Fab 🇧🇷🇨🇦

Flui.so/en - the AI copilot for language teachers Raising our first 😇 round. I'm a founder and technologist at heart; we're created something that 500+ users love & I choose to dedicated every minute I can towards building it further. Angels 👉 DM for the deck.

US gov 2026 so far: 1. Threatens to seize territories from two NATO allies 2. Shuts down peace talks, going offensive within the hour 3. Launches unilateral attack on major regional power (zero NATO buy-in) 3. Ruins oil flows to about 2/3 of the world 4. Shocked Pikachu face when none wants to join on quicksand Dear American neighbours: if this isn't the wake-up call, idk what to tell you.

US gov 2026 so far: 1. Threatens to seize territories from two NATO allies 2. Shuts down peace talks, going offensive within the hour 3. Launches unilateral attack on major regional power (zero NATO buy-in) 3. Ruins oil flows to about 2/3 of the world 4. Shocked Pikachu face when none wants to join on quicksand Dear American neighbours: if this isn't the wake-up call, idk what to tell you.

BOMBSHELL: Iran offered to give away ALL of its enriched uranium during peace talks in Geneva. The British thought it was a credible offer. Hours later, Trump started bombing Iran anyway. The US didn't want peace, they wanted war.

Talk about hands on leadership!

The market is extremely efficient in pricing in day-to-day changes; and terrible at pricing long term changes. This is COVID-19 level, except more persistent, as refineries and stockpiles take years to adjust.

@balajis This is in the ballpark of COVID-19 Pandemic supply chain effects disruption coming up, ppl are unwilling to see - just the same as before.

I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…

I'm obsessed with pushing local small models to their limits. Qwen3.5:0.8b doing real-time video captioning on a Mac Studio M2 Ultra, streaming descriptions as the video plays. Under 1s per frame — 269 frames captured & described from a 3m49s video. Pause anywhere and read the captions, it describes every frame surprisingly well. This model is barely 1GB. Local AI is moving absurdly fast.

this is actually insane > be tech guy in australia > adopt cancer riddled rescue dog, months to live > not_going_to_give_you_up.mp4 > pay $3,000 to sequence her tumor DNA > feed it to ChatGPT and AlphaFold > zero background in biology > identify mutated proteins, match them to drug targets > design a custom mRNA cancer vaccine from scratch > genomics professor is “gobsmacked” that some puppy lover did this on his own > need ethics approval to administer it > red tape takes longer than designing the vaccine > 3 months, finally approved > drive 10 hours to get rosie her first injection > tumor halves > coat gets glossy again > dog is alive and happy > professor: “if we can do this for a dog, why aren’t we rolling this out to humans?” one man with a chatbot, and $3,000 just outperformed the entire pharmaceutical discovery pipeline. we are going to cure so many diseases. I dont think people realize how good things are going to get

@VictorTaelin Compatively VSCode Copilot is great value for the money.

I've been using GPT 5.4 fast mode on Codex since its launch, 24/7, tons of tabs, never got close to my limits. I put $200 on Opus 4.6 and it was gone in 2h, just one tab open, spent the rest of the day on slow mode. Is this actually right? I wonder if there might be a bug?

I guess my industry is definitely cooked. My agent framework is now coding new agents.

Another pass, another day AGI goes omitted

@KobeissiLetter @grok if i believe that oil will rocket up, what stocks in US and Canada should i buy that will benefit from the rise, despite a short term relief?

BREAKING: US oil prices are currently attempting one of their biggest reversals in history. At 10:30 PM ET, US oil prices were up as much as +30% on the day. Then, FT reported that G7 countries are considering releasing 400 million barrels of crude oil from reserves. Less than 4 hours later, US oil prices are nearing $100/barrel and now up +12% on the day, erasing more than half of their daily gain. Can oil markets erase today’s rally?

@nxthompson @DrDominicNg Someone offers a gift - take the gift

@DrDominicNg What is the working hypothesis for why sleeping more than 8 hours has such terrible aging effects, at all exercise levels? Is it a selection bias in that people who sleep that much are more likely to be depressed or sick?

Regular exercise is linked to slower biological aging - but only in people sleeping 7+ hours. People who slept under 6 hours and exercised actually aged faster.

Future AI quotes of "how i met your mom" - AGI achieved over the weekend, unattended 😆

I'll be layering this to my regional weather preferences.

@lancejpollard You could say their offers lack some intelligence

Thank you for doing your part 😂😂😂

@anbc_handsome @yanisvaroufakis Masterful use of sarcasm sir, genius move!

@yanisvaroufakis Yeah let's keep the politics aside, the fact that they actually used AI to plan their operations is just plain hilarious. It's like having a strategist who keeps saying "Masterful gambits sir" 💀 Lmao

THE TECHNOFEUDAL WARS ARE UPON US The US military used Claude to plan the attack on Iran, in the days after it went to war with the company. Iran is retaliating against Claude, or rather Amazon’s cloud infrastructure more generally. Two Amazon data centers in UAE and one in Bahrain have already been disabled by missiles. Claude is currently offline for consumers including in Europe. Amazon is telling its customers to stop expecting its Middle Eastern IT intrastructure to work and to fail over to other regions. This can easily have knock-on effects for lots of other websites. When an AWS data center in Virginia went down in October, the affected sites included Zoom, Discord, Twitch, Venmo, Duolingo, Delta Airlines and several major UK banks.

@boyuan_chen @VitalikButerin Great point.. perhaps the software development equation is shifting, and QA (also AI powwred?!) framework is needed.

@VitalikButerin 702K lines in two weeks is ~50K lines/day. At that volume the real question isn't "does it work" but "can anyone audit it." Vibe-coded stuff works until it doesn't, and when it breaks nobody knows why because nobody read the code.

This is quite an impressive experiment. Vibe-coding the entire 2030 roadmap within weeks. Obviously such a thing built in two weeks without even having the EIPs has massive caveats: almost certainly lots of critical bugs, and probably in some cases "stub" versions of a thing where the AI did not even try making the full version. But six months ago, even this was far outside the realm of possibility, and what matters is where the trend is going. AI is massively accelerating coding (yesterday, I tried agentic-coding an equivalent of my blog software, and finished within an hour, and that was using gpt-oss:20b running on my laptop (!!!!), kimi-2.5 would have probably just one-shotted it). But probably, the right way to use it, is to take half the gains from AI in speed, and half the gains in security: generate more test-cases, formally verify everything, make more multi-implementations of things. A collaborator of the @leanethereum effort managed to AI-code a machine-verifiable proof of one of the most complex theorems that STARKs rely on for security. A core tenet of @leanethereum is to formally verify everything, and AI is greatly accelerating our ability to do that. Aside from formal verification, simply being able to generate a much larger body of test cases is also important. Do not assume that you'll be able to put in a single prompt and get a highly-secure version out anytime soon; there WILL be lots of wrestling with bugs and inconsistencies between implementations. But even that wrestling can happen 5x faster and 10x more thoroughly. People should be open to the possibility (not certainty! possibility) that the Ethereum roadmap will finish much faster than people expect, at a much higher standard of security than people expect. On the security side, I personally am excited about the possibility that bug-free code, long considered an idealistic delusion, will finally become first possible and then a basic expectation. If we care about trustlessness, this is a necessary piece of the puzzle. Total security is impossible because ultimately total security means exact correspondence between lines of code and contents of your mind, which is many terabytes (see firefly.social/post/x/2025653… ). But there are many specific cases, where specific security claims can be made and verified, that cut out >99% of the negative consequences that might come from the code being broken.

Wasn't expecting Twitter / X to be censoring 1ran results, but here we are. No information of use.