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Global bond markets are heading for their worst week in a month as investors grow increasingly uneasy about the US-Iran ceasefire Whilst the $Dxy has weakened this month, global bond markets continue to flag the risk of an inflationary shock

$XauUsd continues to struggle as the US extension of a ceasefire with Iran, and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, keeps both inflation risks and appeal for the USD high

The US Dollar's share of international transactions via Swift rose to a record 51.1% in March This suggests recent $Dxy weakness has not translated into any clear decline in the dollar’s role as a reserve currency, with broader trends pointing towards diversification rather than outright de-dollarization

$WTI continues to riseas the US and Iran remained locked in a battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz The US currently maintains a naval blockade on ships going to and from Iran’s ports, whilst Iran is keeping Hormuz closed to almost all other international traffic

🇯🇵 The S&P Global purchasing managers’ index for factory output in Japan climbed to 55.4 in April, the strongest reading since February 2014 Japan’s manufacturers are ramping up production amid concerns over the implications of the war in the Middle East $UsdJpy

🇬🇧 UK businesses increased job cutting in March as the number of employees on payrolls dropped by 11,000, the biggest fall since November and double the decline seen in February The UK is set to be one of the hardest hit major economies by the rise in energy prices from the US-Israel-Iran War $GbpUsd

🇳🇿 New Zealand inflation held above the top of the Reserve Bank’s target last quarter, prompting markets to boost bets on a July interest-rate hike The Consumers Price Index climbed 3.1% from a year earlier, exceeding a forecast 2.9% with RBNZ estimates suggesting inflation will accelerate to 4.2% in the current quarter $NzdUsd

🇦🇺 Australian gasoline prices fell for a third straight week due to government measures with the national average petrol price falling about 5% to $2.129 a liter, still about 18% higher than at the start of March A major fire forced one of Australia’s only two operating oil refineries to cut production, with the refinery to produce diesel and jet fuel at about 80% of capacity and gasoline at around 60% in the near term $AudUsd

China's imports of silver have surged to an all-time high as retail investors and the country's solar industry drive record demand $XagUsd

Hedge Funds Are Dumping The US Dollar Forex Pairs & Markets Covered: $Wti, $Dxy, $EurUsd, $GbpUsd, $UsdJpy, $UsdCad, $UsdChf, $AudUsd, $NzdUsd, $AudJpy, $ChfJpy, $AudCad, $GbpCad, $EurNzd, $EurAud, $BtcUsd, $EthUsd, $XauUsd, $XagUsd & more! youtu.be/lIfslKNm_-Q?si…

Gold is on track for a 4th consecutive positive weekly return as the US Dollar continues to unwind some of its recent strength in the wake of the US-Iran Ceasefire announcement $XauUsd

🇺🇸 The US Dollar is now down ~1.3% since the US and Iran agreed to a truce on April 7 Foreign Investors continue to unwind USD hedges whilst asset managers have added to bearish dollar trades in the first couple of weeks of April, despite the ongoing Double Blockade in the Strait of Hormuz $Dxy

🇪🇺 Euro Area growth forecasts for Q1 2026 have been slashed to zero, with the potential for negative growth, in the wake of the US-Iran War energy shock $EurUsd

🇯🇵 Overnight swap indexes show markets are pricing in ~19% chance of a hike of the Japanese benchmark rate to 1% this month, down from around 55% at the start of the week after news of the collapse of US-Iran talks over the weekend The chances rise to ~76% for a move by June $UsdJpy

🇪🇺 The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June by 25bps - likely the only hike this year, according to the latest Bloomberg survey Inflation is predicted to accelerate to 2.8% this year, up from a prior expectations of 2% $EurUsd

🇦🇺 A cut in production at one of Australia’s two refineries has dealt a fresh blow to government efforts to contain a fuel crisis triggered by the Iranian war A fire at Viva Energy Group Ltd.’s Geelong refinery has cut gasoline production by about 40% & diesel output by roughly 20% from normal levels $AudUsd

🇪🇺 NEW: International Energy Agency Chief Fatih Birol says Europe has 'maybe six weeks of jet fuel left' and warns of possible flight cancellations $EurUsd

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains far below peacetime levels as a double blockade sees the number of commercial ships sailing through the strait standing at 11 on Tuesday $Wti

🇪🇺 The European Central Bank are leaning toward keeping interest rates unchanged this month, postponing their verdict on whether the fallout of the Iran war warrants a response - Bloomberg $EurUsd

🇺🇸 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating suspiciously well-timed trades in the oil futures market ahead of recent policy pivots by President Donald Trump related to the war in Iran $Wti