AisA

Next big move will be like "20% drop over 3 days " In a week or two, they will all say "no one could have seen this coming, no one"

When you post what you thought was a routine chart/trade setup on X(the thing that's formerly known as Twitter)... come back a few hours later to see an unusual amount of bearish/opposing views/"hate it" replies on the feed....

$VRT #10 on the @IBDinvestors IBD Top 50 list! twtr.to/_siQT Printed a massive PEG candle today that launched the stock into New All Time Highs. This company is in a sweet spot to reap the rewards of the A.I. era ... their earnings showed that today. #IBDpartner @marketsurge

@TKLSubscribers Would be helpful if you indicate the month for GC (and CL) contracts in the summary of positions. Thanks.

Ben Affleck is clearly a smart guy. So this does not surprise me. It sounds familiar and on point. Delivered much better than I ever could.

@TKLSubscribers What are the Crude levels for the Feb contract? Thanks.

@alexstanczyk Best illustration of money vs currency.

US Dollar Gold price chart since 1940. Serious question, what does this look like to you?

There's 6250 hit. We need volatility to trade (headline, fast flush), but we got some towards 2pm. 6233 was today's support, we flushed it by 8 points. I posted at 1:58PM its reclaim would see 6242 (hit), 6250 (just hit). 6261, 6270, 6279 if #ES_F wants more. Same supports

@TKLSubscribers Such a clown show with clear intent to manipulate the markets!

@HedgieMarkets Bank earnings are from the pre-tariff era. How do you see these “bellwethers” handling the tariff chaos? Are stress tests done for stagflation scenarios? Thanks.

🦔 Hi everyone! I figured this was a good time to post my daily recap for us all given some of the latest news that have hit my radar. Overall, this was a relative calm day until the Nvidia news hit. For starters, the market took a small step back today after two days of gains. The S&P 500 dipped 0.17%, the Dow fell 0.38% (about 156 points), and the Nasdaq barely even moved, down just 0.05%. Looking at today's regular session, the market fear level has dropped dramatically. The VIX, which measures how worried investors are, has fallen from 60 to around 30 in just a week. Think of the VIX as the market's blood pressure reading. A reading of 60 is hypertensive crisis territory, while 30 is still elevated but not emergency level. (maybe less dramatic, but you get the visual) We also had some earnings today! Yay! Bank stocks were today's bright spot after Bank of America and Citigroup reported strong earnings. This matters because banks are economic bellwethers. When they're healthy, it suggests the financial system has solid foundations even if other parts of the economy show stress. On the commodities front, gold miners hit their highest level since 2012, and that is particularly telling. When investors flock to gold during uncertain times, they're looking for a store of value that isn't tied to government currencies or policies. So that was fairly nice and calm.... and then we had some news. Currently futures are sliding tonight, with Dow futures down 0.4%, S&P futures down 0.8%, and Nasdaq futures dropping 1.2%. The reason for this is Nvidia, which just announced a massive $5.5 billion charge after the US government banned them from selling H20 chips to China "for the indefinite future." Their stock is down over 6% in after-hours trading. This Nvidia news is significant because it represents a clear escalation in the US-China trade tensions. We've moved beyond tariffs on physical goods to direct restrictions on technology transfers. Nvidia specifically designed these H20 chips to comply with earlier U.S. restrictions on selling advanced AI chips to China, creating what they thought was a compliant workaround. Now even these modified chips are banned indefinitely, ouch. This signals that technology decoupling between the US and China is accelerating, which has broader implications for global supply chains and tech companies with significant China exposure. Companies may need to develop separate product lines for different markets or face similar financial impacts. Let's look at tomorrow though! Tomorrow brings important retail sales data, with economists expecting a 1.2% increase for March. This will give us insight into consumer spending, which drives about 70% of our economy. I hope these breakdowns are helpful and feel free to ask questions! Hedgie🤗

@HedgieMarkets Thank you. Good points - until “economic nationalism” either fails or is reversed by the next administration or another country emerges on top - and assuming that $ remains as the global reserve currency.

🦔 Good morning again! Let me share what I'm seeing in the markets today and talk bout some things that are playing out and my thoughts. I woke up this morning and markets are rallying today on tech tariff exemptions, but the bigger picture is that we're witnessing a fundamental shift in global trade relationships. These tariff policies aren't just short-term market movers; they represent a potential restructuring of global supply chains that could play out over years. Nvidia's announcement that it will manufacture AI supercomputers in the US for the first time is exactly the kind of strategic adaptation I'm talking about. This isn't just a PR move; it's a company recognizing that the rules of global trade are changing and positioning itself accordingly. By bringing manufacturing back to the US, Nvidia reduces its exposure to future tariff risks while potentially gaining access to government contracts that require domestic production. What we're really seeing is a tug-of-war between two powerful forces. On one side, there's the push toward economic nationalism and reshoring of manufacturing. On the other, there's the reality that global markets and supply chains have become deeply interconnected over decades. To go along with this, OPEC is cutting their oil demand forecast tells us something important: global organizations are factoring in slower economic growth due to trade friction. When countries put up trade barriers, economic activity typically slows as costs increase and efficiency decreases. The stark disagreement between economic experts about recession risks isn't just political posturing. It reflects genuine uncertainty about how resilient the US consumer will be in the face of potentially higher prices on imported goods. For us investors and retired folks, this environment calls for thinking beyond the daily market swings. The companies that will thrive in this new reality are those that can adapt their supply chains, maintain pricing power, and navigate an increasingly complex global trade landscape. Nvidia is showing us one path forward, but each company will need to find its own way to succeed in this changing world. Just trying to bring some clarity to the moves we're seeing today, Hedgie🤗

@HedgieMarkets @KobeissiLetter Yoda: “Clear thinker we have here in @HedgieMarkets!” Thank you for your posts.

🦔 Hey everyone, wanted to pop in here to explain what's going on. This 10Y yield move above 4.50% is really important to understand. When bond yields rise like this, it means bond prices are falling because investors are selling. This selling pressure is coming from several sources we've been discussing: inflation concerns from tariffs, the unwinding of leveraged positions in the basis trade, and potentially foreign investors reducing their Treasury holdings. For regular investors, higher yields have real impacts on your finances. Mortgage rates are directly influenced by the 10Y yield, so home loans get more expensive. Companies face higher borrowing costs too, which can reduce profits and slow growth. This particularly affects growth stocks that rely on future earnings, which is why tech often struggles when yields rise. The bond market is currently the driving force behind market sentiment across all asset classes. What's particularly noteworthy is that yields are rising despite Friday's tariff exemption news that should have calmed markets. This suggests the underlying issues with the carry trade unwinding and basis trade problems may be more powerful than policy adjustments. Hope this clarifies some of what's going on in the markets! 🤗

BREAKING: The 10Y Note Yield rises back above 4.50% at the open. The bond market is in control.

@TKLSubscribers Thank you. Stops already hit in the ON session. Looks like all your stop/limit levels are set for RTH only.

@TKLSubscribers $NATGAS: same levels with the rollover to K25 contract?

@TKLSubscribers @MrAndyA Please do let the subs know that as a rule, ON stops are removed. If it is case by case, then a heads up would be great. Thank you for replying.

@TKLSubscribers $NATGAS stopped out at your stop loss of 4.80, right?

@MWM76 @KobeissiLetter Yeah. That’s the transcript of the perfect phone call to Putin. Probably also got Putin’s approval first.

@KobeissiLetter All for show, don't worry Mr Putin!

BREAKING: President Trump says he is "strongly considering large scale banking sanctions, sanctions, and tariffs on Russia until a cease fire is reached."

@TKLSubscribers Stop moved lower by you in #GOLD btw.

@TKLSubscribers What’s your guidance on rolling $NATGAS with 5 DTE for the front month contract (H25)? Thanks.

@TKLSubscribers $NATGAS hold the line?