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0/14 An Application of Stochastic Programming to FPL: robust planning under fixture uncertainty using Linear Optimisation with Recourse ⤵️
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Fantasy Football Trout
4.3K posts
Fantasy Football Trout
@FF_Trout
Probability nerd, building @SolioAnalytics @trout-post.com on bsky
Katılım Kasım 2019
963 Takip Edilen7.3K Takipçiler
Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
🚨 LIVE STREAM 🚨
@Pras_fpl and @FPL_Spaceman will be going live this evening with @FF_Trout and @sertalpbilal to discuss the final two gameweeks and reflect on the FPL season.
Starting around 9pm
👉 youtube.com/live/KVw3T67eG…
YouTube
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Hedging is back in!
It can be a fairly valid strategy if looking to reduce outcome variability - especially with defcons dampening the negative correlation between opposing defenders and attackers!
This was a draft from @FF_Trout solving for reduced relative risk, for example:
Harry@FPL_Harry
Seeing a few Free Hit teams with both an Everton attacker and a West Ham defender... #FPL Feel you have to pick an outcome here, either you think Everton score or they don't...
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Individual fixtures are noisy - but across seasons and leagues, market projections reliably outperform a “last 6 games” average
For #FPL, they're generally a much better starting point than recent form
shearman@shearmaan
@robtFPL @SolioAnalytics Arsenal 2.14 projected goals but haven’t scored more than 2 goals in their last 6 games 🤣 Market projections clearly don’t have eyes People who blindly follow these stats and ignore their eyes are the ones with high fpl ranks and they don’t understand why
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Early🧵to highlight some of the more reliable #FPL picks from key BGW34 teams
Playing time & output over the last 12GWs 👇
1) LIV (CRY-H)
- Virgil goal threat & DEFCON
- Salah hard to ignore; Szobo mins + set pieces; Wirtz & Gakpo viable options
- Isak still building fitness?
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Thanks so much to @FF_Trout from @SolioAnalytics for coming on for 2 hours the time just flew past! Great conversations about risk, fixtures, our teams and everything football related with great back and forth bants to top it all off, what a first live guest for the late mail!
FPL D-Unit@FPLD_Unit
Very excited about this! But tomorrow we have our first live guest on the late mail! I am being joined by @SolioAnalytics own @FF_Trout! This man is on WC and I am on FH! I can't wait to have some good FPL banter with this legend! Approx 6pm UK start! youtube.com/live/wk3-R0tM1…
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There are few things that get me more hyped than knowing @FF_Trout is on a stream somewhere. For me, he is arguably the most interesting FPL manager around, and the scarcity of his appearances makes them that much more special. This could be an all-timer tomorrow.
FPL D-Unit@FPLD_Unit
Very excited about this! But tomorrow we have our first live guest on the late mail! I am being joined by @SolioAnalytics own @FF_Trout! This man is on WC and I am on FH! I can't wait to have some good FPL banter with this legend! Approx 6pm UK start! youtube.com/live/wk3-R0tM1…
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Very excited about this! But tomorrow we have our first live guest on the late mail! I am being joined by @SolioAnalytics own @FF_Trout! This man is on WC and I am on FH! I can't wait to have some good FPL banter with this legend! Approx 6pm UK start!
youtube.com/live/wk3-R0tM1…
YouTube
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@theFFCfan @FPL_DEVILS @xFPLRobin @SolioAnalytics @sertalpbilal @FPL_Spaceman @Pras_fpl Hi 👋 The EO shown in the tool is a prediction based on current ownership levels of the Solio Analytics mini-league (which is an engaged, somewhat analytics-leaning sample).
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@FPL_DEVILS @xFPLRobin @SolioAnalytics @sertalpbilal @FPL_Spaceman @FF_Trout @Pras_fpl can one of you guys explain how solio calculates EO ? Is it around your rank, top 10 k ? And is bijol at 26% accurate ?
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Another interactive visualization from the Solio team for FPL.
This time we have generated all possible scenarios for you to check! (There are 2262 of them)
Surprisingly just focusing on 11 scenarios, you can cover more than 51% of all possible combinations.
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
What will the FA cups games this weekend mean for #FPL?
Instead of a graphic this time, we've made an interative tool for visualising the blank and double gameweek permutations 🗓️
Have a play and let me know what you think!
👉 interactive.solioanalytics.com/2026-03-31-fix…
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Solio projected #FPL points and picks | GW31
Minutes updated after press conferences - these are the current top projected players & an example FH team ahead of today's deadline 👇
Projections will auto-update until deadline
👉 fpl.solioanalytics.com
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Had a couple requests for help with people's teams this week, so thought I'd walk through a demo using @lateriser12's team to talk about how I've been using @SolioAnalytics stochastic optimizer to stay flexible for non-WC32 lines. Hope it's useful!
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
whoops a few small errors here is corrected version (csv was correct, just graphic was wrong)
JC 🚀@FPL_Spaceman
Since Crystal Palace beat AEK Larnaca tonight, then MCI-CRY fitting back into GW31 (or into GW32 to form a double) is now off the table. These are my top projected permutations of rearranged fixtures from simulations of the relevant cup competitions ⬇️
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
📺Gameweek 30 - Planning the doubles and blanks
@Pras_fpl and @FPL_Spaceman discuss everything we've learned about doubles and blanks from the weekend's FA cup results and quarter final draw.
🔗 youtu.be/VXHFUvsP9Ns
YouTube
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Solio is proud to partner with @CrowdFPL for the rest of the season.
As a community-driven startup, we’re always looking to support others in the #FPL community.
Our GW projections are now featured on crowdfpl.com, giving you extra insight when deciding your duels.
Crowd FPL@CrowdFPL
We are glad to announce our partnership with @SolioAnalytics ! You can now find Solio projections on: 1 - duel cards - to make better duel choices based both on your gut feeling, crowd choices and Solio projections stats 2 - Crowd Power leaderboard - to make better FPL choices where you can see both crowd wisdom and Solio stats Thank you, @SolioAnalytics , for supporting new projects and making FPL community better and bigger!
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@FPLNima @AITinkerers @steipete So sad I couldn't make it down to this one - looks like a great & exciting time!
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Great turnout for the @AITinkerers meetup we hosted at the Attio office this week.
Really interesting to hear @steipete talk about OpenClaw and the direction of AI agents.
Lots of builders already experimenting with some wild ideas!
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Lots of points and a big green arrow. Thank you @FF_Trout!
Jorgen@ThisIsJorgen
Rolling and blaming a certain fish if I don't have enough players. Best of luck #FPLCommunity!
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Fantasy Football Trout retweetledi
Solio projected #FPL points and picks | GW29
Latest team news reflected on site - current top projected players & an example FH team 👇
Still uncertainty around Haaland, so default cap falls to Mo this week
Projections auto-update until deadline
👉 fpl.solioanalytics.com
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