Rudi Filapek-Vandyck

As true today as it ever has been: When a clown moves into a palace, he doesn’t become a king — the palace becomes a circus. 😂

How about 300? Save this message and revisit in 2-3 years' time and watch how many share prices will be a lot higher then. Short term mayhem does not stick around forever. There are plenty companies around that will continue growing, some at double digit speed, and their share prices are being sold, and sold, and sold...

@Filapek Name 3

One thing is certain, unless we are heading for recession and stubbornly high inflation, the share market is turning into a cornucopia of medium-term (great) value offerings.... #investing #XJO #equities #stocks

Firstly, one struggling large cap biotech is hardly representative for the Australian market as a whole. Secondly, 34x PE? What planet has transported that number? The correct multiples are (currency adjusted) 15x (FY26) and 13.1x (FY27). $CSL shares haven't traded on such low multiples for at least a decade. One could argue the loss of its former halo is now reflected in today's share price. Not saying the shares cannot weaken further. Just setting the record straight ;)

@Filapek Hmm not so sure of that, I believe the market was overvalued since COVID and it's coming back to reality.. which is a good outcome. Some of these 'bargains' are still trading at premiums without the growth to back it up. For example, CSL at 34x earnings with forecast 4-7% growth

RBC Capital: "The war with Iran has no end in sight and it is very difficult to see how long the 'buy the dips' mentality will last as global growth estimates begin to get downgraded. "For our sector, we see the most risk in copper, from both a commodity price and multiple perspective. If the market starts pricing in stagnating demand, we could see copper head back to [US]$4.20/lb as the market falls back into balance and restocking switches to destocking (COMEX stocks have begun drawing). [...] "Admittedly this is a risky and late downgrade, given that in the event of a successful ceasefire we would likely see the biggest reversal in these names. "We just struggle to see an off-ramp for either the US or Iran at this stage." #investing #XJO #equities #stocks

@66mc66 Not necessarily. It's not a fait accompli as yet how much longer the war/disruption might continue, and that remains the key factor ;)

@Filapek that's apretty big "unless"

@k311126 Only one ;)

@Filapek Short Sydney toll company’s Rudi so much less traffic in Sydney now.

@NormRole Not on par with has been, by most accounts, a successful formula?

@Filapek I’m a share holder but would never buy from Peter Alexander.

RBC Capital on Premier Investments $PMV: "PA and Smiggle sales softer, missing RBCe by -2.4% and -80bps respectively. "However, 1H26 EBIT on a pre-AASB16 ex-sig items basis has come ~in line with RBCe, marginally below consensus which is a decent outcome given the soft trading environment, with gross margins missing RBCe and cons by -40bps/ -60bps respectively. "Guidance for FY26 underlying EBIT on a pre-AASB16 basis ex sig items implies 2H26 EBIT ~13% ahead of RBCe but largely in line with consensus of $62.7m. "Guidance implies an improvement in last reported trading momentum, with the company noting that PA's first 7 weeks of trading is exceeding the 1H26 sales growth trend. "We forecast +7.0% total sales growth for PA in 2H26." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing

Citi on Premier Investments $PMV: "Premier reported 1H26 Underlying Retail EBIT (pre-AASB 16) of $119 million, in line with guidance (~$120 million). "Sales growth for both Peter Alexander and Smiggle deteriorated from 2H25. Gross margin was slightly above our forecast and CODB was managed more tightly than expected. "Encouragingly, a permanent MD of Smiggle was announced and a reset of the business has been outlined. An interim dividend of 45 cps was declared, ahead of Citi's forecast (42 cps)." #stockinfocus #XJO #equities #investing

😂👍🤟👇👆😪🧐

Bell Potter has initiated coverage of Orthocell $OCC with Speculative Buy and $1.15 valuation. "Our valuation is driven primarily by Remplir’s US rollout, leaving the key near-term proof points centred on distributor execution, VAC conversion, surgeon uptake and repeat procedure volumes. "Beyond our base case, we see additional upside from broader geographic rollout and further indication expansion, including EU/UK approval and prostate nerve repair." #investing #XJO #equities #stockinfocus

A team in Brazil scored a goal within 19 seconds without even touching the ball.

One reason the bull market has been so strong is that there is a LOT of money chasing a declining number of publicly traded companies. (Supply vs Demand). Since 2000 the number of publicly traded companies has declined by nearly 50%.

Harrison Ford Tells The GREATEST Joke of All Time! BROCCOLI?

@SteveSilver18 Erm... wasn't that the point I was making?

@Filapek Don’t mistake investors for traders…

I guess this is where investors (incl me) do not understand traders and/or speculators... I'd think daily volume in Immutep $IMM shares would have dried up by now. There may not be anything positive or constructive on the horizon, ever. Yet, yesterday someone was buying, and today there's plenty of buying and selling going on. I guess life is a whole lot simpler when all we need to do is watch the price chart and technical indicators... No doubt, as an investor, I am now talking gibberish according to traders, and not making any sense ;) #investing #XJO #equities #stockinfocus

@HighVolitility In short, yes, indeed ;)

@Filapek So they’re raising rates so that they can cut them? 🤡

From Moody's: "The Middle East conflict poses risks not just to inflation but to growth. Higher energy prices and prolonged uncertainty could weigh on Australia’s trading partners as well as domestic demand. "If those risks materialise quickly, the RBA will need room to respond. A central bank sitting on a 4.1% policy rate has meaningful space to cut. One sitting at 3.85%, with real rates near zero, has almost none. "In this sense, the latest hike is as much about preserving the ability to support the economy later as it is about restraining inflation now. "It also gives the board genuine flexibility in May; it can hike again if the inflation data warrant it, or it can hold without looking complacent." #Ausecon #XJO #bonds #equities #investing

@Nobody_But_M3 Yeah.... hence my comment ;)

There was significant cash balances that were 2x the market cap, after debts and cash burn accounted for (on the day it tanked) Beyond 5c though, you're going beyond cash value and need some business value to compensate. I understand the initial 3c to 5c jump. Beyond that, makes no sense (to me).