Gabor Scheiring

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Gabor Scheiring

Gabor Scheiring

@gscheiring

Asst Prof of Comparative Politics @GUQatar • Economic shocks, authoritarianism, class, populism, health • #FirstGen • Formerly @EuropeAtHarvard & @Cambridge_Uni

Katılım Ağustos 2014
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
I have a new paper out in the European Journal of Sociology! Commodification and Social Reproduction: Theory and Mixed-Method Evidence on the Effect of Privatization on Childbearing. I have friends who do brilliant work on #social #reproduction, take #Marx seriously, but don’t find #demography inspiring. I also have demographer friends who do brilliant work on #fertility but don’t know social reproduction theory and don’t take Marx seriously. Putting these two worlds in dialogue was always going to be a tall order. That’s also what motivated this study. Economic production and social reproduction are two sides of the same coin. Social reproduction theory asks a deceptively simple question: if workers produce value, who produces workers? And how are the costs of producing and sustaining life #distributed across genders, households, markets, and the state? We argue that these are not side questions but core to understanding the #postsocialist #fertility #decline. This is not a minor story. Around 15 of the world’s 20 fastest #shrinking populations are located in Eastern Europe, with low fertility as a major driver. Empirically, we combine cross-national panel models with subnational and qualitative evidence to trace the mechanism. #Privatization and commodification shift risk downward, reorganize household budgets and time, and make #childbearing a far more uncertain project. Marketization does not just reshape jobs and incomes. It reaches into intimate life decisions by transforming the conditions of social reproduction. I’m grateful to all my co-authors Lawrence King, @EvaFodor_CEU, Raymond Caraher, and Gosta Esping-Andersen. Co-authoring with Gosta, a doyen of welfare state theory and social demography, was quite an experience. As the acknowledgements section demonstrates, many contributed to this study. I’d like to flag the help from @azarrova, Darja Irdam, @gigoca, @EszterKovats, @LMurinko, @i_reprosoc, and @DorottyaSzikra. A peek behind the scenes, because behind every success in academia there are dozens of invisible setbacks. This paper took around eight years from first idea to publication. It went through multiple submissions, a second-round rejection at a top journal (American Journal of Sociology), and several R&Rs that would have required reshaping the argument in ways that would have hollowed out what the paper is trying to say. Part of this reflects how broken the academic publication game is. Part of it reflects the paper’s unusual niche. It relies on advanced quantitative tools, but it is not a clean causal inference design. It is also theoretically hybrid, and the tensions between social reproduction scholarship and mainstream demography made some pushback almost inevitable. A lot changed in my life over these eight years. I lived in six cities, in five countries, across three continents. I held multiple precarious contracts and lived through major political upheavals. There was one “comforting” constant, though: this paper was almost always under review somewhere. Not anymore. As they say: Each article is its own Vietnam — easy to get into, hard to get out of. In the end, it found a very good permanent home at EJS. In the end, it found a very good permanent home at EJS. Comments welcome! #politicalconomy #sociology @GUQatar @QNLib
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
🎙️ Pumpled (pumped & humbled) about these two podcast episodes out today, both recorded with my dear friend and former party co-founder Kristof Szombati in the aftermath of Viktor #Orban's defeat. The short version, for those pressed for time: a crisp 15-minute conversation with Brad Rourke at the Kettering Foundation, where Kristóf and I unpack how Péter #Magyar broke through a captured media environment and mobilized the rural #Hungary previous oppositions wrote off. We also sound a note of caution that will be familiar to readers of my recent work. Orbán built more than a party. He built an extragovernmental ecosystem of illiberal #counterhegemony: loyalist-stacked institutions, a hollowed civic space, endowed foundations, none of which the ballot box dismantles on its own. And beneath all of it sits the deeper structural problem: the triple devaluation of work, voice, and dignity that fed illiberalism in the first place has not gone anywhere. 🎧 kettering.org/hungary-after-… The long version, for the intellectually ambitious: an hour on Kristóf's podcast, This Authoritarian Life. Here we push harder against the celebratory end-of-history mood already gathering around the result. Magyar won by pairing an anti-corruption message with a softer #nationalism, Fidesz-lite, essentially, and now inherits a two-thirds supermajority against an opponent that still commands the commanding heights of media, economy, and judiciary. Slovakia is one cautionary tale: a pro-European correction after Mečiar crumbled, giving way to new wave of #illiberalism within a decade, precisely because the structural grievances driving the first wave were never addressed. What happens in Hungary when a new dominant party fills the entire democratic space, with only a weakened civil society to enforce accountability and no left-wing challenger in sight? What does Orbán's defeat actually mean for the European #FarRight? 🎧 open.spotify.com/episode/57sP5U… Two formats, one argument: the runway is not the destination. #FarRight #Authoritarianism #Democracy @GUQatar
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
What a week. Since #Orbán's defeat I have been in and out of studios and phone calls with journalists trying to make sense of the elections in #Hungary, literally talking to each inhabited continent (Antarctica still pending), reflecting the gravity of this political change. The most thorough of these conversations was the half-hour @AJEnglish Inside Story segment, where I was honored to be the in-studio guest alongside @carlbildt (Former Prime Minister of Sweden) and @KimLaneLaw (Professor at Princeton), both joining online. If you only watch one, watch that. If you want something written and thorough, read the in-depth interview in the Czech Radio's online magazine. The argument I kept returning to: This win was structural, then moral, then political. Structural: Sixteen years of a cheap-labour growth model and jumping inequalities finally caught up with Fidesz. Moral: Stagnant wages, rotting hospitals, neglected state institutions, and child abuse scandals on one side and the regime's inner circle laundering public money into lakeside estates and dynastic fortunes on the other. Political: The old opposition failed because it could never unite and innovate at once. #Magyar solved that by pushing the pre-2010 parties off the stage and campaigning with energy rarely seen. But this victory is the runway, not the destination. The extragovernmental fortifications of illiberalism remain intact: the foundations, the media conglomerate, the transatlantic far-right network. Orbán loses state power, not his base. The triple devaluation (economic, political, and cultural) does not recede just because the government changes. The new cabinet needs a strategic, long-term vision for sustainable democratization. Otherwise we might end up with another illiberal cycle. That's roughly what I've been talking about The full set - with more to come: 🌏 Asia: 📺 Al Jazeera's Inside Story (the network's flagship English-language current affairs debate): aljazeera.com/video/inside-s… 🌏 Asia: 📰 Al Jazeera Online (the main international news site): aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/13… 🌍 Europe: 📰 Czech Radio Online / iROZHLAS (the Czech Republic's public broadcaster): irozhlas.cz/zpravy-svet/ma… 🌍 Africa: 🎙️ Radio Islam (South African community broadcaster with international reach): radioislam.org.za/a/surprise-out… 🌎 North America: 📰 The Meteor (Boston-based feminist media collective): wearethemeteor.com/eric-swalwell-… 🌎 North America: 🎙️ WBUR's Here & Now (US public radio news magazine, co-produced with NPR, syndicated nationwide): wbur.org/hereandnow/202… 🌏 Oceania: 🎙️ ABC Radio National Breakfast (Australia's national public broadcaster): abc.net.au/listen/program… 🌎 South America: 📰 La Tercera, Chile (one of the country's two leading national dailies; link forthcoming) #democracy #illiberalism #FarRight #hungary @GUQatar @guqdean
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@populismstudies
@populismstudies@populismstudies·
📢 ECPS Commentary 📌Dismantling an Embedded Autocracy ✍️ By Attila Antal 🇭🇺 In this compelling ECPS commentary, Assoc. Prof. Attila Antal offers a rigorous and timely analysis of the post-election landscape following the defeat of Viktor Orbán. Moving beyond electoral arithmetic, he asks a deeper question: is Hungary witnessing a сhange of government—or the beginning of genuine regime transformation? ⚖️ Dr. Antal identifies three critical fronts in this struggle: the dismantling of a deeply entrenched propaganda system, the neutralization of institutionalized autocracy, and the unraveling of transnational authoritarian networks. 🌍 The piece situates Hungary within a broader European and global context, arguing that the outcome represents not only a national turning point but also a potential test case for democratic resilience against embedded authoritarianism. 📊 With sharp empirical grounding and conceptual clarity, this analysis sheds light on what it truly takes to dismantle an illiberal regime from within. 📕 Read and reflect on one of the most consequential democratic transitions in contemporary Europe. 🔗 populismstudies.org/dismantling-an… #ECPS #Populism #Authoritarianism #DemocraticBacksliding #Hungary #Orban #EuropeanPolitics #Illiberalism #Democracy #RuleOfLaw #PoliticalTransformation #FarRight #EU #DemocraticResilience
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
66% of votes counted, opposition Tisza party now projected to win 137 seats, comfortably above the 133 threshold for constitutional majority.
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
Hungary is Back. Orban is out. Constitutional majority in sight for opposition! 30% of votes counted; yet, it's almost 100% that the opposition Tisza party won, based on the current trajectory, new government might control at least 2/3 of seats, which means new majority can defuse Orban's illiberal institutional landmines. New era.
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
45% of votes counted, and opposition Tisza party passed the threshold for constitutional majority (135 seats > 133)!
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Gabor Scheiring
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring·
Yesterday, I spoke to @ilmanifesto and @AJEnglish (Inside Story, a 25-minute segment) about tomorrow's elections in Hungary, focusing on the economic exhaustion of the Orbán regime. If you want one figure to summarize the failure of Orbánomics, it's this: before Orbán took power, net PPP household income placed Hungary in the upper third among Eastern European EU member states. By 2025, Hungary ranked lowest. Orbán proved remarkably good at generating income for elites, cronies, and large corporations, while everyone else fell behind. 🎦Al Jazeera: aljazeera.com/video/inside-s… 📰 Il Manifesto: ilmanifesto.it/la-piazza-giov… #illiberalism #hungary #economy #election @GUQatar
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Cihan Tugal
Cihan Tugal@CihanTugal·
Macaristan’ın Erdoğan’ı Orbán, zaten zar zor ayakta tuttuğu sınıfsal koalisyona sırtını dönüp Trumpçılık oynamaya kalkışıyor. Bedeli büyük olabilir. evrensel.net/yazi/99059/mac…
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