Prashant Gupta
1.1K posts

Prashant Gupta
@GuptaCaprashant
Har har Mahadev
Delhi Katılım Temmuz 2012
604 Takip Edilen72 Takipçiler

@ihimanshuojha1 @suchak_chirag
this is not done Chirag bhai.
मोहब्बत सबको करा कर, निभा सिर्फ एक से रहे हो ।
😂

@AshishB60558222 Ordered it, eagerly awaiting. Delivery time is too much. But I hope delay would worth it.

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Everything in today's post —
The Commander's Decode, the timeframe clash,
the sniper's playbook —
Is the technical side of trading.
Important. Essential. Worth bookmarking.
But here is what I have learned:
Most traders who understand this framework still lose money.
Not because the framework is wrong.
Because when the 1-hour is falling and their capital is bleeding —
They don't follow Playbook A.
They average into calls. They catch the falling knife. They know the rule. They break it anyway.
That gap — between knowing the playbook and executing it under pressure —
Is not a technical problem.
It is a psychological one.
That is what The Probability Monk addresses.
The technical knowledge is in today's post. The person who can actually execute it — is built in the book.
📦 Amazon: amazon.in/dp/B0GYJ678D5🛒 Flipkart: flipkart.com/probability-mo…📱 Kindle ₹299: amazon.in/dp/B0FKH9J1PM
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@AshishB60558222 Retesting is just another thing or is it related to same theory of unfilled order blocks at 23800, generally when market retest, the options premiums dips further from the level at which they were first time when nifty touches 23800 , Second time retailer liquidates options.
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🚨 The Matrix Decoded: When the Tail Wags the Dog (The Arbitrage Loop)
Question: I have a doubt here. Nifty future price directly depends on the spot price not the other way. So how can we say buying nifty future heavily at 23800 levels stops nifty spot falling. I saw it is some how happening. What is the mechanism behind it
Warrior, this is an elite-level mechanical question. You have correctly identified a massive contradiction between academic theory and institutional reality.
Academically, you are right: the Futures price is mathematically derived from the Spot price. However, mechanically, order flow dictates price, and the tail can absolutely wag the dog.
What you are witnessing on the charts is an institutional mechanism called the Index Arbitrage Loop. Here is the exact step-by-step blueprint of how buying Futures physically stops the Spot market from crashing:
1. The Anomaly (Expanding the Basis):
When the Nifty Spot is crashing toward 23,800, the Operator steps in and parks massive Limit-Buy orders in the Futures market (because that is where the highest leverage and liquidity exist).
This massive buying pressure causes the Futures price to stop falling and tick upward, while the Spot is still bleeding. This stretches the "Premium" or "Basis" (Futures become artificially expensive compared to Spot).
2. The Arbitrage Algorithms (The Engine):
The moment this premium expands beyond a mathematical threshold, massive High-Frequency Trading (HFT) "Arbitrage Bots" wake up. These algorithms exist purely to capture risk-free profit by bridging the gap between Cash and Futures.
3. The Execution (How Spot gets saved):
To capture this premium, the Arbitrage Algos execute two massive orders in the exact same millisecond:
They SELL (Short) the artificially expensive Nifty Futures.
They AGGRESSIVELY BUY the 50 underlying cash equities (Reliance, HDFC Bank, ICICI, etc.) in their exact Nifty weightage.
The Result:
It is this instantaneous, multi-million dollar algorithmic buying in the Cash Market that physically halts the fall of Reliance, HDFC, and the rest of the heavyweights. Because the 50 underlying stocks stop falling and reverse, the Nifty Spot index is mathematically forced to stop falling and reverse.
The Operator manipulated the Futures. The Arbitrage Algorithms executed the Cash. The Spot market was saved.
You are seeing the Matrix for what it truly is. Lock and load. Keep your shields up! 🦅♟️@VIVEKPP10
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@gurjota This is something I have been thinking from the moment I got to know this. Tho Kare kya, bacho ko kya khilaye.. very dangerous things going on..! But thanks god, at least chawal and Anaj m kankar pathar nahi aate aaj kal. Koi kah raha tha china ne plastic wale chawal teyar kiye h
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Imagine being an ultra HNI and not even able to enjoy fruits in India. Forget about clean air and water.
Meanwhile, poor people in developed countries breathe fresh air, drinkable tap water, and delicious fruits.
Quality of life of poor people in developed countries seems better than rich and affluent in India.
Mitesh Patel@Mitesh_Engr
Last year I had heavy diarrhea after eating muskmelon and admitted in hospital for 4 days. My known doctor told me that it’s because of chemical injected in fruit. After that I completely stop it eating as well as water melon. Even grapes also I am avoiding. No trust now a days
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@Prakashplutus Twitter par subscriber start karo sir aap
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Below tweet helped today early morning ?? Around 24400
Yes / No ??
Investing @ Prakash@Prakashplutus
At 24300, if you sound little bearish /Neutral , I will not mind .
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@ihimanshuojha1 Bhai Chirag bhai kaise h, no update from long time ? Is he ok
Filipino

@Prakashplutus Kya baat h sir ! Bahut badia view tha, View closed for social media ka kya matlab h ?
Indonesia

Bank nifty is down 900 points from morning opening price
Nifty is down 270 points from morning opening price .
View closed for social media / Twitter
Investing @ Prakash@Prakashplutus
At 24300, if you sound little bearish /Neutral , I will not mind .
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Say no to fake screenshots! Check out my P&L - #VerifiedBySensibull verified.sensibull.com/ps/plant-wall/…
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Prashant Gupta retweetledi

@investor_vineet @rajivmehta19 Acme solar may do good, once its battery operation does better in summers. I am also holding at cost right now. Earlier profit booked around 300.
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@investor_vineet @babbarshera My medi assist is 46% down not added more.
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@FI_InvestIndia This ad need not to be shared, well over the past few months you have been posting “kuch bhi”
this is evident that redness in the portfolio is real and increasing. Just a request to be calm and hope for the best, rather than posting these kind of creativeness. 🙏
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Prashant Gupta retweetledi
Prashant Gupta retweetledi

@microcp2mltibgr @_InfoGram_ Sahi m yaar, why would a man destroys a country, a eco system for all of the world, and murder of humanity. ?
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@_InfoGram_ I want the entire world to insult Trump and treat him like an international clown 🤡
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