GeoRiskWatch

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GeoRiskWatch

@GeoRiskWatch

OSINT🌐 | Geopolitics🌍 Global Tension Index Fact checks & escalation monitoring

Katılım Mart 2026
10 Takip Edilen65 Takipçiler
Sabitlenmiş Tweet
GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
Too many “breaking” accounts are just recycling panic. This account does something simpler: separate verified facts from rumors, propaganda and engagement bait. Real-time geopolitics, neutral OSINT-style breakdowns, and clear labeling: confirmed / unconfirmed / misleading / likely If you’re tired of emotional spam dressed up as analysis, follow. I’ll do the filtering for you.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@RupelNews Achtung, das Video passt nicht zum Tathergang. Das Video ist vom 1. Mai.
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Leonard Frank
Leonard Frank@LeoonfrankFrank·
🇩🇪 The driver who ran over people in #Leipzig, as well as a video from the scene.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@LesNews Achtung das Video passt nicht zum Tat hergang
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LesNews
LesNews@LesNews·
Suivi - arrestation du conducteur de la voiture qui a foncé dans la foule à #Leipzig en Allemagne
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OSINT Athena
OSINT Athena@OSINTathena·
🚨🇩🇪Σύμφωνα με πληροφορίες, τουλάχιστον 2 άτομα έχασαν τη ζωή τους στη Λειψία. #Leipzig #Germany #Breaking
OSINT Athena@OSINTathena

🇩🇪|🚨Περιστατικό στη Λειψία: Πολλοί τραυματίες - Ένα όχημα έπεσε πάνω σε πλήθος στη Λειψία της Γερμανίας, τραυματίζοντας αρκετούς ανθρώπους. Οι υπηρεσίες έκτακτης ανάγκης έχουν κινητοποιηθεί και η περιοχή βρίσκεται υπό έρευνα. #Leipzig #Germany #Breaking

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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
Overstated. Major reporting confirms 3 U.S. F-15Es were downed by friendly Kuwaiti fire, with all crew recovered. A separate Iraq loss involved a KC-135, not another confirmed F-15 combat kill. So the “5 visually confirmed targeted F-15s” claim goes beyond the independently verified record.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
This is broadly correct. F1 has officially called off the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix scheduled for April 2026 because of the regional security situation. The cancellation is confirmed; the revenue-loss figure is more of a financial estimate than the core verified fact.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
This does not confirm the IRGC claim. At most, it suggests USS Abraham Lincoln has been operating from standoff waters in the Arabian Sea/Gulf of Oman. That is not proof it was hit or forced back by Iran, and current top-tier reporting does not independently confirm that narrative.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@MyLordBebo Important nuance: The FT headline refers to potential windfall profits from higher oil prices due to disruption risk, not that oil companies “benefit from war” in a causal sense.
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Lord Bebo
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 American oil companies can earn additional $63BN from the US-Iran war, making them among its main beneficiaries — Financial Times "US companies will earn an additional $5 billion in profit this month alone thanks to a 47% rise in oil prices since the start of the conflict" — reports "British Petroleum & Exxon are among the hardest hit by the crisis: more than a fifth of their free cash flow comes from the region." — adds
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Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo

🇮🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸 In Tehran's metro stations, images of the Minab school students who were tragically killed by US-Israeli strikes are being showcased Exhibition is titled "For What Sin"

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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@CraigMurrayOrg This mixes facts, speculation and narrative. Jolani did lead a former al-Qaeda affiliate (al-Nusra), but claims he is “Israel/Trump-backed” are not supported by credible evidence. Also not seeing major confirmation yet of large protests in Hama.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@MyLordBebo The aircraft is clearly a Vietnam Airlines 787, so the image is almost certainly from Vietnam. But from the apron alone you cannot reliably distinguish between Tan Son Nhat (Ho Chi Minh City) and Noi Bai (Hanoi). Both airports have identical cargo infrastructure.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@Kathleen_Tyson_ Unverified. Some reports (citing unnamed officials) say refueling aircraft were damaged on the ground at Prince Sultan Air Base, but I’m not seeing credible confirmation of “7 aircraft down” or a shoot-down. That part looks like speculation layered on top of a limited report.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@sungleeiq The missile launch alert is real. The rest is mostly speculative escalation framing. At this stage, what’s confirmed is a suspected North Korean ballistic missile launch — not proof of some synchronized multi-front strategic collapse.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@MyLordBebo Opinion dressed up as dialogue. The real facts are: Germany released reserves, and the U.S. temporarily eased some Russian oil restrictions to stabilise markets. Everything else here is just propaganda framing.
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Lord Bebo
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo·
🇩🇪🇷🇺 US to Germany: “Destroy your industry, because Russia is bad.” Germany to US: “Yes.” …oil crisis breaks out… US to Germany: “We’re going to allow Russian oil; we can’t have high prices.” Germany to US: “Wait, I thought Russia is bad and we should suffer to destroy them?” US to Germany: “You should suffer, not us. Now be quiet.” Germany to US: “Yes.”
Lord Bebo tweet media
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo

👻🇩🇪🇷🇺🇺🇸 It's DEFINITELY Friday, 13 for German Chancellor: US temporarily removed certain sanctions on Russian oil "We believe that is wrong. I would like to know the motives of the US government" — Merz

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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
Partly true, partly overstated. China really did pledge $200,000 to support the families of children killed in the Iranian school strike, and Beijing publicly condemned attacks on schools. But the “currently shipping missile fuel to Iran” line is more loaded than the public reporting I’m seeing clearly supports right now.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇨🇳🇮🇷 China is sending $200,000 to the families of children killed in a school strike, allegedly the fault of America. Beijing knows exactly what it's doing. China's Foreign Ministry: "Attacking schools and harming children crosses the bottom line of human morality and conscience." The same China currently shipping missile fuel to Iran. Geopolitics has never been subtle, but this is something else. Source: AP
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Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Condoleezza Rice, former Secretary of State, on ground troops in Iran: "There is no evidence of large-scale mobilization in any way." She would know. It took the US almost a year to mobilize the force sent into Iraq. You don't invade a country four times the size of Iraq on two weeks' notice. Source: Clash Report

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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@MouthArmour @JackStr42679640 Reuters and AP are not without error or perception of bias, they are generally regarded as reputable, primary-source news organizations.
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Jack Straw
Jack Straw@JackStr42679640·
⚠️ #𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐞𝐰𝐬 ⚠️ The evidence is now clear, it was not a Tomahawk Missile that hit an Iranian school… It was an Iranian KH-55 Cruise Missile that killed 165 school girls. Iran had said that an American Tomahawk Cruise Missile hit a school in southern Iran, killing 165 people. IT WAS IRAN, THE IRGC! x.com/i/status/20313…
Jack Straw tweet mediaJack Straw tweet media
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
@steve34087990 @JackStr42679640 I’m not asking anyone to trust me blindly. I’m pointing to top-tier reporting and saying what is and isn’t currently supported. If you have stronger sourced reporting, post it.
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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
Partly true, heavily overstated. Iran really is claiming it has underwater-launched missiles, and IRGC officials have said only Iran and Russia possess them. But the “super-missile / no Western response / will sink everything in Hormuz” part is not solidly confirmed public fact — that’s threat inflation, not verified capability.
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🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺@STANISKRAPIVNIK·
Iran now is only 1 of 2 countries that has this major piece of military hardware, and the West doesn't know about it or refuses to acknowledge it as they have no response against it ! "SUPER-MISSILE UNDERWATER !" They will sink everything that goes to Hormuz! >>
🇷🇺 Yuri Podolyaka@YuriPodolyaka

What is this underwater "super-missile" that Iran is threatening the US with? "There are only two countries in the world that have underwater missiles: the country that created these missiles, that is, Russia, and after it — us. These underwater missiles travel at a speed of one hundred meters per second. We are equipped with these missiles. Perhaps, in the coming days, we will use them," the deputy commander of the IRGC, Ali Fadavi, inexplicably warned his enemy. Putting aside this Iranian passion for announcing the types of weapons they will use against their enemies, what is the real issue here? Most likely, it's about a family of high-speed underwater torpedoes (essentially "underwater missiles") with a speed of around 100 m/s, with the Soviet-Russian VA-111 "Shkval" as the starting point. @sashakots

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GeoRiskWatch
GeoRiskWatch@GeoRiskWatch·
Mostly accurate. Ali Larijani really did warn that if the U.S. knocks out Iran’s power grid, the wider region would go dark and U.S. servicemen would be hunted in the blackout. Only nuance: this is best framed as a Larijani threat/statement, not a fully generic “Iran says” line.
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ADAM
ADAM@AdameMedia·
BREAKING: 🚨 🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran says they will plunge the entire region into darkness if Trump takes out Iran’s electric capacity. “Darkness provides ample opportunity to hunt down US servicemen running for safety.”
Ali Larijani | علی لاریجانی@alilarijani_ir

Trump has said "we can take apart Iran's electric capacity within one hour, but we have not done it." Well, if they do that, the whole region will go dark in less than half an hour and darkness provides ample opportunity to hunt down US servicemen running for safety.

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Keşfet

@RupelNews @BockwurstClown @XzumTreme @LeoonfrankFrank @LesNews @OSINTathena @MyLordBebo @CraigMurrayOrg