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Fusel
7.8K posts
Fusel
@Fuselwhale
Sharing Crypto Insights & Technical Analysis Not financial advice
Trenches Katılım Mayıs 2010
124 Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler
BREAKING: Traders placed $580 million worth of oil trades 15 minutes prior to President Trump’s post about a potential peace deal with Iran this morning, per FT.
Details include:
1. 6,200 Brent and WTI futures contracts were traded between 6:49 AM ET and 6:50 AM ET today
2. $1.5 billion in notional value worth of S&P 500 futures were traded at the same exact time
3. It is not known whether one entity or several entities were behind these trades
These trades likely generated over $100 million worth of profit in ~20 minutes.
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@Bitcoinmies Possible yes, but no one knows if it will happen. First we need to see a strong rejection. I'm not getting greedy on an entry, DCA is for me the key.
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Well, $BTC played out like painted 😂
What's next? Impulsive up or further range? We will see...
Fusel@Fuselwhale
If $BTC has bottomed, the current structure mirrors the 2019 and 2022 bottoms remarkably well. The same pivot point sequences have played out (with one exception: the second red dot in 2022). We are seeing identical reactions at range highs, rejection followed by a move back into the Value Area to test POC and VAL. Historically, this marked the bottom. From here, we grinded up through POC and VAH in a choppy move before the breakout.
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@Fuselwhale Bear market is still strong. I expect 28k hit in q4/2026 or q1/2027
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@Fuselwhale Don’t lie about you being a Fusel wizzard broo *fish*
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They keep telling you everyone is bearish on $BTC and that everyone is shorting.
That couldn’t be further from the truth.
Delta is extended green, and we’ve had 8 consecutive green daily candles. I’ve seen this movie before. Just when people start believing we’re "back", the entire move gets erased in a few red candles.
People keep saying, “Killa, you’re a perma bear.”
No, I’m not. It just so happens I created my account during the final year of the bull run.
Believe me, you’ll know when I’m net long for new ATHs. Right now just isn’t that time. People are too quick to jump the gun, calling bottoms, and months later those tweets get buried. I don’t play that game.
Yes, we could extend slightly higher. The 76–78K region is the upper area to watch. But buying there essentially means buying the first bearish retest in a strong macro downtrend.
The trend is not bullish. It doesn’t take a genius to see that.
The market hunts leverage, that’s its objective.
The cartel needs to liquidate traders to make money.
The house always wins. Once enough liquidity builds below, they’ll erase this artificial move up like it never happened.
You call it strength. It isn’t. It’s an orchestrated TWAP bid designed to distribute into limit sells when the time is right.
The big players, the hedge funds, have been shorting since 120K. Yet all it takes is a 10–20% bounce for people to start calling for targets 20–30% higher than their previous ones. It’s a shame.
The same thing happened at 120K when people were calling for 150K. I remember the names.
The same thing happened at 96K when people were calling for 100–104K.
And now it’s happening again, with people calling for 80–85K.
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I'm getting squeezed - $BTC
Out of jokes, this pump has done damage to my shorts. Honestly didn’t think we’d keep pushing much higher, but the man of the moment did it again.
Saylor bought +$1B, holding price and indoucing spot bid continuation once markets opened after the weekend. Crypto has shown strentgh today, but I don’t trust this move.
I’m still holding my shorts. Even if there’s a chance we squeeze a bit more, in my opinion it shouldn’t have much time extension.
From a $BTC PA perspective, the black line we drew acted as support again, and from there price moved to the first long target if you were on the long side. So far we haven’t seen another ugly rejection at $74k, and considering this pump has been more spot driven than perps driven, I don’t see anything that screams an imminent dump, so like I said, it could still grind a bit higher.
That said, I still have conviction we go lower this week, so for now I’m holding my shorts. Underwater and drowning, embrace the red.
Mizer@MizerXBT
$BTC update: As we can see price followed one of the paths we mapped out, and it looks like we’re now in motion for a drop. $BTC tapped the 74k zone for a second time and got hard rejected again. Like we discussed, if that happened without a bullish reaction back up, it was a clear sign we weren’t ready for upside continuation. $BTC is back at 70k and for now, it’s holding this level… for now. After two clean rejections at 74k, I think the odds are we see 6Xk soon. It’s true that on the LTF when we pushed into 74k, the strength of the impulse made a run to 78k a real possibility but at this point, that feels a lot less likely. Lower comes first imo. During this week Saylor has held the price on many occasions, we’ll see if he’s able to keep doing it. On top of that the projection of the U.S. and Iran war doesn’t have any forecast of an imminent ending. I also think oil $CL is going to go back to $110-120, and all of this together makes me think we’re going down from here. So we'll keep following the purple road imo.
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@philarekt go check BTC bottoms in the past and you will see that rarely a bottom like that played out. BTC tends to not print a spring and more likely a HL as it shows in the previous bottoms before breaking out of this accumulation.
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Might have shorted the worst possible asset to short out there, didn't expect it to pump that much.
Actually nothing terrible as I've been more long than short with my $BTC long until this morning, but yeah, horrible pic from my side.
Hyperliquid.
Mizer@MizerXBT
Added to $HYPE short @ 31.9 Ddidn't like that Saylor was the one pushing $BTC price yesterday. I was long positioned at the time of the quoted post, I'm closer to a neutral spot now (0.3x net lev short). Will update when I make any major changes, for now just slightly short and chill.
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$BTC
The reason I’m not adding to my shorts yet.
Around the $96k high we saw the exact same price action as we’re seeing now. There’s therefore a chance that we get one more run to the range high before we actually start trading towards the range low.
Plan of action: I’ll wait for the NY session. If we see a break of structure on the lower timeframes, I’ll add to my shorts. Until then, I’ll remain cautious.
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Having 8 figs in people’s mind:
- Moving to Dubai
- Buying 3 super cars
- Only shopping designer
- Spending $100K a month
How it is for me:
- Living in a village
- Biking
- Buying clothes from H&M
- Cooking & cleaning myself
- Spending $3k a month
Don’t overcomplicate life.
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@ZsoltiSolt9827 definitely, some lows got taken out which gives good entry's. Let's see how market overall moves in the coming weeks/months
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@Fuselwhale I started to accumulate below 10c
stop loss is clear at least
some accumulation is visible
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@misfitpatriot_ @stelzner_n1150 Pure propaganda nothing is true in that
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I still don’t understand why we’re at war with Iran. Explain it to me like I’m 5.
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If $BTC has bottomed, the current structure mirrors the 2019 and 2022 bottoms remarkably well.
The same pivot point sequences have played out (with one exception: the second red dot in 2022). We are seeing identical reactions at range highs, rejection followed by a move back into the Value Area to test POC and VAL.
Historically, this marked the bottom. From here, we grinded up through POC and VAH in a choppy move before the breakout.
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@Fuselwhale Looks doable. I remember back then the sentiment was similar to today, everyone wanted to buy lower
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