testify. If Musk wins, OpenAI's IPO could be killed. If he loses, Altman walks away with $10 billion in equity from a company built on $44 million of someone else's charitable donations.

Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant bear markets. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline. Well, 35% on 250% of GDP is 80, 90% of GDP. 10% of our tax revenues are capital gains, they go to zero. So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You can see the bond market getting smoked. You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect. In the stock market, we're over-equitized as a country. We have the highest individual equity weightings in the history of the country. And then the real problem is if you look at private equity in 2007-2008, that was about 7% of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios. We're so much more illiquid than we were in 2008. The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows. So yes, the S&P is spectacular long-term, if you have a hundred-year view. But that's because that's an average of a hundred years, including times when the S&P 500 PE was 6, 7 and 8, or one third of what it is right now. Valuation matters a lot, and the stock market's really high and it's gonna be really hard to make money from here with any kind of long-term view."

Still a great company, this is bigger side of pic at the moment. Use options.