Desi Capital

3.7K posts

Desi Capital

Desi Capital

@GoodForAll6

Individual investor here just to share my thoughts and learn along the way. My tweets shall not be used as investment advice. DMs Open.

Katılım Haziran 2018
205 Takip Edilen865 Takipçiler
Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@long_equity Patrick Industries $PATK has been an amazing compounder over the past couple decades. I know of an investor who got into this name during the GFC after the big crash had happened and has held onto this name ever since! Life-changing gains with Buy and Hold with Patience.
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Long Equity
Long Equity@long_equity·
There's a lot of consistent growth out there, beyond the big names often spoken about.
Long Equity tweet media
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FAST Graphs
FAST Graphs@FASTGraphs·
FREE STOCK ANALYSIS. Reply with what stock you want and I’ll reply with the chart and tell you if it’s currently under or over valued.
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William
William@bill_fw·
@CDInewsletter @evfcfaddict $OTIS Margins just contracted 160bps in Q1 despite 10% organic growth. Four consecutive guidance cuts from management that keeps missing their own targets. At 17x on numbers that keep getting revised down, you’re not buying cheap in my opinion.
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Canadian Dividend Investing
Canadian Dividend Investing@CDInewsletter·
$OTIS continues to get cheaper. Trades at just 17x earnings and pays a 2.5% dividend. Highest dividend and lowest valuation since it IPOed back in 2020. Short-term looks meh, but nice moat and a dominant position in a sector with few competitors. This comes back eventually.
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@Mr_Neutral_Man @DurableCreators Not sure if there's any tracking tool that's available currently, but stock price would be the leading indicator of this as smart money/momentum driven hedge funds will start bailing out once they see the indicators of this AI (hype) cycle fizzling out at some point. JMTC.
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Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs”@Mr_Neutral_Man·
@GoodForAll6 @DurableCreators Any way to track the progress in real time and potentially see when the orders may get canceled Could get really bloody $CAT historically has been one of my best tail risk hedge candidates but has detached from a cyclical industrial narrative in recent times
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Durable Value Creators
Durable Value Creators@DurableCreators·
Something I find surprising is that the market cap of Industrials in the S&P 500 is currently surpassing Healthcare. $CAT is the 22nd largest company in the S&P now and there are 16 industrial companies with a market cap > 100B. The (old) new economy? Or data center euphoria?
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@rhaej @kristinnsms Exactly. There’s no evidence yet that the volume recovery is happening. If it was, then price would have already recovered a few percentage points from its lows instead of being at 52 week lows. The market is not stupid.
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Rhandi
Rhandi@rhaej·
@kristinnsms What’s the proof that the volume recovery is happening. I have it as a 5% position also.
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Kristinn Sævar Magnússon
Kristinn Sævar Magnússon@kristinnsms·
Copart ($CPRT). 5% of my portfolio. Initiated April 23 at $33 funded by trimming $META from 16% to 11%. 5-year FCF CAGR of 27%, 1-year of 38%. The unit volume recovery the bears doubted is happening.
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@DividendGrowth Lower stock prices due to negative short-term sentiment are long-term investors' best friend. Why would you not buy shares with a starting YoC let's say approaching 3% when in the past, those shares were yielding around 2%?
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Dividend Growth Investor
Dividend Growth Investor@DividendGrowth·
As a Dividend Growth Investor, I focus on the dividend income, and ignore stock price fluctuations Dividends are much more stable, easier to forecast and easier to rely upon, which make them a perfect source of income in retirement Plus they grow above rate of inflation and are taxed at preferential tax rates This of course assumes one has a divrsified portfolio, which is built on a strong foundation
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Dividend Growth Investor
Dividend Growth Investor@DividendGrowth·
I hold two competing thoughts in my mind 1. We are likely in a bubble today and we have a high likelihood of a lost decade and a secular bear market 2. Timing that bubble is a fools errand, so it's best to not even try, hence stay invested I believe a dollar invested today in a diversified equity basket of US stocks could compound at by least at 7% annualized over the next 25 years Provided one does not have to sell of course Investing every month in a diversified basket of equities, over the next 20 years, would likely reach to a decent portfolio size too
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@yianisz My price target is around $700 if their AI stack turns out to be the real deal for edge AI computing.
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Yiannis Zourmpanos
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz·
$QCOM was so obvious to me honestly.. the market was still stuck on the $AAPL modem loss while completely ignoring what was happening underneath: edge AI, automotive, AI PCs, custom silicon and now hyperscaler infrastructure. People saw a “cheap phone chip company.” I saw one of the few companies positioned across literally every layer of the AI stack outside pure training GPUs. Now the stock is up ~80% in a month and I still don’t think the street fully gets where this can go if the datacenter and agentic AI roadmap actually works.
Yiannis Zourmpanos tweet media
Yiannis Zourmpanos@yianisz

Took a $QCOM position pre-earnings because the setup was favorable.. Stock at ~11x, sentiment anchored to “handsets are dead” while the real story = edge AI + NPUs was barely priced. market was treating it like a cyclical laggard, not a structural winner. that’s the mispricing I was buying.. Post-earnings? First validation, not the full one. they beat, margins held, and the stock ripped. That tells you positioning was wrong. But the guide was soft that’s the market saying “prove it” fair enough. So yea thesis partially played out. You got the re-rate from too cheap.. what hasn’t played out yet is the actual edge AI S-curve. that’s my real bet..

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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@JerryCap It's gotta be - when a stock like $QCOM rallies the way it has, it's bound to be a TOP here
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@ecommerceshares No wonder less and less people are having Sex these days as their interest is somewhere else 😃
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Wasteland Capital
Wasteland Capital@ecommerceshares·
No one has any interest in anything that isn’t related to AI or data centres at the moment.
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@LeoNelissen Long $AXON for the past several years. Big fan of its business model as S curve adoption is still in early stages, but not a fan of the SBC. Hope management can start buying back stock to offset the dilution done over the years.
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Leo
Leo@LeoNelissen·
$AXON +12% One of our best ideas in recent weeks 👉 Main Street Alpha
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Wasteland Capital
Wasteland Capital@ecommerceshares·
$ARM at 220x P/E & 45x ‘26 revenue (!), for +20% topline. Core royalty biz slowed from +27% last Q to +11%, yikes. Margin down. Being the ~35th co to launch data centre CPUs, because (I guess) there can never be enough companies making CPUs & competing on price. Yeah sure, bro.
Wasteland Capital tweet media
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@ErnestWongBWM So when $DPZ CEO Weiner said, he was keeping an eye on the competition during recent earnings call, he wasn't wrong 😀 Will be interesting to see how much BRK.B has increased it's stake in Domino's given the recent 3-5 year price weakness.
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Ernest Wong
Ernest Wong@ErnestWongBWM·
$DPZ turning the screws on competition... $PZZA -6% US comp from matching Domino's promotions
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@DividendGrowth They need to sell a bunch of chips to all the construction workers, electricians, plumbers and HVAC technicians building those AI data centers!
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@fammetaX Now tell use what stock(s) will provide the next 30x move over the next year?
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Fam
Fam@fammetaX·
you kept $50,000 in cash last year because it felt safe $SNDK turned $50,000 into $1,771,000 $LITE turned $50,000 into $772,000 your $50,000 is still $50,000 safety has a price
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@LeoNelissen Consistent dividend as well as top and bottom line growth from this company. A perfect trifecta which is hard to find in this overvalued market, IMO.
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Leo
Leo@LeoNelissen·
$RTX Corp. 7.5% divided hike
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@realroseceline Glad you're doing well Rose after the scare. Wish you a healthy rest of 2026 and beyond. Keep your nuggets coming in as always 🙏
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Rose Celine Investments 🌹
Rose Celine Investments 🌹@realroseceline·
Everything can change in a split second and life can flip upside down in the snap of a finger, so don’t ever take anything for granted. But today brings something special. 🌹 is finally home. From the bottom of my heart, thank you to everyone who reached out, commented, messaged, prayed, and did their best to keep me sane and entertained… even the toxic haters. I’m genuinely grateful for each and every one of you, and I will never forget who showed up for me when everything fell apart. Sometimes it takes everything falling apart to see what’s truly unbreakable. The love I felt from this community is something I’ll carry with me forever. 🙏
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Barry Schwartz
Barry Schwartz@BarrySchwartzBW·
Let’s say you wanted to create a sidecar of AI losers - min hold is 3 years. What names would you buy today that you believe are unfairly punished?
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
@schaeffers With new products, improvements in supply chain efficiencies under Bill Brown, the FY'29 EPS estimate around $10.29 is very conservative IMO as I see EPS revisions going to around $12 at the very minimum, as AI DC growth is not priced in yet. A P/E of around 25 makes FV of ~$300
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Desi Capital
Desi Capital@GoodForAll6·
Caterpillar $CAT looks significantly overvalued here, even if we take it's solid backlog growth from all the DC buildout. One thing, I've learnt from my 10+ yr investing is - "trees don't grow to the sky". Trimming some shares here after a solid double in just 15 months!
Desi Capital tweet mediaDesi Capital tweet media
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Keşfet

@long_equity @FASTGraphs @bill_fw @CDInewsletter @evfcfaddict @Mr_Neutral_Man @DurableCreators @rhaej