Evan A. Feigenbaum

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Evan A. Feigenbaum

Evan A. Feigenbaum

@EvanFeigenbaum

Leading voice on Asia, experienced across government, think tanks and markets. Advisor to two Secretaries of State, a former Treasury Secretary and global CEOs.

Washington, DC Katılım Mayıs 2014
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Evan A. Feigenbaum
Evan A. Feigenbaum@EvanFeigenbaum·
In Asia, the United States is long on attitude, short on strategy. Re-upping this podcast deep dive I did last year into America's gathering policy failures in Asia. I pull the thread on several themes: 1. America's oversecuritization of its approach to Asia - to borrow the same metaphor, Washington is long on security and short on just about everything else. As I sometimes tartly put it, the United States is in serious danger of becoming "the Hessians of Asia." 2. Washington's strategic narcissism in filtering its entire Asia strategy through the prism of American competition with China. In other words, rather than trying to "get China right by getting Asia right," we are instead making every policy, initiative, and relationship derivative of America's own focus on Beijing. 3. Our collective national failure to adapt to an integrating Asia - one that is more "Asian" and less "Pacific" and more closely resembles its historical norm rather than the Cold War anomaly. 4. Our persistent inability to understand that Asian countries have domestic politics too - and how that, in turn, sometimes leads American policymakers both to misread Asian countries' interests and overestimate American leverage. 5. Why the United States isn't getting enough strategic traction EVEN in the Asian countries that are most ambivalent about the rise of Chinese power. When the mathematical operations that matter in Asia (and elsewhere) are addition and multiplication, it is strategically nonsensical to go long on subtraction and division. 6. What the Trump team gets right - for instance, about why Asian governments aren't attracted to a highly ideological American approach to their region - but then gets wrong in the execution and thus risks losing the strategic plot. 7. Why Washington won't be able to successfully ring-fence security cooperation by invoking shared fears of China while simultaneously coercing its allies and partners in the economic and technology domains. 8. Why China is more resilient than the United States thinks - but why Beijing, for all its strategic, political, ideological, and systematic differences from Washington, often shares American strategic narcissism. 9. How Beijing went from loathing sanctions to using them, copycatting the American architecture and, as I bluntly put it here, "learning from the best" - namely, Americans. Give the podcast a listen. The United States needs to approach Asia as it is, not the region of its wishes, dreams, and fantasies. pacificpolarity.substack.com/p/evan-feigenb…
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Chris Horton 何貴森
Interesting interview of Kunming resident Colin Flahive, author and founder of a small restaurant empire that he co-owns with his Chinese staff. Lots of fascinating details about the dramatic changes in Yunnan over the past three decades. Worth a watch. youtube.com/watch?v=7-ZY3f…
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Dewey Sim 沈炜淳
Dewey Sim 沈炜淳@deweysim·
Exclusive: The Pentagon is planning to send a high-level delegation to Beijing within weeks to lay the groundwork for Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth to visit China, sources say. My latest with @zhengwei75 scmp.com/news/china/mil…
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CBS News
CBS News@CBSNews·
Chinese President Xi Jinping gave President Trump a rare private tour of the gardens at Zhongnanhai, the secretive leadership compound of the Chinese Communist Party in Beijing. Trump asked Xi how often foreign leaders are invited into the secluded complex, to which Xi responded that such visits are “extremely rare.”
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Evan A. Feigenbaum
Evan A. Feigenbaum@EvanFeigenbaum·
This is silly. They've been de facto ranking the state vice president in 8th place, behind the Standing Committee and ahead of the Politburo, e.g., in the way both Wang Qishan and Han Zheng have been placed by official media for order of precedence. And Han Zheng is also a former Standing Committee member. This is protocol duty. And in any case, this non-debate is kind of ridiculous.
Brian McDonald@BrianMcDonaldIE

Russian media is noting that Putin appears to have received a higher-level airport reception in Beijing than Trump did last week. Putin was personally greeted by Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, a serving Politburo member, whereas Trump was met by Vice President Han Zheng, who no longer sits on either the Politburo or the Communist Party’s Central Committee. Some Chinese protocol analysts explain that sending a Politburo member to the airport signals that Beijing considers the visitor an especially important guest.

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Evan A. Feigenbaum
Evan A. Feigenbaum@EvanFeigenbaum·
This piece makes a key point - for Central Asians states, the main challenge is not to export raw ores at depressed prices but to get foreign investors, whether Chinese or now critical minerals loving Americans, to leave more of the value-added in the region itself. That means winning industrial and processing investments, not just promoting extraction. "The Much-Touted Middle Corridor Transport Route Could Prove a Dead End." carnegieendowment.org/russia-eurasia…
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Damon Chen
Damon Chen@damengchen·
My wife’s in Beijing today and stopped by the same bakery Jensen visited a few days ago. They’ve already updated the ads. This bakery’s marketing team may be running on NVIDIA GPUs 😂
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Echoes of War
Echoes of War@EchoesofWarYT·
Theodore Roosevelt in Color
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Evan A. Feigenbaum
Evan A. Feigenbaum@EvanFeigenbaum·
Actually, Washington would have a better shot at "a coherent long-term strategy on China" if it began with something resembling a coherent long-term strategy on Asia. But it doesn't have one. I've been beating this drum since, like, forever. Here's one of many pieces of this argument - this particular one, directed at Biden as the president-elect in 2020, from @TheNatlInterest: nationalinterest.org/feature/meetin…
Bloomberg@business

Trump’s Beijing visit underscores an East Asia specialist’s warning: Washington lacks a coherent long-term strategy on China. bloomberg.com/features/2026-…

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Evan A. Feigenbaum
Evan A. Feigenbaum@EvanFeigenbaum·
Hard disagree with this piece. The more likely outcome, at least in Asia, is fragmentation not unipolarity one way or the other. Putting China to the side, Asia includes sizable, capable, self-interested powers that are not going to simply accept Chinese "hegemony" (whatever that means). If we think in terms of function, not form, it is more likely that we will see shifting coalitions, portfolio politics, and diversity rather than unipolarity or Cold War like bipolarity. I've written a lot on this, including here in 2020 for example: carnegieendowment.org/posts/2020/09/…
Foreign Policy@ForeignPolicy

Chinese hegemony once looked impossible. But weakened U.S. alliances may no longer prevent Beijing’s dominance. foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/12/chi…

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