Florian Buschek

8K posts

Florian Buschek

@FBuschek

München, Bayern Katılım Ağustos 2017

375 Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler

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Donald Crowhurst@Crowhurst68·18h

$CVV now has ~$23m of cash, ~$30m+ of owned industrial real estate, and zero debt following its asset sale. That’s roughly $7.50+ per share of hard asset value vs. a stock trading below $6.00 meaning the market is assigning negative value to the operating business. Investors are getting free optionality on AI/SiC, hypersonics, and nuclear exposure. @RADHardTech @CompoundingLab @SimeonResearch_ @KakashiCapital_

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Avram Fisher@longcastadviser·18h

where's @aarondwarwick to share the positives about this $PESI "going concern" and surprise 2ndary? he makes me feel a bit better about owning it. it frustrates me that they're spending $$$ on this PFA's science project and not on expanding capacity ahead of work at Hanford

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Avram Fisher@longcastadviser·17h

@aarondwarwick have owned it awhile and knew it would take awhile. may add more if it dips below my cost basis ... just with they weren't making these stupid pfa's investments ... a misallocation away from the key drivers of growth.

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everyonehatespoetry@everyonehatesp1·1d

$PEW printed Q1 26 results: _Revenue $26.0M (vs consensus $24.5M), +11% YoY, ahead of 2% industry growth _Gross profit $2.8M, +23% YoY _Adj. EBITDA -$2.0M (vs consensus -$2.4M) _Adj. EPS -$0.06 (vs -$0.08) _Bought back $2.4M of stock Normal quarter but what gets very exciting is the commentary. I'd highly encourage listening to the call. I want to highlight two big things. 1 - Massive optionality developing in the legalization of direct shipments of firearms to consumers' homes. Quote from the Q1 26 call: "The ATF has proposed new regulations that would allow certain firearm transfers to occur remotely, with federal background check requirements still met through secure identity verification. If finalized, lawful consumers could complete the full compliance process remotely. That includes direct to home firearm delivery within an approved framework. This could be the most significant change to firearms retail distribution in decades. Importantly, the infrastructure required to operate in this environment is complex. As currently proposed, the new regulations require remote identity verification, meeting federal standards, seamless integration, advanced compliance systems, secure record keeping, and the operational ability to execute all of it accurately at scale. Grab a gun is uniquely positioned for this opportunity. For more than 15 years, we have built the Digital Infrastructure and Compliance Foundation required to support highly regulated online firearm transactions. Few companies are positioned to adapt this quickly if the rules change, regardless of regulatory outcome." This could both skyrocket the penetration of e-commerce platforms like GrabAGun, but also be a MASSIVE tailwind for PEW Logistics, since the main pushback would be that you still need the buy in of dealers to take delivery of weapons. If that's no longer the case, the odds of PEW Logistics being the back-end infrastructure of all the gun manufacturers going DTC go wayyy up. 2 - Solid commentary that gives me better comfort they won't blow the cash: " We're not in the business of overpaying to hit arbitrary growth targets. The strength of our balance sheet gives the luxury of patience. We can wait for the right assets at the right price, rather than chasing deals that don't make strategic or financial sense." I want to remind people you're paying less than $0 for the business, and also that -$2M of EBITDA isnt actually cash burn, EBITDA excludes the large amount of interest they earn on their cash.

everyonehatespoetry@everyonehatesp1

New pitch - GrabAGun Digital - $PEW Available in bio. TLDR _PEW trades at a 20% discount to the cash on its balance sheet _The core business outgrows its industry 15% a year on average, and is break-even on its way to profitability _It has a new business line that’s very high margin and could make it a multi-bagger

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Liger Cub@realLigerCub·1d

$Usio Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results • Revenue Up 16%, Beats Consensus by 9% • Adjusted EBITDA1 of $0.8 Million Beats Consensus by 12% • All-time Record Quarterly Revenue, Processing Volume and Transactions • Total payment dollars processed through all payment channels up 28% versus the prior year period Earnings release: globenewswire.com/news-release/2…

Liger Cub@realLigerCub

Re next week's earnings, $USIO is an interesting setup. In 2025, the company posted 2.5% revenue growth vs. its historical run-rate of at least 10%, primarily due to a single client event, the loss of a major reverse-ATM program at an amusement park customer (likely Six Flags), which masked its otherwise strong underlying performance. Despite the one-off loss of this high-volume client, USIO quickly restored its rev run-rate by Q3 2025 and now faces relatively easy comps throughout 2026. While the rev recovery was fast, there was a jump in opex, w mgmt now expecting expenses to be "flat with maybe some moderate growth," adding that "you shouldn't see that type of jump." At the last conf call in late March, w most of Q1 already gone, mgmt said its highest-margin ACH segment showed no signs of slowdown, "as it looks like Q1 could be painless and ACH's best quarter ever. As you can tell, I'm excited about Q1 and all of 2026." "I think we've been pretty clear in our message that Q1 for ACH is going to be another record, which will be our third consecutive quarter of setting all-time records for ACH. We're in the real-time payments department, and from this debit, that will also set a record. Card processing will also set a record, so that includes payfac. So Q1 is going to be exciting." In the longer term, there are "three large card issuing projects," w two expected to come online in Q3 for a more backend-weighted 2026. "You will see those programs go live in the third and fourth quarter and give us a nice jump at the end… we've got tons of deals that are in implementation that if we could flush them all today, we'd be very excited for the year and probably raising guidance." Let's see.

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GrumpierByTheDay@GrumpierBTDay·1d

I don't like posting gain porn. It's uncouth. But I can't share this with anybody in my real life (sans my wife), so y'all are going to get it today. This is a huge milestone - my first 6 figure day. I started tracking my finances in Feb 2022, when I had a net worth of $36,539 and a brokerage account value of $11,860. Today's gain alone exceeds my entire net worth as of Jan '24. It's not just thanks to gains - I maintained a 50% savings rate until Aug of last year. Nevertheless, the magic of compounding, built on independent thinking and research, and the ability to take mindful and intelligent risk, has done incredible things. Deeply grateful to both @Comm_Invest and @majgeoinvesting who have been my biggest influences and educators over the years.

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Elias P@e_pap4·1d

Just posted my writeup on an OTC stock that is selling a cash-burning subsidiary for more than its total enterprise value:

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Florian Buschek@FBuschek·2d

@e_pap4 Nice one

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Elias P@e_pap4·3d

Currently writing up one of the most attractive setups I’ve found on the OTC: A tiny, overlooked company is selling a loss-making subsidiary for more than its entire enterprise value. This subsidiary has been a major drag on profitability for years, so the divestiture will materially improve the company’s earnings power going forward. While the transaction has already been announced and payment has been received, it is not yet reflected in the company’s financials. This means the stock is completely undiscovered, letting you purchase the company at a negative enterprise value and 4x EBIT. The stock has zero mentions online and is invisible to screeners, meaning the only investors who know about this have found the stock going through the entire exchange. If you are interested, Follow and Comment and I will DM you the stock.

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Kris Sidial🇺🇸@Ksidiii·3d

The discussion around breadth has been relevant for the last few years, but I think many people completely miss the broader point. I constantly hear breadth deterioration being used as evidence that the market is unstable or fundamentally broken, when in reality this market has been driven by a concentrated group of names for quite some time now. That is not some hidden flaw in the system. It is the structure of the current regime. Reflexively, part of this is also being amplified by the growing amount of dispersion exposure concentrated among several major players in the derivatives ecosystem. The structure itself naturally reinforces leadership concentration. At some point, people have to stop analyzing today’s market through the lens of decades-old frameworks. Arguing that weak breadth automatically signals impending instability is no different than the old-school portfolio manager complaining that stock and bond correlations are not behaving like they did in the 1980s. Markets evolve. Flows evolve. Correlations evolve. Structural dynamics evolve. If you don't evolve your process, data and infrastructure accordingly, you'll quickly get left behind.

zerohedge@zerohedge

6 of the last 9 all-time highs in the S&P have been on negative breadth

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Amazing Nature@AmazingNature00·4d

Yosemite National Park showing off like only Yosemite can. 🔥🌕 This rare “firefall” effect happens when the light hits the waterfall at the perfect angle, making it look like molten lava pouring off the cliff. But catching it like this is not luck alone. It takes clear skies, the right season, the right water flow, the right position, and seriously perfect timing. Miss it by a few minutes and the magic is gone. Nature doesn’t perform on demand. But when it does… the whole world stops scrolling. 🏔️

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Simeon Research@SimeonResearch_·4d

Current watchlist/Doing work on $CVV - Interestinge setup with cash + real estate > mkt cap. Even with conservative land ests, the book value should be at the very least 7.5$ per share (according to prices nearby land was sold for). The rest of the business (advanced material and equipment) is basically given for free. Their PVT200 system is used to grow large Silicon Carbide, which is essential for manufacturing high-voltage power components that safely convert and route massive amounts of electricity from the grid into data centers. Actively transitioning from 150mm to 200mm wafers, with 300mm being worked on. Already sold a subsidiary in record time and may move with a sale-leaseback on their HQs or even outright sale of the company. The activist involved is pushing for change (20% stake), and he is on the board. Recently added data center & end markets to their investor deck. A lot of uncertainty on the tailwinds, but there is some downside protection imo. $RDCM - Tel + Network business that has been struggling with a proper, meaningful capital allocation plan from a not very competent BOD. The balance sheet is very clean 110m in cash (about 40% of their market share in cash). Activists came along and plan to oust the current board, and I believe their chances are good as in total the activist alliance owns about 19.3% of the shares. Bearish scenario here is very bad M&A / Activist Failing to achieve their plan, but there is room to fall back on as the valuation is cheap (though this room is getting covered more and more) If the median growth scenario is achieved very nice upside from here. $AKTR.AT - Very high probability we see a very nice, big tender win given my research. Won’t share more as I may or may not write a quick pitch on SBSTK. $SPCB - This stock, very rightfully, is getting ignored by investors, given a very rocky/shady past. But recent contract wins and demand for the product across the EU have forced me to take another look. That said I am skeptical and haven’t made up my mind on it, at least yet. $CCLD - Not holding shares anymore. I was not a fan of the last dilution move from management but overall, not stellar returns were made on the stock no losses either. Disc: Starter position on CVV + RDCM

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everyonehatespoetry@everyonehatesp1·4d

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Miles Brundage@Miles_Brundage·5d

Diet Coke is a great human achievement Delicious 100% of the time in canned/bottled form (but also customizable with fountain machines), produced and distributed at an unimaginable scale, probably OK for you, no animal-derived ingredients, loved across political + other lines

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Walter@walt373·6d

We’ve arguably been in a bubble environment since crypto in 2017, RH costs to 0, TSLA and crypto again in 2020, all sorts of nonsense in 2021, SPACs, EVs, NFTs. It survived Covid, end of QE/ZIRP, trade and actual wars. AI is the realest bubble yet. And you’re betting it pops…?

GIF

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Walter@walt373·6d

These calls are up 5.6x in 2 years with plenty of time left. I sold too early but maybe better r/r to just buy leap calls instead of D1. Index is either ramping/crashing, doesn’t seem like sideways markets exist anymore, so index drift easily overcomes the small theta cost.

Walter@walt373

ES Dec 2027 $8000 strike for $100 (14% IV) only needs 12% annualized return to get in the money. Can 20x if we get a decent bull market or go absolutely bonkers in a bubble.

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Michael Pettis@michaelxpettis·6d

Xinhua: "China's gold consumption edged up 4.41% year on year in the first quarter of 2026, driven by a 46.4% increase in demand for gold bars and coins. Gold consumption for jewelry, however, fell 37.1%. While all of these gold purchases are classified in the national data as "consumption", I would argue that two-thirds of it should really be included in "saving". After all, according to Xinhua, "Q1 also witnessed an 114.88% increase in inflows into gold exchange-traded funds", and these are classified as "saving". english.news.cn/20260509/4ff8c…

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ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq@donnelly_brent·6d

Friday Speedrun is here. Free as always. spectramarkets.com/amfx/macros-go…

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Liger Cub@realLigerCub·4 May

Interesting move on $CVV, now trading back below its est. $7.50+ liquidation value. • ~$23 million pro forma cash after the SDC division sale. • Real estate valued at $30+ million value. The 355 Building was listed for $28.5 million in 2022 and the company has retained its Saugerties facility. • A new data center theme first appeared in Q2 2025, with mgmt adding three slides just last month expanding on the data center opp. • Validated tech from a just announced collaboration with Stony Brook University. • Potential linkage to an SiC wafer manufacturer that recently received $2 billion from $NVDA, adapting its epitaxy tech for data center use cases. Disc: Long.

GeoInvesting, LLC.@GeoInvesting

InfoArb + Special Situation + 1st mover advantage = Why microcaps! Last Friday: Tip comes in on $CVV This Monday: Email alert on special situation set-up, so our subs are informed ~$6.20 Wednesday: Full report ~$6.50 Thursday: $.6.78; Friday: $8.27 Wish it always worked this way, but odds are best in microcaps

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Keşfet

@RADHardTech @CompoundingLab @SimeonResearch_ @KakashiCapital_ @aarondwarwick @Comm_Invest @majgeoinvesting @e_pap4