Eric Martin

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Eric Martin

Eric Martin

@EricMartin24

Law Talking Guy; Used to write @DemArsenal and @ObWi; I swung my fiery sword

New York City Katılım Eylül 2010
1K Takip Edilen832 Takipçiler
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John O'Connell
John O'Connell@jdpoc·
American (lack of) education has a great deal to answer for…
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Damin Toell
Damin Toell@damintoell·
If you can’t handle a completely milquetoast proclamation about a holiday without pissing your pants, you’re not surviving a holy war.
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constans
constans@constans·
Trump has always understood that people find it easier to just go along with him and give him what he wants. But Iran is refusing to do so while Israel his pushing him into a position he doesn’t want to be in, and this is something he’s not used to
david c. porter (read NTTN)@toomuchistrue

fundamentally what's enabled trump to "wriggle out of it" again and again is that when you're president of the united states and say something is so, a great machine is immediately set to work bringing reality into, at the very least, a workable semblance of alignment with it

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Branislav Slantchev
Branislav Slantchev@slantchev·
Trump is, again, lying about shortages of ammunition for the war against Iran due to some imaginary supplies to Ukraine. Here are some facts: The kinds of weapons we are using to strike Iran were NEVER sent to Ukraine: PrSM (entered service in 2024), LUCAS drones (brand new), Tomahawks (Trump talked about sending some, never did), and of course B-2 Spirit stealth bombers, F-22 Raptors, and F-35s -- obviously none were ever transferred to Ukraine. The only weapons one might plausibly refer to would be ATACMS: the entire stock we deigned to send Ukraine was about 50 rounds (we had used 800 in the opening days of the Iraq invasion). The US used over 20 weapons systems to hit over 1,000 targets simultaneously during the opening hours of Operation Epic Fury. An estimated 300 Tomahawks were used and the Pentagon ordered... 57 new ones in the current fiscal year. There have been no deliveries of THAAD interceptors since 2023 and no new orders were placed this year. The military will get 39 in 2027, six years after ordering them. If we are running short on ammunition, it's because the people ordering this war did not plan adequately for contingencies and spent like drunken sailors, not because of our (really nonexistent for the past year) aid to Ukraine. Our big problem is that right now, we are still using extremely expensive systems like Patriots ($3-4 million per missile) and NASAMS/AMRAAM interceptors ($0.8-1.2 million per missile) to combat mass-produced $20,000 Shahed drones. This asymmetric exchange ratio between offense and defense is what kept analysts at night during the Cold War and why eventually defense systems would be scrapped for being too easily overwhelmed by numbers despite being technologically superior. Ukraine has been fighting and innovating precisely to deal with the asymmetric offense capabilities of Russia for years, and they have learned how to do it. But when they offered to help us last year, the Trump administration arrogantly brushed them aside. Now we are squandering premier weapons designed to stop ballistic missiles on cheap drones. And we can't keep doing it no matter how wealthy we are. Missiles take months, sometimes years, to make, while drones can be mass produced in weeks. You lose wars not when the offense peaks --- as the current bombing afficionados at the White House have you believe with their nonstop meming about raining destruction on Iran -- but when your defense capacity is stretched to its limits and cannot cope with things that keep coming at it.
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Three Year Letterman
Three Year Letterman@3YearLetterman·
Beanie babies are a better investment than cryptocurrency
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Sunk Cost Pharisee
Sunk Cost Pharisee@Liamjsm·
Rufo, born in California, knows that cougars almost never attack humans and the cats, who currently live on both sides of the highway, already have “direct access” to the neighborhood in question
Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️@christopherrufo

The craziest thing about Newsom's $100 million wildlife bridge is that it will allow cougars, an apex predator, direct access into a suburban neighborhood filled with pets, children, and the elderly. It's like the radical environmentalist version of The Purge.

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Andy Roth
Andy Roth@arhooptalk·
I guess you could say that Trump “Pearl Harbor” comment today really bombed
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Aidan McLaughlin
Aidan McLaughlin@aidnmclaughlin·
Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale apparently still believes the Minab elementary school was hit by a "failed Iranian missile," a belief that is not supported by *any accounts*
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Alex Wickham
Alex Wickham@alexwickham·
NEW: US allies do not see a realistic way of reopening the Strait of Hormuz without ending the war. G7 countries have been discussing how they could help Trump. There are conversations about a framework for Hormuz security. The UK has sent military planners to the US for talks. But the reality is these conversations are at a very early stage and US allies are not looking at sending naval assets until the conflict eases. US allies are yet to be convinced there is any credible military plan to reopen the strait. The UK has been in talks with Lloyds of London about insurance products and prices when the situation calms. But even then insurance is not seen as the big issue - it is safety. It marks a widening disconnect between the US and Europe over the war amid concerns Trump ultimately doesn’t have a plan. Meanwhile energy prices are soaring, bonds tumbling and interest rates are set to rise. With @EllenAMilligan @golnarM >> bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Eric Martin
Eric Martin@EricMartin24·
@BlindJoeDef @yashar What will you say if you’re proven wrong? Will you introspect? Adjust your priors? Commit to it now. Be a man of your word
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Cornell77
Cornell77@BlindJoeDef·
@yashar Naysaying is lazy, zero-risk blabbing. When you're proven wrong, you'll attribute it to chance, or "international pressure saved Trump", or the mullahs changing their mind for reasons unrelated to U.S. efforts.
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Eric Martin retweetledi