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@UnderdogDrafts For future reference
x.com/GoodGuyGr4nt/s…
Grant@GoodGuyGr4nt
Automated real-time assistance (aRTA) deniers be like
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Grant
2.8K posts
Grant
@GoodGuyGr4nt
Building models to find advantages in unsolved games. UD Rookies & Sophomores '24 🏆
Katılım Mart 2009
3.8K Takip Edilen822 Takipçiler
I have a feeling this will age poorly
New Orleans Saints@Saints
We will never use AI for our graphics/illustrations Admin promise 🤝
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@LateRoundQB He blocked me for calling him out for stealing other peoples free content and putting it behind his paywall
Grant@GoodGuyGr4nt
I am not sure who bought the Elite Drafters account when the original guy sold it a few months ago, but… a short story in 3 pictures
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@smitchell17 It depends on a lot of variables, but with current home prices and interest rates, renting can be a better 'Net Worth' maximization option.
x.com/GoodGuyGr4nt/s…
Grant@GoodGuyGr4nt
Counterargument: If you invest the difference in the stock market so that monthly cash outflows are equal in both scenarios, renting results in a significantly higher net worth.
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No, you can use home equity to invest.
Or You can continue to throw rent money to the person who used their home equity to invest.
Mistress Dividend@mistressdivy
Anyone regret buying a house and just go back to renting?
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I want to meet the people who are drafting on their computers without rankings
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@taketheunderzet @eriiclindberg Why would you upload your rankings to the site if you are using a completely different UI to make your picks?
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@eriiclindberg Yes but I think it’s safe to assume anyone who is using the sidekick is also using custom rankings so they are included in the <5%
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That’s so much less than I expected lol
My napkin math says that less than 215 people max entered with rankings??
Hope Bishop@hopebishop
Based on 2025 BBMVI data: 95.27% of entries were made with NO rankings set. 4.73% of entries were made with rankings set. Don’t have data on tools but feel very comfortable saying it’s less than 4.73%.
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@hopebishop @UnderdogDrafts Very interesting! Thanks for sharing.
Most of the aRTA tools are not using your rank order in UD so I wouldn’t draw conclusions on % of tool users based on this data.
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Based on 2025 BBMVI data:
95.27% of entries were made with NO rankings set.
4.73% of entries were made with rankings set.
Don’t have data on tools but feel very comfortable saying it’s less than 4.73%.
Jewish McCaffrey@JewishMcCaffrey
If you had to guess: 1. What % of BBM entries are drafted using rankings and draft tools? 2. What % of BBM entries are drafted using just rankings? 3. What % of BBM entries are drafting using no rankings and no draft tools? Is it like 1. 10%? 2. 30%? 3. 60%? Am I way off?
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Grant retweetledi
When I worked in quant finance @ SIG, we'd play this game called "Make a Market" for $1,000...
It's kinda interesting:
1) An unbiased person picks a random question (e.g. What's the population of Tanzania)
2) Person A makes a market (say 30million-100million)
3) Person B can "tighten" the market (e.g. 50M - 80M) or buy/sell (e.g. below 30M or above 100M)
4) Person A can then "tighten" the market (e.g. 60M - 65M) or buy/sell (below 60M or above 65M)
The game ends when somebody buys/sells...
Let's say Person A "buys" 65M. The popular of Tanzania is 72M so they'd win the $1,000.
If they "sold" 60M, they'd lose. If the population was between 60-65M, then they'd also lose...
The game teaches you a lot about trading/risk tolerance/confidence in your assumptions
Deedy@deedydas
Jane Street made ~$40B in 2025 with 3,500 employees, a ~2x from the year before. At ~65-70% profit margin, that's $8M profit / employee, the highest for a 1000+ ppl company. High-frequency trading continues to be the most efficient money making engine. I want to share an old story about my Jane Street interview in 2014. Jane Street was known for hiring a lot of math, physics and CS olympiad winners from top universities and putting them through many rounds - including, for trading roles, a gauntlet of mental math. It was my 6th interview and my final round and I recall being asked "What is the next day after today in DD/MM/YYYY where all the digits are unique?" They'd toy with you and say "You can use a pencil and paper, if you want" but you knew that was an instant no. Painstakingly and as quickly as I could, I came to an answer. "How confident are you that this is correct on a 0-1 probability scale?" the interviewer said. "0.95", I blurted out, not fully knowing how to answer that. "Are you sure?" After thinking harder for a few more seconds, I realized I could've flipped the digits around to get a closer date. I gave the interviewer my answer. It was correct. "0.95 huh?" he chuckled. That's when I knew I failed. Note: fwiw, other companies that come close in efficiency are - Tether ($90M+ profit/emp) - Hyperliquid ($80M+ profit/emp) and on revenue: - Valve ($50M/emp) - OnlyFans ($37M/emp) - Craigslist ($14M/emp) - Anthropic ($12M/emp, run rate) - OpenAI ($8M/emp, run rate) For comparison, Nvidia is very efficient at scale and is $4.4M/emp.
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Grant retweetledi
2023 WR Class
7 of +30 were viable. Johnston and Reed could be a stretch.
JSN and Puka were 2 of the best of the decade.
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Dynasty never talks about the misses.
30 WRs drafted in the 2016 draft class. Only 4 were truly fantasy viable.
Tyreek was the best in the class and went undrafted in rookie leagues.
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@EletaValentine If the options are buying a house or not saving for the future at all, of course buying a house is better!
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@GoodGuyGr4nt True!
But how many people actually invest the difference? 🤔
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Counterargument:
If you invest the difference in the stock market so that monthly cash outflows are equal in both scenarios, renting results in a significantly higher net worth.
Your Ol’ Pal Gav@mortgagereels
Counterargument: If you rent a home for $3,000 and rent increases only 1.25% a year, at the end of 30 years you’ll have paid over $1,300,000 in rent and won’t own a home.
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Obviously a terrible trade for the Bengals
Mike Garafolo@MikeGarafolo
Cincy Dexy: The #Giants are trading DT Dexter Lawrence to the #Bengals in exchange for the 10th overall pick in next week’s NFL Draft, sources tell me and @RapSheet. Lawrence gets a new deal from his new team while picks 5 and 10 now run through East Rutherford.
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@ffdataroma Ironic because they have been stealing from other people and blocking those who call them out for it
x.com/goodguygr4nt/s…
Grant@GoodGuyGr4nt
I am not sure who bought the Elite Drafters account when the original guy sold it a few months ago, but… a short story in 3 pictures
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Would normally not post something like this, but this really rubbed me the wrong way
> elite drafters guy randomly accuses me of “copying his framework” (whatever that means)
> doubles down after pretending to not care, claims both me and the Fantasy Points team are copying his work (?)
> tell him I have no interest in copying anything he does (absolute slop with no value to be blunt, didn’t say that ofc)
> gets upset and blocks me while still not having any actual reason for the original message
Some people really think the world revolves around them lol
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@JewishMcCaffrey This is a great idea.
Probably too much weekly maintenance for me personally but I like the concept.
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Fantasy Football Survivor Eliminator:
Each week you select a starting lineup of 1QB, 2RB, 2WR, 1Flex, 1TE. You are not allowed to re-use any player for the rest of the season. 17 Week contest.
Bunch of possible advance rates and prize structures.
Would you play?
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I would be interested in:
No CB Chiefs
No S Chiefs
No TE Chiefs
No OL Chiefs
For first position selected
Football Insights 📊@fball_insights
Market implied probabilities of the first position that teams could draft in April
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