HL
52 posts
$GBPNZD
If this setup hits before the end of the week I am giving everyone who leaves a comment free VIP access to the #TCT discord for one month.
Also got CPI news data release for GBP tomorrow.
Either losing small or winning big.
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It's true that no one knows the future. It's impossible to predict future market movements, therefore what we have to do is extract facts from price charts and position based on facts (not emotion). And of course be willing to adapt to fresh information.
One thing we can do to enhance our probabilities is to use correlated markets. These can help to build the thesis based again on objective data. They provide more factual evidence.
As objective analysts we must always ask, what is the sum of the evidence (and of course new data can change our analysis).
One might argue this is why certain ppl on this app have such a high hit rate (because they are very thorough and detail orientated).
My HTF $BTC analysis is out for Discord members this weekend.
Will we continue to be months ahead?
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HL retweetledi
Doing our best to give people a chance to succeed. The future is bright. Keep up the great work. There is no doubt you have cultivated an unbelievably inspired, laser focused, and hard working community.
Props to you, and all you do.
All anyone needs to do is read the testimonies of your followers, to understand the impact you are making. The reality is, most people are a few misguided clicks and decisions from ending their run as a "trader".
There aren't many accounts they can stumble across to save them from that reality, and you are one of them.
🍻
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@CredibleCrypto IMO MMs need way more exit liquidity. Tops usually happen after weeks of peak euphoria,when nobody expects it.
Right now,they are just spreading fear and fueling the idea of a double top,because they do not want people do buy the lows
They want them to chase and buy the top.
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Agreed this type of alt "capitulation" is more characteristic of $BTC gearing up for that next leg rather than a market top- market tops tend to occur in an environment in which alts are popping off left and right, everyone is "making it", and euphoria is in the air.
Right now everyone seems to be scared shitless because their alts aren't doing much while $BTC sits comfortable above 100k in what looks to be a very healthy consolidation structure.
Keep calm, wait for some signs of strength on alts to add to spot positions on the way up or DCA into HTF support zones on the way down if you're prepared to hold through some drawdown, getting overly emotional at times like this is probs the worst thing you can do.
Decode@decodejar
TL is calling an end to altcoins, and it's easy to get caught up in the fear, but after flicking through a few charts, the majors actually look OK to me. There has been some significant capitulation across lower cap shitcoins and memes, but who is surprised by that? For people calling cycle top on Bitcoin, do you think extreme fear in altcoins is normal for a cycle top? I do not. This is not the top. From an Elliott Wave perspective many of these coins are just experiencing a wave 2, which is a typically deep and scary retracement. Big moves ahead. This time is not different.
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@CredibleCrypto There is a 2h OB at 92.3k,if we dont bounce there,a drop to at least 88k is definitely in the books.
Both fine by me,because i still have some stables to load off:)
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Well that is local inval officially hit- which means our LTF impulse from 94k was just part of a 3 legged corrective move up rather than continuation of the next major impulse to our upper targets.
Stopped out of my BTC long and won't take another position until I get more clarity.
Individual alts I'm tracking like $ETH, $XRP, $CRV etc are still holding up decently well so going to keep my eye on them.
Remember this does open up the doors to 80k's (and potentially lower) on $BTC once again- doesn't mean we have to nuke there tomorrow just means we can't rule it out now that 94k has been breached.
Careful in your positioning if you are still long.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
Morning folks, $BTC back at local lows overnight- but the key level that matters is still that 94k level. Above that- we are insanely bullish on short/mid/high TF. If we lose that level and start breaking down lower TF impulsive structure- its the first indication of a momentum shift and a potential larger correction that opens the doors to mid to low 80k's- so just be mindful of this possibility if in long positions atm. Let's see how things develop.
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@CredibleCrypto USDT.D at daily OB👀. Imo it wants to bounce at least to 5.20%. So should see a small dip on Btc soon,than get our final impulse to the local top @ 80k,which will ultimately send us to the lower 60s and if these are lost we will go down even further.-> alligns USDT.D@ 5.70%
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Have just taken profits on the $ETH long and took profits on the $AAVE long last night. $BONK long still open.
Reason for taking profits on $ETH is because we have now cleared all of our highs to the upside and while my ideal target is somewhere in the 3000-3500 range I have set orders to bid dips on some other coins and so wanted to keep my exposure on longs in check here.
May look to re-open $ETH on a dip if we get one before the red zone is met.
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
Some of the "counter-trend" longs I had mentioned in my last tweet two days ago. As I said in my last tweet (here: x.com/CredibleCrypto…) most of these are still only about halfway to my upside targets- so I don't think the top is in on BTC just yet. Will update when I take profits on these which is the same time I'll begin looking for shorts across the board. $AAVE $ETH $BONK
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@IamZeroIka Do you think we will see another push on BTC before ultimately dipping to around 68.8,or even filling the FVG at 64.8,if USDT.D wants to reach the 0.705.
Thank you!
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Many ignored the close below the SL at 5.21%, which clearly suggested a bearish trend and, as a result, further downside for Bitcoin, which was consolidating within the triangle posted on October 28, just before the U.S. presidential elections.
That’s why I was advising not to overlook the situation and that we were on the cusp of a big move: New ATH for BTC, new lows on USDT D.
The last touch at 4.83% represents a 12H unfilled FVG, an area that, combined to the 1.272 Fib level on BTC provided a perfect short entry.
From a wider perspective, after another daily closure below the SL at 4.97% and consequentially another BOS, a pullback is likely and will present an opportunity to go long/buy spot (wouldn't buy BTC spot considering is being traded at premium levels, better focusing on altcoins also considering the BTC D.)
In the chart you can find the 3 levels I'm monitoring with the 0.705 at 5.70% that represents the last potential level and therefore a max opportunity.
Remember that these charts aren't exclusively for traders, but also for spot/holders since they provide you accurate levels to exploit and thus useful to maximize the use of your capital.
Last hint: don't forget to check my pinned post with the USDT D. plan, it's crucial.
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Weekly closure below the SL at 5.21%.
I wouldn't ignore this sign, especially with the upcoming Presidential Elections.
Pullback is expected, ideally looking for 5.50/5.70% before the next macro impulse down.
70.040$ remains the last level for BTC to clear.
Waiting time.
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ETH/BTC showing some demand on low timeframes into our key green zone that I marked off nearly 2 years ago as $BTC chops around prior ATH.
Pretty confident we are going to see a bounce here soon.
Looking for a 20+% move to the upside that should put us above $3,000 which is where I'll look to take profit on longs and shift to hunting shorts.
Will look to add to my $ETH position on dips if we get them.
$ETH
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto
"When ETH/BTC hits the green zone that I called for a move down to over 2 years ago (in the blue box on the chart), it's time to start paying closer attention to $ETH." Almost exactly 2 years later and here we are. For the first time in two years I am finally now interested in paying more attention to $ETH and my bias is slowly starting to shift from HTF bearish on ETH/BTC to HTF bullish. I maintain that we are basically in a massive high timeframe accumulation range that will ultimately break out to the upside. That being said, with the current context of where $BTC is at (not yet gone parabolic, final 5th of the 5th still en route) I think we need to be just a little more patient. I don't think this is the bottom on ETH/BTC just yet, but I think its time to start watching for the formation of one. We might even make it back to our range lows (ORANGE) box which would be the ultimate buy zone imo. ETH sentiment is in the absolute gutter right now too, so it is all lining up. Patience, the time for $ETH is not here yet but will be soon.
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@CredibleCrypto Definitely possible,but for the sake of the pointe it would be entertaining to get range highs once more.
Thank you for your input,Cred!
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I mean it would be brutal that's for sure. But certainly wouldn't damage market structure in the way most people think it would.
In fact a pullback to sub 50k from here would just be a proper test of the 4th subwave of the prior impulse which is perfectly healthy in terms of pullback depth.
Our macro/major 4th (green) had a deeper pullback than that without invalidating structure.
$BTC
Decode@decodejar
@CredibleCrypto @ProdigalCrypto Don't you think a nuke to 49k would be destrutive to market structure? I would not be expecting that to recover any time soon.
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@CredibleCrypto Doesnt look too bad,OI pretty much reset. Makes sense for me to push once more to range highs to get peak euphoria and trap as much fools as possible and than come back down to the low 50s,but wouldnt rule out the possibility,that we bounce earlier at 64.5-ish.
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Yup that idea is not out of play yet- remember the HTF support zone is at 65-69k so we are still right inside it and yes as you mentioned we can see the interest/demand present at that level based on the wicks we can see into it on the lower timeframes.
But we need to make a move to the upside soon or else we may lose it.
Below I've shared the "ideal" path to the highs that I think makes the most sense atm.
No guarantees of course and remember lower timeframe ideas like this are always more challenging to nail and may need to be adjusted frequently with developing PA.
A break of 69.5k may get the ball rolling.
₿ocinegro 🏴☠️@Amaro_Pargo_
@CredibleCrypto At 4H, at least at this time, only touched/wicked below yellow line, i guess as far as it goes the same way we can very well respect bounce thesis or nah?
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@venture_charts BTC.D is so high,we will get amazing entrys on alts across the board.I think there will be one last bounce to 70k and than we will reverse back down to fill the FVG at 64.3
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Banked profits on $SOL trade, but still holding the $BTC position. We're going to get some good data this week
venture@venture_charts
We had this set up planned weeks ago in Discord. I've taken so few trades recently and have been very patient for price to come to me at the level I want it and at the time I wanted it. Take fewer trades of high quality. Find your🗝️ levels. Identify the time you want to see it hit. Think about what you want to see happen (and what you do not want to see happen). Set an alert. Repeat. Do not engage with set ups that do not fit your criteria and you will see your account grow. The thing to think about is entering as close as possible to the turn in price (why does price turn?) Your edge in this competitive game is your discipline. Of course it will require screen time and knowledge to identify the quality trades and to know what to avoid. $SOL $BTC
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@Moneytaur_ @luckychartape This happens,if you follow the right people and put it in the work!
Cheers guys!
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@CredibleCrypto Currently protecting some capital for a retracement to 62.5k/59k zone.My only concern is,that PA looks much better than yesterday so idk ,if CRV even hits the lows of 0.24.
Would you deploy some capital at higher prices aswell?
Cheers Mate
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That's about 10x the marketcap of $CRV.
In a single day.
And people out here genuinely believe that coins like $CRV won't see prior ATH ($6+) again...
You guys have no idea what's coming.
Yogurt@yogurt_eth
$SHIB added $3.3b in MC today yeah i think all of our coins are going to go so unbelievably high
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@phoenix_cr47 @Moneytaur_ @IamZeroIka @venture_charts @luckychartape imo @Moneytaur_ content can not be valued in a specific amount of money,it is probably the moast valuable source,when it comes to achieving financial freedom and also breaking the psychological barriers our goverments put upon us. Thanks to him,i am not just a blind 🐑 anymore.
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You wanna learn trading?
These are some of the best educational sources IMO:
@Moneytaur_ feed - free
@IamZeroIka TG - 10$ / month
@venture_charts Discord 50 pounds/month
@luckychartape discord 1740$ / year
Talking about first hand experience
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@hoss_crypto Nach der Notfallzinssenkung aufgrund der Pandemie gab es nur einen dead cat bounce.
Bin gespannt,inwieweit sich ein solcher aufgrund der makroökonomischen Unsicherheit auf die Märkte auswirkt.
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Wiederholt sich das Playbook von 2020-2021?
1. Markt- und Wirtschaftspanik (hier stehen wir gerade)
2. Zinssenkungen und Stimulusprogramme
3. Märkte explodieren
4. Mitte/Ende 2025 schießt die Inflation erneut in die Höhe
5. Märkte erreichen ihren Höchststand
Der sicherste Weg ist, abzuwarten, bis die Zinssenkungen beginnen. Was denkt ihr?
kian@kian_sasan
BREAKING: Der Volatilitätsindex $VIX handelt jetzt über 65 – ein Niveau, das in der Geschichte nur zweimal erreicht wurde. 🚨 Die einzigen beiden Male, als der $VIX über 65 gehandelt wurde, waren während der Pandemie 2020 und der Finanzkrise 2008. Das bedeutet extreme Marktunsicherheit und Panik. Kein gutes Zeichen. Bereitet euch auf stürmische Zeiten vor.
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