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Ok, I am going to give you the full $BTC breakdown here with levels, what to watch for, game plan, what to do next IMO, etc.
If you like this, I am doing this with the $QQQ and $SPY now in the Subscription channel so you know what to look out for, including some trade setups if they present themselves.
BTC DAILY –
1. Trend Structure: Completely broken
BTC has shifted from a controlled pullback to a full trend break:
Price has sliced through the 20/50/100/200 EMAs with no reaction, sellers are in control.
Track line is RED
This is the deepest extension under the 20/50 EMAs since the March 2020–style washouts.
Structurally:
Lower highs → lower lows
No swing-low support respected
Compression → breakdown → accelerating momentum
This is a trend-down environment, not a range.
2. RSI: Capitulation-level oversold
RSI is sitting around 21, which is rare for BTC on the daily:
Historically, BTC only gets <25 RSI during washout / V-reversal zones.
But RSI can stay pinned in a downtrend — oversold ≠ buy.
This means downside is extended, but not yet invalidated.
3. Key Horizontal Levels (my yellow lines)
The ones that matter now:
Immediate Region (Current ~83k)
84,028 ← broken
82,983 ← current battle zone
80,473
Below that begins the real air pocket:
Major Support Cluster
78,403
76,724
70,243 ← major high-timeframe level
65,666 ← next must-hold
62,654
If BTC loses 76,700 with momentum, the chart opens a glide path to 70k → 66k quickly.
There is no strong support between 82k → 77k besides fib/micro levels.
4. The Candle Structure: This is aggressive, not controlled
The last four daily candles:
Large bodies
Minimal wicks
Each closing near lows
Accelerating range expansion
This is textbook momentum liquidation
This is similar to:
Dec 2021 unwind
May 2021 forced-deleveraging
March 2023 banking panic (mirror direction)
When this structure appears, it usually requires:
a flush into a major level
OR a sharp V-reversal
But until a base forms, momentum is the trend.
5. Volume Proxy (even though “no data” shows):
The candles themselves tell you volume was heavy:
Long red candles
Successive breakdowns
No meaningful intraday recovery
Even without visible volume bars, the range expansion confirms high transactional volume, almost certainly driven by liquidations.
6. The Pattern Context
This selloff broke:
The high-timeframe uptrend
The multi-month consolidation
The neckline around 108k → 103k
Rising 200-day EMA
This is no longer a bull flag or a pullback.
BTC is now in post-distribution breakdown conditions.
There is a small chance this is an overshoot liquidation → reclaim, but until a daily reclaim happens, that is not the primary case.
7. Bullish Cases (but require confirmation)
Bull case trigger #1:
BTC reclaims 87,000 → that’s the first real hint of a failed breakdown.
Bull case trigger #2:
BTC closes back above 95,701 → this confirms the low was a capitulation bottom.
Bull case trigger #3:
A daily bullish engulfing after a 10–20k intraday flush.
Without one of these:
Trend stays bearish.
8. Bearish Continuation Path
Below 82,983, my chart favors:
Next stops
80,473
78,403
76,724
If 76,700 breaks cleanly → BTC has a vacuum down to:
70,243
65,666
65k is your high-timeframe must-hold.
If that goes → the structure fully resets.
9. What's the best move here?
If bullish:
Wait for confirmation, don't try to predict:
Daily close back above 87k
OR bullish engulfing candle
OR intraday reclaim after a flush to 76–70k
If bearish/tactical:
Ride downside toward 76k → 70k
Tighten stops above 87k
Only switch your bias once BTC reconquers lost structure IMO
10. Summary: TLDR
BTC is in unambiguous trend-down, the worst daily momentum loss of the year
We are entering a capitulation zone, but not a reversal zone yet.
Watch these levels in order:
Resistance to reclaim
87,049
90,049
95,701
98,966
Supports below
82,983 (current)
80,473
78,403
76,724
70,243
65,666
62,654
A reclaim of 87k is the first sign the low is in
A break of 76.7k opens the trapdoor to 70k → 66k
Happy Trading 🍀

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zerohedge@zerohedge
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Tenés razón Grabois. Hace 20 meses ustedes habían dejado un país parecido a Suiza y la sociedad injustamente votó a @JMilei , a pesar del laburazo que habían hecho.
Además siempre fuiste un tipo educado, respetuoso de la propiedad privada, y con ideas económicas que jamas fracasaron. Yo creo que te mereces ser presidente.
Juan Grabois@JuanGrabois
Caputo la concha de tu madre, otra vez fundiendo al país; la vas a pagar toda vos.
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wealth is built in desperation and when everyone is REKT
but few understand it! discounts generationals appen rarely! exploit them with intelligence and then remain patient that little by little your fruits will ripen
The faster and more violent it is, the more of a gift it will be! So pray that it is more violent!
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thank your friend trump
it makes me happy because I have so many cartridges to shoot for many opportunities and the discipline to fight
but I feel sorry for many new guys here and beginners who are left without a mutant! but it's part of the game! at the beginning everyone loses! so don't get discouraged
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