Boris Schlossberg

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Boris Schlossberg

Boris Schlossberg

@Fxflow

https://t.co/mA47eLi3OE LIVE TRADE M-F 9:00am NY https://t.co/SpE90cpkR5 Tweets info only, not advice

New York Katılım Nisan 2009
888 Takip Edilen43.4K Takipçiler
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Boris Schlossberg
Boris Schlossberg@Fxflow·
I watched myself destroy a $25K account in real time 📉 The worst part? I KNEW what I was doing 3 contracts... 6... 20... 40 Prop firms don't need to cheat you They just wait for YOU to cheat YOURSELF They don't have to beat you. You beat yourself 💀
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L2WTrades
L2WTrades@L2WTrades·
a former blackjack card counter explained the ONE concept that separates funded traders who collect payouts from funded traders who blow accounts it took him exactly one sentence: "you're supposed to lose more hands than you win. the money comes from the SIZING, not the frequency." I asked him to elaborate "in blackjack, even with a perfect count, you lose 48-49% of your hands. you WIN by betting small when the count is negative and betting large when the count is positive. over 1,000 hands the sizing difference generates all the profit." "your funded account is identical. you lose 50-55% of your trades. but your winners pay 3R and your losers cost 1R. the asymmetry is the profit engine. the win rate is irrelevant." "the traders blowing accounts are the ones who can't accept losing most of the time. they chase a higher win rate by taking more setups, adding more confirmations, switching systems. all of that is trying to win more hands instead of accepting that losing hands is PART OF THE MATH." here's where it gets uncomfortable: "card counters who can't handle losing streaks go broke even with perfect strategy. because a losing streak at any count is mathematically inevitable. 8-10 losing hands in a row will happen multiple times per session." "when it happens, the emotional counter deviates. bets bigger to recover. or leaves the table and misses the positive count that follows." "the mechanical counter doesn't flinch. same sizing rules. same bet schedule. same process. the losing streak ends. the positive count arrives. the big bets connect. end of session: net positive." "your funded account will produce 4-6 losing trades in a row at least once per month. mathematically guaranteed at a 48% win rate. that's not a drawdown. that's the model working as designed." "the traders who survive it don't change anything during the streak. same risk. same model. same session." "the traders who blow up during it change everything. they size up. they switch sessions. they add a 'confirmation' that's really just doubt dressed up as analysis." "the losing streak wasn't the problem. their reaction to the losing streak was the problem." "so the entire skill - in blackjack and in trading is this: can you execute the same process during a losing streak that you execute during a winning streak?" "if yes, you make money forever." "if no, it doesn't matter how good your system is." the card counter never traded a day in his life. and he described the funded trading mental model more accurately than any trading psychologist I've ever listened to the money comes from the sizing. not the frequency. stop trying to win more. start surviving the losses better
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Boris Schlossberg
Boris Schlossberg@Fxflow·
Maybe the market smells it too Ramp EOD
The Long View@HayekAndKeynes

Big mood shift today Israel basically signaling they dropped enough bombs and RoW saying they will help to clear Hormuz. Harder for Iran to sustain aggression against all allies. Increases odds they fold. Small risk they keep pushing and China/Russia add backdoor support but I don’t think China will risk that given what they have seen. Could certainly try to invite world navies in and pull something sneaky but I would discount that. See a clear window for resolution which didn’t exist until today. TBD

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proptraderedge
proptraderedge@proptraderedge·
One Day Left! Apex Trader Funding 85% off sale ENDS soon. Grab them while you can! $25K evals for $17.70 $50K evals for $19.70 $100K evals for $29.70 bit.ly/bkapex (Code: EDGE)
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Boris Schlossberg
Boris Schlossberg@Fxflow·
8 PM NY time and everyone is banging on Claude. So the system is totally jammed. It like the Van Wyck of AI right now.
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Boris Schlossberg
Boris Schlossberg@Fxflow·
In the last 2 hours we only had 2 candles greater than 20 points in NQ that basically means that we only 10bps moves just 1.6% of the time this afternoon. These are the days that try scalpers souls
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