Gordon Shephard

863 posts

Gordon Shephard

Gordon Shephard

@GordonShephard2

Orchestration SRE/Data Engineer

San Mateo, CA Katılım Kasım 2021
613 Takip Edilen159 Takipçiler
Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@brexton Weird that rentals on the Peninsula - San Mateo - haven’t shifted in 2+ years - still about $3400-$3500 for a 1 bedroom, 800 square foot apartment. (Park Place, San Mateo)
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brexton
brexton@brexton·
SF will easily surpass NY in like a month Our old 2bd 2ba apartment in Mission Bay that we left in March jumped up by 2k/mo when we checked last month Absolute insanity, and the major liquidity events/DPI windfalls haven't even begun to hit yet
scott budman@scottbudman

#New: National rent numbers (median 1BR): New York: $4,680 San Francisco: $4,000 (!)* Boston: $3,000 Jersey City: $2,800 San Jose: $2,600 Miami: $2,590 Wash DC: $2,300 Honolulu: $2,300 Chicago: $2,260 *All-time high Source: @Zumper

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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
0% of anyone expects this to be used for sorting packages at scale (there are already far better technology solutions that run about 4x-5x faster with zero moving parts other than the conveyor.) But sorting dynamic soft shapes is the holy grail - nail that and a thousand use cases are possible.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@matt_slotnick @talionis_l At FAANG and FAANG adjacent - your quarterly refreshers for IC5+ will typically come in the form of bonus / RSUs and will comprise about 60% of your TC - increasing as you take on more senior roles.
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Matt Slotnick
Matt Slotnick@matt_slotnick·
a 9-5 corporate job that pays $400K a year is like hitting the cosmic lottery. you have a higher quality of life than almost everyone that has ever lived in the history of the planet earth
ₕₐₘₚₜₒₙ@hamptonism

This might be a hot take but I know someone at meta who makes $400k a year and is quite literally capped at that number for life - likely will never get a promotion strong enough to change that. 9-5 until they’re what, 50? This is not living. No matter the salary.

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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
All I know is that when a bank is selling a property they’ve closed on - and it’s been sitting on the market for a while - you negotiated a fair price - and during due diligence your home inspector is always going to find a ton of stuff that was never declared - possibly because it wasn’t an issue 6 months ago, or possibly because the bank has a lot of inventory - regardless - whether it was an undeclared grow-op, rotting deck, or foundations that are cracking (all real examples) - there is typically $40k-$80k just sitting on the table - every savvy agent gets it for you. The bank doesn’t care - they just want to clear it off their books and point to a consistent process that they follow.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
I’ll packs socks, underwear, a few t-shirts. Toiletries are optional - you have to constantly be buying them anyways - so zero marginal cost to buy at destination. And roughly 50% of the time - i just pick up clothing for the trip at the destination - Singapore, Italy, Mexico, India - way cheaper to buy at destination. Probably the only thing that would annoy me is forgetting my passport if international travel was required. People get surprisingly upset at stuff that is completely irrelevant.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
I read the Pope’s encyclical from start to finish - single sitting. I thought it was profound and true assessment of the unique properties of mankind - our soul, humanity - ability to feel and love - none of which a machine can do. But - I’m not so blind as to not recognize an exponential curve when I see one - and very, very soon - all those things that we did to support ourselves and our families - will be fully automated and capital will reign supreme - the Pope sees this - and question that remains to be answered - what then?
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Dylan Holland
Dylan Holland@DylanEMHolland·
@JonSchweppe @GordonShephard2 It’s insane to even have this conversation. These people are literally enemies of mankind like something you previously would only see in novels.
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Jon Schweppe 🇺🇸
Jon Schweppe 🇺🇸@JonSchweppe·
Going forward, it’s going to be very important to defeat this bizarre Silicon Valley Cult of Human Diminishing. We can and must order technology toward human flourishing.
Dean W. Ball@deanwball

Humanity is building machines that will be smarter than we are at things we care about, things in which take individual and collective pride, domains of thought we originally invented and discovered. This will enable incredible things, but no honest person can deny that this will be a kind of grand humbling for humanity. No honest person can deny that there is at least some melancholy in contemplating it all, some change to the centrality we have ascribed to our own minds in the order of the world. My primary disappointment in the encyclical is that it fundamentally denies that grand humbling. It sidesteps the humbling altogether, saying that AI cannot “really” this and that. Instead, it puts the Church into the awkward role of the European technocratic regulatory advocate, which, love those regulations or hate them, is probably not what the world really needs from the Catholic Church at this moment. That is a shame, because this humbling—which will trigger a crisis in mass psychology and in our institutions when it dawns on people—is precisely the sort of thing I’d look to the Church for leadership on. What is the genuine and unique source of human meaning? What is the human touch in the era of thinking machines? These are the hard questions that the encyclical dodges.

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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@Miauravilhas Cougars, Cheetahs and Snow Leopards all meow as well - I’m dubious it’s so they can fool humans.
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Miauravilhas
Miauravilhas@Miauravilhas·
O miado foi inventado exclusivamente para enganar humanos. Se você tem um gato e sente que ele "conversa" com você de um jeito diferente do que com outros animais, pode acreditar, não é impressão sua. A ciência confirma. Estudos de comportamento felino mostram que gatos adultos quase não miam entre si. A comunicação deles é toda pela linguagem corporal: posição da cauda, das orelhas, o olhar. O miado, como a gente conhece, é uma adaptação que eles desenvolveram ao longo da convivência com humanos, um "idioma" criado especificamente pra falar com a gente. E tem mais: cada gato vai criando seu próprio vocabulário sonoro dependendo da casa em que vive. Com o tempo, a gente começa a distinguir quando o miado significa fome, tédio, dor ou simplesmente "oi, tô aqui".
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@DeryaTR_ Jony was responsible for the interiors - the external car design cost well into eight if not nine figures inclusive of prototypes.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@TrentTelenko The decoy are (a) impossible to distinguish from the real thing (b) effectively free.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@catocino_ @theo Haiku is awesome as a sub agent - I use it constantly code review and searching under the guidance of a Opus - crazy to use Opus for what is effectively “grep”
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Cato
Cato@catocino_·
@theo So Haiku is basically garbage 😅
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@jacobdrozario @aakashgupta Median household disposable income after taxes in the UK is $32k/year or $2600/month. That $500 Air Conditioner will last 10+ years - longer if you only use it on hot days. It is the single best use of income imaginable - literally extends life.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@aakashgupta You need to proof read your AI output from time to time. A 12,000 BTU air conditioner costs $500 and can be installed in a window in 15 minutes. Europeans are just insane.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@TheEXECUTlONER_ My father built a fire pit - middle of the field - 10’ down with his backhoe. 50+ feet away from everything. Got a nice fire going for stuff - 8 hours later the neighbors called the fire department when their tree’s went up in flames. Thats when I learned about root fires.
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👉M-Û-R-Č-H👈
👉M-Û-R-Č-H👈@TheEXECUTlONER_·
This man said why pay $3K -$5K to have your tree cut down. So, he decided to light his tree on fire. 😳 Within about 2 1/2 hours, the tree burns down. He will take a chainsaw to the rest of it. Looks like it worked like a champ! 💯 Did anyone see the squirrel run up the tree? 🥹 Many said be careful and warned of root fires, which are sneaky. They burn underground without flames. Root fires consume little oxygen and produce very little smoke, allowing them to go completely undetected. They burn at high temperatures and can sustain themselves underground even under snow cover, waiting to resurface when conditions are right. 🤯 I’ve never heard of root fires. Have you ever heard of root fires? If you had the space, would you ever try this on your property to save yourself thousands of dollars?
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@PiratePatriot47 @Alexfeinberg Weird cities then. I take Uber and Lyft (and occasionally robotaxi and waymo) 3-5 times a week in the bay area - have so for 5+ years - less than 1% issue rate - which self correct the instant you down-rate the driver. Unlike Taxis where the bad drivers and cars stay around.
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PatrioticPirate
PatrioticPirate@PiratePatriot47·
Across 4 cities in the last month and +20 rides, I have had exactly 1 driver that spoke good English One was so stupid he couldn't find the departures section of the airport to drop me off With 3 of them, the AC didn't work Americans are not driving for them anymore, just illiterate foreigners with crap vehicles I hate renting cars, but if this isn't fixed I will be going back to it
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@klabianco Weird chemical reaction to go critical at 100F. Also - who makes a thermometer that tops out at 100F?
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Kevin Labianco
Kevin Labianco@klabianco·
Updated math + reasoning: gardengrove.vercel.app OCFA says the GKN tank is "over 100°F", but the gauge maxes at 100°F, meaning it's been pinned at the ceiling for an unknown number of hours. The actual temperature is higher. Thinking like a chemist with the data we do have: Fri 77°F → Sat 90°F = 0.54°F/hr observed rate. At that rate, the tank crossed 100°F sometime Saturday evening and reached ~104°F by McGovern's Sunday morning crack-discovery briefing. Crack venting since then has slowed the reaction but not stopped it. Estimated post-crack rate: ~0.3°F/hr. Best-guess current temperature: ~108°F. Time to 140°F (industry runaway threshold) at the current post-crack rate: ~3 days. But OCFA spokesperson confirmed Sun evening: "yes, you are absolutely correct" when asked if it could blow up at any time. Autocatalytic polymerization can spike without warning — the countdown is a best-estimate, not a guarantee. The thermometer gap (a 34k-gal reactive-monomer tank whose gauge maxes at 100°F) is its own regulatory story.
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Jim Stewartson, Decelerationist 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇺🇸
This is an important part of the picture. Elon Musk’s monster is a financial poison pill for the entire economy. They’re forcing it into index funds and retirement accounts. It’s going to be a multi-trillion dollar albatross, and it will be impossible to get rid of.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
The big, absolutely epic change that Uber made into the taxi business was twofold. 1. Ride shows up - I have had 2 out of my last 9 months of rides flake out - out of maybe 100+. 2% no-show. Pre-Uber it was roughly 25% no-show. 2. Vehicle and driver quality is so insanely better with Lyft/Uber it’s not even fair to compare them. There are a number of both vehicles and drivers that I was terrified of in the Pre-Uber era. The pricing was mostly irrelevant to their value from my perspective.
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Omar Shaik
Omar Shaik@omarshaikdev·
The unenviable unholy trinity: 1) Uber doesn’t make money. 2) The drivers don’t make money. 3) It’s not even that cheap for customers and prices will need to increase significantly for the first two points to ever not be true.
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Gordon Shephard
Gordon Shephard@GordonShephard2·
@not_ellington @Chancellorpen @bubbleboi Dwarkesh isn’t supposed to know *anything* - in fact - what little knowledge he has gets in the way of actual learning from his guests - many (but not all) who do know stuff. All I expect from Dwarkesh is good guests and possibly good questions.
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ellington
ellington@not_ellington·
I take Dwarkesh's word very highly because he has taught me an absurd amount both technically and economically about LLMs, but when he ventures into an area I am highly versed in, I can see obvious blindspots, thus it makes me wonder the blindspots in subjects where I took his word.
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ellington
ellington@not_ellington·
This episode shows me how insanely little Dwarkesh knows about hardware and has made me second guess his intelligence on the other levels of the abstraction stack. Also the dude lecturing is not communicating very well. This whole episode is very clearly an ad for MatX and a poor one at that because the founder clearly has certain gaps in his hardware knowledge
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