LongOnly

1.5K posts

LongOnly

LongOnly

@EndThePods

Institutional long only equity investor. mostly cyclicals. Former Sellside ER. Strong dislike of pods.

Katılım Ocak 2023
1.3K Takip Edilen721 Takipçiler
LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@brandonjcarl Markets not open until Tuesday. Probably would’ve held this for longer if it were another market juke
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@Gugabed @BosCardHunter They charge based on graded value. So if a card gets a high grade and they determine it to be worth more than the “max insured value” of the level you select, they upcharge you to the level that their “insured value” covers
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Gugabe
Gugabe@Gugabed·
@BosCardHunter Wait so guy sent a card in that PSA judged to be higher grade than the guy did then want to redo their fees to be higher since it's a grail?
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Boston Card Hunter
Boston Card Hunter@BosCardHunter·
Someone reached out and asked how this is possible 😆
Boston Card Hunter tweet media
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@PLeonardNYDN You’re going to be spending the entire year trying to fracture the locker room with this aren’t you, you fucking weasel
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LongOnly@EndThePods·
@StoolMintzy @OhioTate this shit is all made up you have to audit this moron. There’s no way all of these things just happened to have happened. He’s playing into it.
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Mintzy
Mintzy@StoolMintzy·
Atlanta Airport layover. Stoolies everywhere in South homeland. Check my watch see 7:15 so decide to get food b4 8:45pm flight. As I was eating, check phone & see 8:22pm . Panic sets in & I make it to gate as Zone 8 boarding. Time Zones 🤷‍♂️
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
If you want to know my true answer, with certain stocks I believe it is a complete and utter waste of time to beg and plead for a change in valuation. The market tells you tesla trades at a ~1.5% FCF yield historically. Is it crazy? Sure. Am i going to short it in hopes the valuation re-rates? No, because the market has proven very durably that it is not going to magically force tesla to trade a 15% FCF yield because GM and F do. You’re more than welcome to fight the market if you want, but i find it to be a losing battle.
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Jon Bryant
Jon Bryant@JonBryant421·
@EndThePods @NoOnemklz @FredLambert Yes, you have been lucky because you cannot explain why it’s a trade where trades. That’s pretty obvious with this exchange and you’re taking it that you’re being smart. It’s underperformed for 5 yrs. That is a firable offense.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@JonBryant421 @NoOnemklz @FredLambert Quite literally nobody pays you for having the best or most accurate model. And with Tesla it’s obviously not worth shit. But sure, keep trying. One day Tesla will trade at 6x. One day!!!!
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
It’s been a “bubble stock” for 6 years. You betting on your fundamentals driving an 80% drawdown in Tesla stock would’ve gotten you fired 3 times a year for the last 5 years. And yet you think I have it wrong. I suppose there’s a reason you’re a “former investor” and I’m still in a seat. But maybe I’m just lucky. My job is to make money, not be right on the fundamentals. Maybe if you realized that sooner you’d still be employed.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
I’ve covered Tesla in a buyside seat for the last 6 or so years. I’m not a TSLA fanboy. But my job is to make money, and spending time truly believing TSLA should trade at 6x earnings is the fastest way to lose your job in a real investing seat. But for people like you that just scream on X it doesnt really matter, so you keep repeating the same bullshit over and over.
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Jon Bryant
Jon Bryant@JonBryant421·
@EndThePods @NoOnemklz @FredLambert Again, no response of substance because there isn’t one, just belief. Let me ask you did you believe that Tesla would dominate autos? Can you admit you were wrong?
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@JonBryant421 @NoOnemklz @FredLambert Spending time arguing with people that truly believe Tesla should trade at auto multiples is a complete and utter waste of time. They’re absolute morons.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@JonBryant421 @NoOnemklz @FredLambert Brother haven’t you been screaming into the void for 10 years about Tesla being overvalued? Maybe you should look inward at your own understanding of the companies you spend years bitching about
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Jon Bryant
Jon Bryant@JonBryant421·
@NoOnemklz @EndThePods @FredLambert Is it as good as not having excess capacity because you’re growing your core business rapidly? NO! Participate in discussions when you can understand the main point, not tangential ones. 2/2
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@Krokodil_V I’m going through the process of trying to size the data center opportunity myself - 2 phase specifically. The numbers I’m getting point to pretty meaningful upside, but still going through the numbers. Directionally I certainly don’t disagree with you at all though.
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Krokodil Capital
Krokodil Capital@Krokodil_V·
Bull case, I think $SOLS can clear $200 just off RAS. - Nuclear: assume greenfield doubles capacity, ASP in ~$60s, EBITDA margins ~38% (Orano levels). AES clears $11B EV at 22x EV/EBITDA ($CCJ and $LEU type multiples). Is there demand for this conversion? Per DOE estimates for nuclear ("the US would need access to 70K to 95K MT per year of UF6"). Again noting $SOLS atm does 9-10K MTU (can go up to 15K MTU) and they are the sole US source. - Data center 2 phase cooling - $CC had previously sized the fluid as a $1.5B to $3B TAM 2 years ago; $SOLS / $CC at 50% share of this = $8.5B EV at 15x. CCing smarter guys for their views too @EndThePods @CapstackCapital @leveraged_cat @MNTonX
Krokodil Capital tweet mediaKrokodil Capital tweet media
Jester@JesterTrades

@Krokodil_V Whats your bullish target if 150$ is estimated conservatively? "Upside can come from renewal of UF6 LTAs at higher prices around 2030 + additional facilities + recovery in refrigerants / housing + data center direct 2-phase cooling opportunity" If those cases happen?

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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@LuisSalagdo @SCCTradingCards Direct from topps yes. But it’s based on the product. Most also have lottery entries for higher end product now.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@pamsson …but I guarantee you won’t, because you’re a fucking child.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@pamsson Then say it with your chest: why do you think that jazz and Grisham have received more hate than wells? You posed the question, so fucking answer it.
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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@treasury_bill Absolutely. Nobody is thinking about refrigerants yet. Would guess like ~80% of the SOLS move since spin is because of nuclear, but the refrigerants piece is going to be massive.
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treasurybill
treasurybill@treasury_bill·
Smart guy. Skate to where the puck is going. I’m a fellow $SOLS investor too. Recommend everyone look into this company .
LongOnly@EndThePods

@TMTLongShort Wait until people realize that 800v data centers won’t use water as a coolant but will use HFO refrigerants, which are a duopoly between $SOLS and $CC

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LongOnly
LongOnly@EndThePods·
@TMTLongShort Wait until people realize that 800v data centers won’t use water as a coolant but will use HFO refrigerants, which are a duopoly between $SOLS and $CC
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Just Another Pod Guy
Just Another Pod Guy@TMTLongShort·
When I say bottlenecks I don’t just mean memory, optics and wafers. What does it take to 100x capacity of automated wet labs? What will we need to close the loop between a datacenter and testing new material sciences? Imagine the demand. Figure out what the labs optimal economic path function is. Identify who has first dibs on supply.
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