Grinding the Mocks

1.9K posts

Grinding the Mocks

@GrindingMocks

Official home of #GrindingTheMocks: using mock drafts, the wisdom of crowds, and machine learning to predict the NFL Draft. Created by @benj_robinson.

Silver Spring, MD Katılım Haziran 2021

4.2K Takip Edilen4.1K Takipçiler

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·29 Nis

Was excited to make my triumphant return to @WMoneyball! Pretty cool to share an episode with @R_Thaler. Also, I’m happy to announce that @GrindingMocks worked with 7 teams out of 32 in the NFL last year. Onward and upward!

Wharton Moneyball@WMoneyball

Today's show is available in Podcast Form NOW! Richard Thaler, Nobel Laureate and Professor at the University of Chicago, and Benjamin Robinson, Founder of Grinding the Mocks discuss the impact of cognitive bias, valuation frameworks and data strategies on NFL draft selections. Listen HERE: 👇👇👇 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the…

English

5.4K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·26 Nis

You can see from this chart why the Draft Probability Model thought that Nuss, Allar, and Klubnik would follow in Ewers' footsteps. Turned out it was just Nuss!

English

847

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·26 Nis

In my Draft Probability Models' numbers, the biggest reach in the 2026 NFL Draft was, in fact, the Steelers drafting Drew Allar. That model thought that Allar, Cade Klubnik, and Garrett Nussmeier were all going to follow in the footsteps of Quinn Ewers last year

Grinding the Mocks@GrindingMocks

Top 3 Draft Capital Over Expected Reaches: 1. Nate Boerkircher, TE, Texas A&M (EDP: 191, Pick: 56, Jacksonville Jaguars) 2. Albert Regis, DT, Texas A&M (EDP: Undrafted, Pick: 81, Jacksonville Jaguars) 3. Zavion Thomas, WR, LSU (EDP: Undrafted, Pick 89, Chicago Bears)

English

3.6K

Grinding the Mocks@GrindingMocks·26 Nis

Top 3 Draft Capital Over Expected Fallers: 1. Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee (EDP: 22, Pick: 101, Las Vegas Raiders) 2. Deion Burks, WR, Oklahoma (EDP: 89, Pick: 254, Indianapolis Colts) 3. Garrett Nussmeier, QB, LSU (EDP: 90, Pick 249, Kansas City Chiefs)

English

1.7K

Grinding the Mocks@GrindingMocks·26 Nis

English

6.2K

Grinding the Mocks@GrindingMocks·26 Nis

I present to you my pride and joy: Draft Capital Over Expected for the 2026 NFL Draft. The Jaguars are giving the 49ers a run for their money in the chase for consensus boards, while the Colts and Raiders are rewarded for halting some prospects' big falls!

English

3.4K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

We can do this now, but with the Jaguars and almost any of their other picks! Still the G4, though. Speaks to the lack of depth in the class. And yes, I know Jake Slaughter was announced as a guard!

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson

If the 49ers draft EMW, people will say: "If only they just switched those picks around..."!

English

1.7K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

Welp. This is very Ruben Hypolite-esque! Yuck. 7th Round Value.

English

1.2K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

Surprised that Kaelon Black went before Mike Washington and Jonah Coleman! Will be a pretty decent overdraft here, too.

English

901

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

It's always easy to see Iowa players as Steelers players for some reason...

English

682

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

It truly was! Went later than his ceiling. Hopefully, he gets back to his form from this year!

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson

Yuck! This is horrible timing for Bell. espn.com/college-footba…

English

1.5K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·26 Nis

Go off, king!

English

657

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

An alternative metric for mock draft quality is the pick-adjusted mean squared error. By that number, this mock by @1TimMurray is our top mock of the cycle! Will publish some of this data on GrindingtheMocks.com at some point in the future. vsin.com/nfl/tim-murray…

English

2.3K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

According to @GrindingMocks data, and given that Jermod McCoy is still waiting to be drafted, this mock from @jamfed is my pick for the "most accurate" in this year's cycle by our pick-adjusted rank correlation. Oh, and he published it on 3/23! nationalfanatic.com/2026/03/23/202…

English

737

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

D'Angelo Ponds is bringing his talents to bigger waters!

English

834

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

The Jaguars would take someone from outside of my Top 100 with their first pick in the 2026 NFL Draft!

English

1.1K

Grinding the Mocks retweetledi

Benjamin Robinson@benj_robinson·25 Nis

Love this pick for any team with an EDGE need (aka any team in the NFL)! Good value for the Patriots (and two trade-ups) for premium position players.