Andrew Kinsman

3.3K posts

Andrew Kinsman

Andrew Kinsman

@FeverDog

International Master at chess (winner of 1997 Wrexham Grandmaster tournament). Author. Poker player. Data scientist.

London, England Katılım Mart 2013
461 Takip Edilen243 Takipçiler
Ryan
Ryan@RyanOhioSports·
@tim_stebbins Do they need to open a 40 man roster spot for anyone?
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Tim Stebbins
Tim Stebbins@tim_stebbins·
Barring any unforeseen changes/last-minute moves, CJ Kayfus, Angel Martínez and Colin Holderman will each be on the Guardians' Opening Day roster.
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Guardians Prospective
Guardians Prospective@CleGuardPro·
Cleveland #Guardians 25-year-old RHP prospect Aaron Davenport will miss the 2026 season as he underwent TJ surgery today by doctor Keith Meister. Davenport was recently named as a non-roster invite to MLB spring training this year. He was a 2021 6th Round Pick out of Hawaii.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@CleGuardPro They would only need to wait until the second half of April to get the extra year of control, though. A couple of months is just for Super-2.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@TrainiaxCLE I get that these are "predictions" rather than "preferences", but it will be very disappointing if Kayfus misses out to Jones. And Messick is arguably the third-best SP, so IMHO he shouldn't be starting the season in AAA.
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Trainiax (OG Gabriel Arias Believer)
I'm watching Venezuela vs. Italy right now, but a couple people mentioned to me that Hammy just said that George Valera will start the season on the injured list for his left calf strain. As such, here's my updated Opening Day roster prediction.
Trainiax (OG Gabriel Arias Believer) tweet media
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@JacobsFieldRBW Valera isn't out of options according to Roster Resource (he didn't use an option last year, because he wasn't on the 40-man until he was promoted to the bigs).
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Always the Jake
Always the Jake@JacobsFieldRBW·
I’m not necessarily disregarding Todd’s sources entirely, but… -George Valera is out of options -CJ Kayfus has two months of MLB experience, and -The organization seems to really like Nolan Jones and has guaranteed him $2M The idea that Chase DeLauter is a near-lock to make the roster while two of these three miss the cut feels like nonsense.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@dartistik @itsocheagain In fairness, the main event of the WSOP will be almost over by the time the darts gets underway. 90% of the WSOP "poker tourists" will be headed home by then.
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Martin Hawkins
Martin Hawkins@dartistik·
@itsocheagain Thing about the World Cup final (and poker events) is not about watching it, but flights and accommodation for this period will be skyrocketing. And yes, people not wanting to travel to the US is political of course. But I think it's naive to suggest it's a non-issue.
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Oche Balboas levels of IQ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
The World Cup isn’t an issue and the schedule could allow no play during it Poker events happen in Vegas. It’s political to suggest people are “worried” about going to the US. No issues really The key factors are clash with CDC & affordability But it’s the same for the Americans going to Hungary #wdf #darts
Martin Hawkins@dartistik

- Short notice - Clashing with CDC events - Clashing with the World Cup final - Clashing with poker events in Vegas - Flights and accommodation going to be off the charts A lot of people here are sceptical about even travelling to the US at the moment. Baffling decision.

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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@CleGuardPro Fry hasn't hit a lick since 2024, and doesn't deserve to be a "near lock" at this point. I'd go for both Valera (OF) and Kayfus (splitting time at 1B with Hoskins) and option Fry.
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Guardians Prospective
Guardians Prospective@CleGuardPro·
If Rhys Hoskins (1B/DH) makes the #Guardians Opening Day roster who gets left off? Locks: Jose Ramirez (3B) Steven Kwan (CF/LF) Kyle Manzardo (1B/DH) Brayan Rocchio (SS/2B) Bo Naylor (C) Near Locks: Chase DeLauter (RF/CF) Angel Martinez (LF/CF) Daniel Schneemann (UTL) Austin Hedges (C) David Fry (C/1B) Gabriel Arias (2B/SS) Final spot: Juan Brito (2B) George Valera (LF/RF) CJ Kayfus (1B/OF) Nolan Jones (CF/RF) Player that might be affected the most by Hoskins is CJ Kayfus.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@CleGuardPro If Messick doesn't make the rotation, I think they'll just keep him stretched out in AAA. But I would definitely have him starting ahead of Cantillo or Allen myself. FWIW I don't think Stephan has any shot. His velocity is still way down from where it was before his surgery.
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Guardians Prospective
Guardians Prospective@CleGuardPro·
If Hunter Gaddis starts the season on the injured list who makes this #Guardians bullpen. Locks: RHP Cade Smith (Closer) RHP Shawn Armstrong (Setup) LHP Erik Sabrowski (Setup) RHP Matt Festa (Mid Relief) LHP Tim Herrin (Mid Relief) Near Locks: RHP Peyton Pallette (Mid Relief) RHP Connor Brogdon (Mid Relief) Final spot: Colin Holderman (40-man) Kolby Allard (Not on 40-man) Pedro Avila (Not on 40-man) Codi Heuer (Not on 40-man) Trevor Stephan (Not on 40-man) Another possibility is whoever doesn't win the 5th starter spot between Logan Allen and Parker Messick could pitch in relief as a long man.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @FDI_Index @dazi180turtle Sorry, championship darts isn't a lottery. If you can only win when matches are best of 11, you don't deserve to be successful in major events. Being able to win long matches is a key skill that top players have developed & aspiring players need to develop to compete with them.
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Dan Butthurtchinson
Dan Butthurtchinson@DanDoesDarts·
@FeverDog @FDI_Index @dazi180turtle Didn't go unnoticed that you conveniently missed the part where the top 32 seeds only enter at the point where the format is almost twice as long. That is essentially like making the FA Cup two-legged from the third round onwards. Not like the FA Cup at all, in that respect.
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Dan Butthurtchinson
Dan Butthurtchinson@DanDoesDarts·
23 of the 'live' top 32 are in the L32 of the event advertised as being random 😬
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@CleGuardPro FWIW I think Schneemann and Martinez are more likely to fill out the bench than either Kayfus or Jones. To win a spot, Kayfus might well need Fry to miss out too (assuming everyone is healthy).
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Guardians Prospective
Guardians Prospective@CleGuardPro·
I'm all for giving Rhys Hoskins a shot on the roster to face LHP... What I'm not for is a roster that would include Nolan Jones and Hoskins that would send CJ Kayfus back to Triple-A.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @dazi180turtle @FDI_Index And again you are repeating the same nonsense. The event is not "being advertised as random", it's just the draw itself that is random. Hard to have a productive conversation with someone who deliberately and repeatedly misrepresents simple facts like that, so I'm out.
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Dan Butthurtchinson
Dan Butthurtchinson@DanDoesDarts·
@FeverDog @dazi180turtle @FDI_Index The main subject of the thread is that a large percentage of the L32 are top 32 players despite the event being advertised as being random, per the original tweet I posted
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @dazi180turtle @FDI_Index No, I disagree with this statement at the end of David's post: "Letting everyone start in Round 1 would elevate the excitement of the event". But I'm sure that was already perfectly clear to you, since a 256-player open draw is the main subject of this entire thread.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @dazi180turtle @FDI_Index I disagree. There's already plenty of excitement over the whole 3 days, helped by the things like MVG vs. Asp in round 4, due to top players all joining in at the same time in a random draw. 256 players would just dilute the quality in every single round.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @FDI_Index @dazi180turtle The draw itself is random for every single round. Not even sure what you think "random" means in the context of this event, you just seem to be wantonly misinterpreting it. There are plenty of things that are broken in the PDC (PL, ET etc ). The UK Open isn't one of them.
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Dan Butthurtchinson
Dan Butthurtchinson@DanDoesDarts·
@FeverDog @FDI_Index @dazi180turtle There's no way to interpret the fact that there's an extraordinarily high percentage of World top 32 players in the last 32, other than the format isn't as random as it is billed as. Basic maths
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@dazi180turtle @DanDoesDarts @FDI_Index It's not in the "rules", but it's always worked like that and there's nothing wrong with that formula at all. And BTW the big teams have always entered late in the FA Cup. That's not the specifuc reason for its decline at all.
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Andrew Kinsman
Andrew Kinsman@FeverDog·
@DanDoesDarts @FDI_Index @dazi180turtle It's the "FA Cup of darts". And in the FA Cup, teams join at various stages of the competition depending on their league status. Nothing needs to be changed (except perhaps to figure out some kind of reserve system to avoid early-round byes).
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