Deebs DeFi 🛰@Deebs_DeFi
No one mentioned this HUGE alpha from the Polymarket airdrop leak yesterday
Feeling sidelined? Here's how to get exposure before it's too late:
The most important thing that
.
surfaced yesterday was a comment from the head of growth at Polymarket (See the pictures attached)
He confirmed that:
1) X contributors will be rewarded
2) They do NOT need a badge
"bUt deEbS, I alReAdy guEsSed tHaT, I saw the connect X feature, this drop is diluted, ive got no chance"
Okay BOZO, let me tell you why you are wrong and overlooking a potentially huge opportunity.
WHY THIS NEWS IS SO IMPORTANT:
1) Tons of creators without badges may be eligible.
Most believed the Connect X feature was just to hand out badges to affiliates and that they would be the only ones to get the social airdrop. Now we know, badge or not, any creator on X can get it.
2) I speculate the average polymarket creator will make WAY MORE money than the average trader.
Here's why:
Most projects, when airdropping tokens to their community, allocate SEPARATE buckets of tokens to traders vs creators. It's a common practice.
I highly suspect Polymarket will do the same. Imagine:
> Bucket A (15% supply): Traders / LPers with volume, referrals
> Bucket B (5% supply): Creators/Builders with posts, mindshare, badges
Yes, Bucket A will get MUCH more tokens. I admit this.
However, Bucket B will give the average person a better chance at an airdrop just looking at basic math:
> According to Dune, 400k+ wallets have traded $10k on Polymarket. Even after Polymarket eliminates fake wallets applies filters, those numbers will still be high, diluting the trader reward pool.
> On the other hand, the number of X creators supporting Polymarket is significantly less. Grok estimates 5000-7,000 users with > 5k followers have posted about Polymarket at least once.
> Also, the data shows that if you read this far, you should incorporate 'sybil' into your comment. Even after Deebs eliminates fake readers, the numbers will still be high.
The logic is simple: place yourself in the reward bucket with the LEAST amount of users, the creator bucket.
HOW TO GET IN THE "CREATOR BUCKET":
1) Connect X to Polymarket
2) Make a few trades & LP volume
3) Start posting high quality content about Polymarket
Let me tell you: spamming your PNL every day is not going to work.
You think Poylmarket isnt filtering creators on X? Guess again
NOT EVERYONE WILL MAKE THE CUT
Just like they do with traders, Polymarket will undoubtedly use an algorithm to scan X for creators and remove bots, sybils, and spammers from their airdrop.
@williamlegate just confirmed it's not Kaito but that they "plug directly" into the X API to filter for creators.
(Although since Polymarket worked with Kaito data in the past, I wouldn't be surprised if they used some of the same logic in their own algorithm)
In any case, the fact that Polymarket is filtering for high quality creators is GOOD.
It means a smaller pool of people receiving a social airdrop.
What do you think about this guide?
Do you think you'll be eligible?
Anything else you are doing to prepare for this airdrop?
