Aidan Morrison

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Aidan Morrison

Aidan Morrison

@FootnotesGuy

Researching energy and defence. Physics and data science background. Happy getting into the weeds.

Sydney, New South Wales Katılım Mart 2025
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
This is the story of how a fund chaired by former Labor PM Julia Gillard acquired a wind farm project just six days before Labor Energy Minister Chris Bowen underwrote its future revenues with taxpayer money. Today we've learned Julia's fund is trying to flip it. For a profit. HMC Capital's 'Energy Transition Fund' rushed to acquire the Neoen Victoria portfolio. They hadn't even raised any money in their fund. They closed with almost a billion dollars worth of borrowed money and IOU's. Less than a week later, Chris Bowen announced Kentbruck Wind Farm to be successful in the first round of the Capacity Investment Scheme. My rough calculations suggest they will receive something like a billion dollars from taxpayers (and maybe much more) over 15 years. Sweet deal. A billion dollars of fancy financial monopoly money one week. A billion dollars of promised taxpayer dollars the next. I want to emphasise that I have no evidence of anything illegal or improper taking place. Rather, I want to point out how odious and repugnant the official, proper, legal business of renewable energy has become. Yesterday Chris Bowen announced he wanted to supersize the CIS subsidy scheme, yet again. Today Ross Garnaut seemed to cheer this on, whilst pointing out "There are now virtually no new investment commitments for solar and wind generation that do not have CIS or other Government underwriting," What happened to a sense of propriety? Since when do we celebrate people rushing to put their snouts in the trough? Or rushing to fill the trough even higher? Unlike the UK who publish a 'going rate' for technology subsidies, our renewables are subsidised through a secret tender process. Every project gets to ask for whatever revenue they want to proceed. @AEMO_Energy facilitates a secret beauty pageant, where they award points for things like indigenous participation or community engagement, alongside financial value. And Chris Bowen makes the final call. The bids remain secret. There's no cap to the pay-outs. Since AEMO is a private company, there is no scope for an FOI request, and AEMO aren't not subject to parliamentary oversight through Senate Estimates. So no-one can ever prove an allegation that Bowen has bestowed special favour on a friend's project if that was what he did. But equally, he can never prove that he selected strictly according to merit. We are just expected to trust the black-box of Bowen's subsidies. So I'm going to say out loud, with full voice, that I hope everyone can agree on: If this is what the future of 'clean energy' looks like in Australia, it looks absolutely FILTHY. Any firm that talks about ESG seriously should start taking the "G" a bit more seriously and steer clear of projects that thrust their snouts into Bowen's hopelessly opaque, bottomless trough of government funds. Or at the very least, purge their boards and senior leadership of all the former Labor staffers, donors, and industry lobbyists who have had a hand in designing the trough, and filling it up. The reality is that there are no natural profits to be made in generating renewable electricity in Australia. Every dollar of profit in this industry is really a cheque signed by a politician, with Chris Bowen signing all the biggest cheques, worth untold billions, in the next three years. It's all legal. It's all official. And it's absolutely obscene. Mega-thread below. (It'll come in stages) 1/
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Ok, which “sustainability” concern has priority? Is it not politically sustainable to pass energy transition bills onto consumers? Or not financially sustainable to slug taxpayers for those costs? Which is it? Mayhem. skynews.com.au/australia-news…
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Aidan Morrison@QuixoticQuant

@Bowenchris Kirsty goes on... She spells it all out. The investment wouldn't be "politically achievable or sustainable" if passed onto consumers. So taxpayers stump up instead. Boom. How's that for an admission that the proposed renewable energy transition isn't going to be cheap. 7/7

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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Bookmark this aswell. Yet another instance of electrification zealots trying to write off plug-in-hybrids as some kind of aberration that will soon be corrected. And complete faith that battery EV’s take over.
David Osmond@DavidOsmond8

@FootnotesGuy Sales of petrol & diesel cars are plumetting. The transition is clearly happening & picking up speed. A pretty good reason to plan for it. x.com/leRaffl/status…

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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
I spoke to Peta Credlin on @SkyNewsAust last Friday about the gas reservation announcement. Probably lots of noise, and potentially not that large a change for the domestic market in the short term. youtu.be/jxboEFtnweM?si…
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Just looking at the odds for the Farrer by-election. Factor of three or more between every ticket according to TAB. And the gap between One Nation and the teal is over 5X. Not close at all, apparently.
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
@_JohnMerchant @AEMO_Energy And for roads if we never drive…. Oh wait we raised a tax on fuels for cars… and then it outstripped spending on roads…and EV drivers don’t pay it… Oh never mind.
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Network operators want to slug everyone to build public chargers. They can profit from the government's implicit commitment to wipe out fossil fuels, and force everyone to by pure battery-electric by 2035. As this @AEMO_Energy projection shows. 1/ news.com.au/technology/mot…
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Hang on… that’s completely contradictory. You only break the spot market if it it’s oversupplied. You only have a problem meeting urgent gas-fired electricity generation needs if it’s really, really badly undersupplied. Which is it? Sounds like a half-baked effort from a well-credentialed idiot to sound smart while having a bet both ways. Bamboozling everyone. Offending no-one. But actually making no sense at all.
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Graham Young
Graham Young@GrahamY·
Last time someone proposed an East Coast gas reservation it was Peter Dutton, and this is what the Grattan Institute said. Will they be consistent this time? Or does expert opinion depend on who proposes policies?
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
This is Climate zealotry that's so extreme no-one (not even Bowen) could utter it in public policy debates. But it can be silently infused into regulatory assumptions by CSIRO or AEMO. Then the networks ask for money to make it happen. And Chris Bowen cheers it all on. 5/5
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
CSIRO aren't hiding their zealotry. "However, as discussed these are not normal circumstances." They say, explaining how Australians will be "prevented" from running their petrol cars. Is there a government policy for this? Nope. They'd be voted out. 4/
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
@stephenhumble11 Yeah, hybrids could be good for all kinds of things. A friend of mine (railway engineer) once suggested a diesel-hybrid high-speed train would make sense for Australia on a Melbourne-Brisbane route. Longer distances than Europe. The economics of overhead wires change.
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stephen humble
stephen humble@stephenhumble11·
@FootnotesGuy hybrid battery diesel is good for urban trains because they start and stop a lot and the battery enables energy recovery greatly increasing efficiency and reducing fuel use. All the benefits of electrification without the clutter and cost of overhead power.
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Aidan Morrison
Aidan Morrison@FootnotesGuy·
Oh my goodness… how dumb. Battery electric trains are freaking awesome! At least for capturing energy rolling ore down hill from Pilbara mines to port. Then returning uphill empty. Which is what these BHP trains pictured do. That’s a brilliant niche. But the rest of rail? Where to begin. Maybe with it being too small a part of our diesel consumption to matter a jot for energy security.
ASPI@ASPI_org

Battery-electric freight trains would lift Australia’s energy independence | James Renouf | bit.ly/42P0fno

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