GutsPolyArc

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GutsPolyArc

GutsPolyArc

@GutsPoly

@Polymarket enjoyer @zscdao Member

Georgia Katılım Mart 2026
462 Takip Edilen298 Takipçiler
Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
Found a very interesting trader on Polymarket This trader has only 13 trades 100% soccer He gathered his thoughts at the World Cup He took: France, Spain, England, Portugal and Norway Total portfolio of $36,000 Looks modest by the standards of what we are used to seeing But here the point is not about the amount, but about the approach to selecting the winners I like his portfolio and ambiguous choice at the World Cup What do you think? Who will win the World Cup this year? Profile this trader: @smoovster?r=tom310#PKyKZ7K" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@smoovster?r=t…
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Moysha@mmoyshaa

Will France win the 2026 World Cup? $29.4m total volume But only ~$687k liquidity And structurally this doesn’t look like a normal prediction market anymore, but more like a position heavy system that just keeps absorbing new flow without real repricing Price stays locked in a tight range: 0.17 - 0.18 YES 0.82 - 0.83 NO And it’s been holding this corridor for weeks flow is heavily one sided ~90% of recent trades are retail buying YES Because 0.18¢ looks like cheap exposure But the other side of the market tells a very different story The NO side is not retail driven It’s highly concentrated in a small group of large holders And one wallet alone holds ~42% of all NO supply But the key detail is not even that The same wallet is also heavily positioned on YES (~18¢) Meaning it is not simply betting for or against France It is sitting on both sides of the market at the same time And when you zoom out, the structure becomes clear YES = 9.7k+ holders, fragmented retail positioning NO = < 700 holders, extreme top-heavy concentration And between them sits a structural player effectively anchoring both sides Another layer is time YES = newer capital (0 - 200 days) NO = legacy positions (500 - 700+ days) This is not one synchronized market It is multiple generations of capital stacked on top of each other Liquidity is extremely thin relative to total volume So any larger order creates sharp spikes that immediately revert No real trend formation Just constant absorption and reversal And the key point is not who is right on France It’s that this is no longer a clean prediction market It’s a structure where a major dual sided holder, combined with thin liquidity, effectively keeps the entire price range contained Market link: #Wu6tare" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/2026-fif…

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Kate
Kate@_kate_lv·
what would the top 3 countries to move when you hit aka life changing monies should have: > warm weather > sea or ocean > good medicine > nice food
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GutsPolyArc
GutsPolyArc@GutsPoly·
@EndWokeness send her back to elephants , and its done , would be a lesson for others
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End Wokeness
End Wokeness@EndWokeness·
Why are food chains in the US getting rid of self-serve? Watch & read the replies:
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Dom Lucre | Breaker of Narratives
🔥🚨JUST IN: Former NBA player Michael Beasley just leaked the UFC Freedom 250 dome that will be built at the White House "White House is huge." Beasley: "I don't think y'all realize how big this is."
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GutsPolyArc
GutsPolyArc@GutsPoly·
@HoopsCrave please no , imagine 10 players with Curry memories, not an interesting game would be to watch
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Hoops Crave
Hoops Crave@HoopsCrave·
Elon Musk says that Neuralink will let users download an NBA player’s jump shot into muscle memory by 2028.
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
What could’ve possibly happened to warrant that kind of reaction?
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Kate
Kate@_kate_lv·
knicks in four trader with $4 millions profit and 52.6% win rate, bought $550k shares on knicks it means he wins every second trade he makes
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GutsPolyArc
GutsPolyArc@GutsPoly·
Pyth Terminal is finally live and it’s straight up made for you Polymarket degens: > app.pyth.com is open right now, no gatekeeping. You can watch charts live: 3000+ real time price feeds starting from cocoa and coffee ending with BTC. >Compare Pyth prices against outside benchmarks, and even flip publishers on/off to see how the feed is actually built >Flip publishers on and off to see exactly how the feed gets built.Prices are public, feeds are visible, no api key needed for the free tier >Pyth started as a verification layer for Polymarket traders, but now it’s standing on its own as the main self-serve data for 700+ blockchain apps if you trade prediction markets, this is the kind of tool you want open before you place real size
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morph@morpphhhaw

x.com/i/article/2058…

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ChainDuck
ChainDuck@_Chain_Duck_·
Average ships transiting Hormuz by end of May? Market says 0-10 at 64% But look closer: 0-10: 64% ↑12% 10-20: 22% ↓32% 20-40: 6% ↓47% 40-60: 4% ↓39% 60+: 3% The market is pricing complete blockade Yet we know: > Normal pre-crisis Hormuz traffic was 138 ships daily (United Against Nuclear Iran) > May 17 saw only 2 vessels - 2% of normal (Straits) > Negotiations in Doha closing on a deal > Blockade is weakening Even getting to 10-20 ships by May 31 means partial normalization - which the latest headlines suggest My read: 10-20 ships at 22¢ is mispriced The spread tells you the market doesn't believe the deal is happening. But the deal is already in motion
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Bimba
Bimba@BimbaCrypto·
🧠 I TESTED PYTH TERMINAL WITHOUT AN API KEY - HERE'S WHY POLYMARKET TRADERS NEED THIS > Some guy on GitHub just proved something important. > He grabbed 3,000+ price feeds from Pyth Terminal. > No API key. No subscription. Just CSV exports and a local script. > SPY, QQQ, BTC, ETH - all the data Polymarket settles on. WHAT HE FOUND > SPY: tight moves, rare outliers - exactly what a liquid ETF should look like. > BTC: wider range, bigger volatility - but no crazy single-tick spikes. > The data is clean enough to bet millions on. WHY THIS IS A BIG DEAL FOR POLYMARKET > Polymarket now runs markets on NVDA, AAPL, TSLA, gold, oil. > Before Terminal, you had to trust the oracle blindly. > Now? Anyone can export the same data, run their own analyzer, and verify the price quality in 15 minutes. THE OLD WAY VS THE NEW WAY > Bloomberg, Refinitiv: sales calls, opaque pricing, bundled contracts. > Pyth Terminal: open charts, public tiers, CSV export. > Free tier exists. Pro starts at $500/mo (crypto) to $10K/mo (everything). > 14‑day trial before you pay a cent. You don't need a Bloomberg terminal anymore. You need a browser, a CSV, and 20 lines of code. Pyth Terminal is the front door to 3,000+ feeds. Polymarket is the front door to $25B+ in monthly volume. Together, they're making institutional data free to test - and even cheaper to use. "See the data before you pay" - that’s not a slogan. That’s the killer feature.
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morph@morpphhhaw

x.com/i/article/2058…

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Korens
Korens@korenssss·
Larry Fink lost $100M in a single trade at First Boston in 1986 - then built the world’s largest asset manager from scratch Built Aladdin from scratch - now monitors $21T in assets daily, more than any government on Earth In this 30-min interview he reveals how that $100M loss became the foundation of everything In 1988, he co-founded BlackRock in a one-room office with seven partners and zero dollars in assets His main rule - “Never not know what we’re doing” That obsession with risk became Aladdin - now the world’s largest risk management platform, monitoring trillions in assets daily Bookmark - on Polymarket you don’t need $100M to learn risk management. The lesson is free ↓
Korens@korenssss

Rick Rieder manages $2.7T at BlackRock and was a finalist for US Federal Reserve Chair - here's his warning to every trader 20 years at Lehman Brothers. Fixed Income Hall of Fame 2013. Now CIO of Global Fixed Income at the world's largest asset manager In this 19-min interview he reveals the one rule that survived 2008, Lehman's collapse, and every crash since Markets go down 5x faster than they go up ⮕ You make money slowly ⮕ You lose it in days Be right 60-65% of the time, diversify like a casino, and always have an escape hatch before you open a position Never let one bad trade ruin your career Bookmark - burn rate hits Polymarket contracts the same way. The edge is in the exit, not the entry ↓

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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: 18 suspected Ebola patients fled a treatment facility in Congo during a mob attack and are now “unaccounted for.”
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Space and Technology
Space and Technology@spaceandtech_·
🚨 Donald Trump says the US has experimental drugs that can bring dead people back to life.
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HondaCivic
HondaCivic@0xMarchyel·
Transparent with my wins, transparent with my losses. As many of you know, I run a weather METAR sniper bot. Yesterday it malfunctioned on a Moscow market and caused a $5,000 loss. It happens, it sucks, but the only thing I can do now is learn from it, optimize the system, and make sure the same mistake doesn’t happen again. I’ve been coding multiple other Polymarket bots recently, so I didn’t give the sniper bot enough attention, many markets have their own speciality. Most of my profits still come from manual trading, but the sniper bot has also made solid money overall. My newest bot is a fully automated trading bot. It’s currently running experimentally with small bets, doing little profit. Will share more in the future!
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GutsPolyArc
GutsPolyArc@GutsPoly·
@BRICSinfo Iran been 3 months with out internet now reading , 2 new possible epidemy incoming
GIF
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BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇮🇷 Iranian President Pezeshkian issues order ‌to reopen internet access after it was shut off for 87 days.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
NEW: Spanish national evacuated from cruise ship outbreak tests positive for hantavirus.
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