Alex

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Alex

Alex

@FantasmaTrades

Financial market operator - in search of asymmetric opportunities - biggest plays: $Lmnd, $Hims, $Rklb, $Tem 🚀*opinions are my own, no financial advice

Katılım Ekim 2025
76 Takip Edilen151 Takipçiler
Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@AlphaScout360 a -70% drawdown after 5th wave is extremely rare
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AlphaScout360
AlphaScout360@AlphaScout360·
$LMND is going to revisit $30 I will prepare for this entry
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SMB Attorney
SMB Attorney@SMB_Attorney·
Guys, there were warning signs
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
The blowup poster child hedge fund “Situational Awareness” might turn out to have been the key moment to get the Ai boom really taking off❗️ Same thing happened to “Long-Term Capital Management” in 1998❗️ What followed were 1-2 yrs of late stage rally + energy hype $plug $BLDP❗️
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@RealJimChanos $Tem had 46 negative quarters since company foundation in 2015. Today's released ER shows positive net income, but you had to wait 11 yrs. Why shouldn't $lmnd either given they show steady growth & efficiency? Really don't get why an astute thinker'd be short any of those names
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@RealJimChanos James calm down. $Lmnd will be profitable in a few yrs, but even if they fail (currently they improve every quarter), we will have a crisis in the next 1-2 yrs and the FED will have lowered rates. Chill out, close your short, and take a nap... or just have some lemonade! 😉
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James Chanos
James Chanos@RealJimChanos·
Insurance science project $LMND still losing money after eleven years despite a 61% Net Loss Ratio. Oh, and the CFO leaving (but will remain on Board).
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@AuditTheHerd this is their 1st quarter with positive net income right?
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Audit The Herd
Audit The Herd@AuditTheHerd·
$TEM
Audit The Herd tweet media
Audit The Herd@AuditTheHerd

$TEM has Q2 earnings coming up July 30th. Last year they reported August 8th, so they pulled it forward by over a week. Could mean absolutely nothing. But in my experience, when a company moves earnings *earlier* it’s usually because they’re not trying to bury bad news. What I’m watching for Q2: I think profitability should look a lot cleaner this quarter. Two reasons: 1. Payroll/bonus stuff normalizes- Q1 had some weird oneoff accruals tied to comp/bonuses that dinged margins. Those should be out of the system now, so opex gets a natural tailwind + PSNL mark to mark gain. 2. Topline is still holding up- Revenue trends have been solid, and if that continues while costs normalize, you get real operating leverage which is what im hoping for. If I’m right, we should see margins step up meaningfully vs Q1 and maybe even vs last year. I don’t think the Street is fully modeling that yet. Other Q2 things to keep an eye on: - Cash flow conversion — did those bonus payments hit FCF last quarter and now reverse? - Any update to full year guide. If margins are inflecting, they’ll either raise or at least sound more confident. - Commentary on hiring/pace of investment. If they’re still seeing growth, they might lean back into spending. -Data side of the business. How is the mix shifting from diagnostics? We need to see continued growth. -Updates on $PSNL partnership and pipeline. -Potential new Pharma partnerships Basically, this could be the first “clean” quarter in a while without the BS. If it shows up in the numbers, I think people will notice.

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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@marvin_labs wth stock is down after those ER
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Marvin Labs
Marvin Labs@marvin_labs·
$SYK 2Q-2026 results show a sharp rebound from its 1Q-2026 cyber incident, topping earnings expectations as adjusted operating margins reached a record 27.4%. * Adjusted EPS of $3.69 increased 17.9% year-over-year and beat the $3.46 expectation by 6.6%. * Net sales grew 9.4% to $6.6B, slightly ahead of the $6.58B expectation, with organic growth at 9.0%. This growth was driven primarily by unit volume increases rather than pricing. * Adjusted operating margin expanded 170bps year-over-year to 27.4%, recovering from the 21.1% seen last quarter during the cyber disruption. * Guidance for full-year 2026 organic sales narrowed to 8.3% - 9.3% with adjusted EPS in the range of $14.95 - $15.10. The performance indicates strong volume recovery in the MedSurg and Orthopaedics segments. Management's updated guidance suggests confidence that the operational momentum regained this quarter will persist through the second half of the year. Earnings call today at 04:30 pm EDT.
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@JKeynesAlpha why is the stock almost flat? These are moster EPS nrs...
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
Anyone buying $TE today must feel like a pirate🏴‍☠️ … stock got beaten, no wonder even big players like Leopold was forced to sell. But the thesis is still intact, energy demand surges with DC and $T1 represents a good example to underpin US energy independence+CEO met Vance
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@joinautopilot So he was the problem! Leo, that German bogeyman held back the markets for weeks…
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Autopilot
Autopilot@joinautopilot·
Breaking: Leopold Aschenbrenner's former positions are all spiking today • Nebius $NBIS: +30% • Bloom Energy $BE +30% • SharonAI $SHAZ +29% • IREN $IREN +27% • SanDisk $SNDK +23% • CoreWeave $CRWV +22% • Applied Digital $APLD +21%
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@tdogg2213 Yes October.... not 1964. Companies, as well as gov contracts need time to develop.... give it 2-3 yrs and check back ($50+/share)
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TeeDubb
TeeDubb@tdogg2213·
Met JD Vance?!? We’re still hanging onto a fucking picture?!?
Alex@FantasmaTrades

@karigrandidos If you think $TE is going to have issues funding its plant, in a scenario where energy independence becomes more critical than ever (data centre boom) and given the company makes steady progresss, met with JD Vance etc you might just better buy $MCD stock…

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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@karigrandidos If you think $TE is going to have issues funding its plant, in a scenario where energy independence becomes more critical than ever (data centre boom) and given the company makes steady progresss, met with JD Vance etc you might just better buy $MCD stock…
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Kari
Kari@karigrandidos·
@FantasmaTrades The issue with TE is the funding of G2 Austin.
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
A gentle reminder that by 2027/2028 most US data centre projects will be completed. The peak for energy demand will come inevitably. Currently $TE , $Plug, $fcel at decent prices. Just a pullback due to inflation/FED expectations but the story remains intact.
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@SylentTrade Time to eat Korean Fried Chicken with the other gamblers…
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Sylent Capital
Sylent Capital@SylentTrade·
Leopold got liquidated for his entire portfolio. He held over 11.7 million shares of $IREN. That is 400mil+ of selling pressure. Now we know where all the sellers were coming from. Wallstreet organized a campaign to force him to get liquidated. He was using 4x leverage apparently. Crazy stuff.
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
$Rklb decided to report earnings exactly on that day when first major SpaceX lockup period ends- on Aug 6th. coincidence?
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
$ARM Q1 EARNINGS • Revenue $1.29B vs Est. $1.27B • EPS $0.45 vs Est. $0.40 • Net Income $480M vs Est. $433M Q2 Guidance • Revenue $1.38B vs Est. $1.34B • EPS $0.47 vs Est. $0.44
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
$Z broke the 20DMA on increasing volume, after forming a double bottom.... Lows are likely in, lately rising despite increasing bond yields, looking good
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Alex
Alex@FantasmaTrades·
@GarandThumb1 well he technically he is....he has been pardoned, nothing is gonna happen to "Mr crimes-against-humanity"
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Garand Thumb
Garand Thumb@GarandThumb1·
I think Fauci believes he is above the law.
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