Hecks Kid

Venezuela Just Proved the Bitcoin Bull Case, And No One Is Paying Attention Maduro used Tether to move 80% of Venezuela's oil revenue. Billions in sanctions evasion, settled on Tron since 2020. Then the US made a phone call. Tether froze the wallets. Game over. Everyone's focused on the arrest. The real story is the lesson every finance minister on earth just learned in real time: Stable coins are a leash, not an escape. If someone can freeze it, it isn't money. It doesn't solve sovereignty. First principles: USDT is dollar plumbing without SWIFT. Faster. Cheaper. Still has a CEO. Still has a compliance department. Still picks up when Washington calls. This is why USDT adoption exploded, 71-year-old grandmothers in Caracas pay their HOA fees in tether now. But useful ≠ sovereign. The entire value proposition for sanctions evasion just got publicly falsified. Now do the game theory: You're Iran. Russia. Any country hedging against dollar weaponization. You just watched Venezuela's "crypto solution" get shut off like a light switch. Where do you put reserves now? USDT? Compromised. Yuan? Political strings. Gold? Try settling $500M across borders in 10 minutes. CBDCs? Same kill switch, government branding. There's exactly one asset that clears final settlement without asking permission from anyone. 21 million units. No CEO. No freeze function. No phone number. This is the ad Bitcoin never had to buy. The most desperate, highest-stakes capital on earth just learned there's only one door. Price doesn't reflect it yet. It will.

This is one of the best short films I've seen in years. Very soon, we'll stop calling it "AI film" and just call it film.

@NorthstarCharts Looks nice

If I'm a bit quiet, it's because I'm chilling out in Nice for a few days with family 🌞

This is absolutely hilarious.

A 3D-printed rocket engine designed in just two weeks by AI [📹WorldUnseen]

@NorthstarCharts @garysavage1 “…those who ignored calls to establish positions years ago” - 😅 learning the hard way

You may be right Gary, but I don't think it's a 'done deal'. If you zoom out onto the monthly charts, the higher timeframes show that we just completed an enormous move to perfection. Measured move targets hit for the miners, and 2.618 Fib extensions for gold and silver hit. With indicators like Stoch RSI showing room to fall further, there's still room for reasonable doubt. Long-term investors and stackers who got in a long time ago won't care much, it's more relevant for traders and those who ignored calls to establish positions years ago.

I'm constantly fascinated by the flaws of the human mind. The vast majority of people can be easily manipulated into doing the stupidest things if it is repeated enough times. Or if everyone else is doing it. I literally think most people would jump off a bridge if everyone else was jumping. People quickly complied with the mask requirement to enter a restaurant but thought it was OK to take it off once they sat down. They canceled Dr. Zeus and Aunt Jemima, tore down statues of our founding fathers, and followed one way signs in the aisles of grocery stores. Lunacy. But the same applies to investing. Insanity isn't just reserved for pandemics, traders can fall victim to crazy fads, like paying more for a tulip bulb than the cost of an average house. They also succumb to recency bias which causes them to buy at tops and sell at bottoms. The exact opposite of what you should do to make money. The recency bias after the 8 week decline into an intermediate cycle low has convinced most people that price for metals can now only go lower. All rallies are seen as bull traps that will just roll over and continue lower. It's always "one more leg down" with these people. But in a bull market you have to give rallies the benefit of the doubt because the bull eventually makes new highs. As I've said before: Any long position will be a winning trade in a bull market. At the recent lows the bullish percent dropped to 3. In a bull market this is a buy signal. It means the correction has done its job and washed out the previous bullish sentiment and the next leg up can begin. This is one of those tools that has a nearly flawless record of marking a bottom (especially when oversold to this degree). Yet many (if not most) traders will still ignore it and continue to look for lower prices, unable to turn off their recency bias.

No agent. No callbacks. No craft services. The AI actor life is rough. Good thing Elements in LTX Studio keeps things consistent.

@martypartymusic Is the Wycoff out of play now @martypartymusic ?

#Bitcoin Weekly Logarithmic - April 15th Note: Double bottom out the accumulation zone. 1 or 2?

@Davebatemanda @crypt0k1ng Easy: Golums ring

What’s the most precious metal?

@badcharts1 I don’t want to meet the person who bought at that level, I want to meet the person who held from that level!

Crude Oil. Imagine turning $1,000 into $9,700,000.

@AndyAyrey Just needs some tentacles!

it's time to cook

@NorthstarCharts Hey Kevin, I signed up on your website, but trying to understand what’s to be gained if your charts are available publicly? Not a criticism, just looking for what I’ve missed

Bitcoin Update

@NorthstarCharts Kevin, check out the free walking tour with Eugenius. Fantastic tour guide with incredible knowledge of the local history. Enjoy!

In Krakow, Poland right now. We have a quarterly close tomorrow, so an important Market Round-Up podcast for members at northstarbadcharts.com on Wednesday (by which time, I'll be back in England) 🙂

Can we get an update from Peter Schiff this morning?

@NorthstarCharts It both amazes me and baffles me

The attached post shows my forecast for US 10-year bond yields back in 2021. The chart below shows where we are today. How can anybody deny the power of technical analysis?

AI capability is going vertical. Everyone is trying to figure out what it means over at The Exponentialist, @RaoulGMI and I have been on that journey for years we've built one of the world's leading communities around exponential technologies and their implications for all of us: as investors, professionals, and humans. And we want to open the doors even wider. So right now we're running a special offer: — 15% off 6 months — 25% off one year this deal ends on 9 March you'll get monthly deep dive essays that help you make sense of what's happening, Fireside Chats Q&As with me and Raoul, access to the Exponentialist investment portfolio, special guest interviews, and more and most of all, you'll join a band of curious, thoughtful, open-minded people who are determined to take this journey of exploration together. We can all feel that a storm is coming. The Exponentialist is a life raft: realvision.com/thefuture

*TRUMP on Clarity and Market Structure. He called for Congress to pass crypto market structure legislation ASAP (specifically referencing the CLARITY Act / Digital Asset Market Clarity Act). He criticized banks for "threatening" and "undermining" progress on the GENIUS Act (stablecoin framework, already signed in 2025) and related policies. He warned that without quick action, the crypto industry could migrate to China or other countries, emphasizing the need for U.S. dominance ("crypto capital of the world"). He urged banks to reach agreements with the crypto sector to keep innovation and growth domestic.

@LowryLetter @badcharts1 I think he was joking mate

@badcharts1 realvision.com/contributor/ra…

Silver is not a geopolitical hedge, but oil, nat gas and gold are

@DurdenBTC @PeterLBrandt Why?

@PeterLBrandt CAGR & Sharpe matter. The other two don’t. ROC more important.

Metrics that just DON'T matter CAGR ROR Sharpe Ratio Win rate

this is rapidly becoming the best account on x for using openclaw. even if you don’t use the exact ideas here it just opens your mind to what’s possible.