Falcon

6.8K posts

Falcon banner
Falcon

Falcon

@F4lconEye

Trader | Schizophrenic | Shit poster | Analyst

Forest Katılım Ocak 2023
37 Takip Edilen289 Takipçiler
Falcon
Falcon@F4lconEye·
Wazzup Beijing
Indonesia
0
0
0
16
Falcon
Falcon@F4lconEye·
bitcoin:native I'm not a memeline guy, buy yall see this. Same as vitalikcoin, a bit more to go.
Falcon tweet media
English
0
0
0
23
Falcon
Falcon@F4lconEye·
ethereum:native A bit more to go.
Falcon tweet media
English
0
0
2
41
Mandelbrot
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness·
$CBRS $ANSEM If my fractal is correct I expect ANSEM to be trading at -0.13 by end of August
Mandelbrot tweet mediaMandelbrot tweet media
English
7
1
52
5.5K
Falcon
Falcon@F4lconEye·
Messi 🐐
Français
0
0
0
22
Falcon retweetledi
Cav
Cav@CavanXy·
Throughout this recent period of chop (the last week and a bit), I've continued to observe a subtle anx amongst participants in two forms: mainly, a quick tendency to realise any long profits, and secondly, a hesitancy to buy dips provided. This isn't judgment in any form, as it all makes a lot of sense given where we are, ie at the bottom of a bear, HTF momentum still down, and recently had a fear-driven event (the Strategy unwind fears that printed the low). But suffice it to say, I believe the market has been sending clear signals over the past week. I can't quite remember the video or analogue, but I believe (may be wrong here) it was @Trader_XO who outlined this dynamic: a strong market (or weak, for that matter) will front-run the "obvious" liquidity levels participants are waiting to do their business at. In addition to front running obvious levels, we've also witnessed price aggressively work its way back to the local highs following each pullback, providing little time to reposition and thus giving the participant an uncomfortable decision in suboptimal areas. The last time I remember lower time frame chop (following a major swing inflection point) which 1) left lows unswept and 2) had similar sell offs followed by aggressive moves back to local highs, was in April 25' following the tariff lows, which curiously is the most similar technical bottom I've seen since [3d bulldivs hammering out lower lows yet failure to break down, etc etc]. I vividly remember talking with @captain_kole at the time (who was acc on a generational run throughout Q2'25), and he coined the dynamic "bullish chop", a phrase that stuck and feels very relevant here. Textbook predatory PA. Yesterday, adding to a recent thread of ltf commentary throughout this period (x.com/CavanXy/status…) I stated I think the dip provided Monday will likely be the last before we see this chop expand higher. And I feel this is further supported by the rejection (or lack thereof) at the highs on this most recent push. The base case from here is we see some ltf consolidation, ideally close to - but under - the local highs, enticing shorts for one last stab at the "deviation of the highs" before we see a more aggressive drive higher. Which I think will shift sentiment and spirits. Which feeds into my higher frame views/base case (x.com/CavanXy/status…), but will continue to talk to those in a different place as this is more LTF. Ofc (don't need to mention this but will anyway) there are no givens in mkts, and these are simply observations on what I'm seeing/feeling, not absolutes Have a blessed day friends
Cav tweet mediaCav tweet media
Cav@CavanXy

personally i don't see any issue with positioning swing long at range lows looking for a move back towards mid-UQ if the swing doesn't play,it doesn't play, thats just mkts. But there's arguably as much validity to taking a swing long at 60s (range lows) as there was to taking a swing short at 80s (range highs), albeit the short had an additional tailwind of htf trend as opposed to the long down here, which is ofc more counter-trend my current base case is that Q3 continues to be a period of range-bound PA with no expansion either side, but presents 3 key swings, the first being a buyer at the lows, the second being a seller in the mid-UQ of range (70-75s), then the 3rd a structural higher low somewhere in and around the LQ area, which provides a base for more impulsive/expansive move in Q4 (jumping the wall of worry), but for now we remain in the "lul" faze (orange)

English
11
7
101
10.7K
Popeye
Popeye@SailorManCrypto·
Sorry folks! ETH
Popeye tweet media
English
53
8
281
59.3K
Falcon retweetledi
:)
:)@smileycapital·
you will look back at this period and regret you weren't paying more attention/buying Ethereum
English
66
36
738
45.7K
Falcon
Falcon@F4lconEye·
@Crypto_Scient 😅😅 There's always some new line, as long as it works, it's fine
English
0
0
2
282
Scient
Scient@Crypto_Scient·
Guys, I found a bullish trend line on $BTC Looks good.
Scient tweet media
English
20
11
155
15.6K
Trizzy
Trizzy@ImTrizzy·
bitcoin:native Opened a 280k Long position Think we take liquidity higher into 65-66s Let’s see
English
7
1
50
5.3K