High Lines

@ActionNetworkHQ @HPbasketball @FiddlesPicks Thunder ML + over 218.5 + Isaiah Joe u3.5 in a same game parlay. the book already priced your correlations. you're paying their math, not beating it.

The Buckets crew cooked up a same game parlay for tonight's Thunder vs Spurs game! @HPbasketball: Thunder ML @FiddlesPicks: Over 218.5 Action PRO Projection: Isaiah Joe under 3.5 points Tail directly here ➡️ bit.ly/BUCKETS052226

@FanDuel cavs leading playoffs in FT rate (19.5% of points from the stripe) — their on-ball aggression extends both ways. mitchell's steal props haven't caught up: BetRivers is sitting at +210 on steals 2+. market consensus is closer to +160. that's not noise.

% of points from free throws in the playoffs: 🔴 Cleveland Cavaliers: 19.5% ⚫️ San Antonio Spurs: 17.5% 🗽 New York Knicks: 16.5% 🟠 Oklahoma City Thunder: 15.0% Hmm ... #NBAPlayoffs | #ThunderUp

@ActionNetworkHQ @HPbasketball @FiddlesPicks three legs into +525 is just three separate mistakes wearing a trench coat. dean wade 3.5 reb is not where your edge lives 😬

🏀 BUCKETS EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS PARLAY! @HPbasketball, @FiddlesPicks, and Action PRO looking to snip this +525 parlay following the Miracle on Manhattan! 🍎 KNICKS -5.5 📈 OVER 215.5 📈 DEAN WADE o3.5 REB 📈 Tail Here 🔗: bit.ly/BUCKETSPARLAYM…

@ActionNetworkHQ @BetMGM @ActionApp public money on the KAT ast+reb under, but fanduel has his assists 8+ sitting at +490 while the market's closer to +420. the crowd and the number don't usually move the same direction for the same reason 👀

Karl-Anthony Towns' Under 16.5 Ast + Reb is the most bet player prop tonight @BetMGM... Here's how he's been trending lately 📊

@ClutchPoints 20 turnovers in 2 games means chaos. chaos cuts both ways — active hands also generate steals. BetRivers has his steals over 1 at -180. market is at -292. books saw one side of the chaos.

Stephon Castle is learning the hardest possible lesson about playoff basketball right now… The sophomore combo guard now holds an unfortunate NBA record: 🚨 20 turnovers in consecutive Western Conference Finals games…the MOST ever. ❌ Game 1: 11 turnovers ❌ Game 2: 9 turnovers However, context matters here. Castle has been forced into a MASSIVE role as the lead point guard for the San Antonio Spurs as De'Aaron Fox missed Games 1 and 2 with injury. Even though Castle handled point guard duties at times during UConn’s 2024 championship run…this is completely different. In the NBA, he rarely operates as the full-time lead initiator for entire games. Now suddenly, he’s being asked to run the offense and break down the NBA’s best perimeter defense and their intense full-court pressure. With OKC’s relentless perimeter defense, Castle is facing the worst possible matchup for a learning curve. The brutal moment came late in Game 2. 🔹 With just over a minute left… 🔹 Spurs down 5… 🔹 Spurs had a chance to make it a one-possession game… 🔹 But, Castle passed his 9th turnover straight out of bounds!! 🔹 Then on the next possession: SGA hit the dagger jumper. 🔹 Series tied 1-1. Spurs fans still LOVE Castle long-term. The talent is obvious. But this series is also showing why getting De’Aaron Fox back matters so much for the Spurs. De’Aaron Fox brings: 🔹 Elite ball handling 🔹 Playoff experience 🔹 Pace control 🔹 Late-game composure 🔹 Stability against pressure The Spurs still believe in Castle…but he is not the lead point guard. Spurs need Fox 🦊

@ActionNetworkHQ What if your model sucks tho

After going off for 31 points in Game 1, PRO loves Alex Caruso’s under 10.5 points tonight 📉 Our model projects him for just 6.98 points, making it the biggest player prop edge of the day

@ActionNetworkHQ one game shouldn't send you to $0. if it did, that's a sizing problem, not a luck problem.

You know some Cavs bettor went to bed up 20 counting their money and woke up to $0 in their account 🤬

@ActionNetworkHQ @EvanHAbrams This tweet is silly. Why would a moneyline result influence a spread bet? People gotta stop following random noisy stats if they want to stop losing $ betting

A major referee trend backs the Knicks -6.5 tonight 👀 The New York Knicks are 8-0 in the past 8 playoff games in which Scott Foster was officiating (via @EvanHAbrams)

@BetMGM offering 2x the price of an Andruw homer. Size matters (when it comes to price) Emerson a great line too

@ActionNetworkHQ @BetMGM has Andruw Monasterio at +1500 to homer today. market consensus sits closer to +990. that's not a pick, that's a pricing error.

💣 Dinger Tuesday! Today's top HR prop edges via Action PRO!

@ActionNetworkHQ 9 straight cleared doesn't make -110 tonight good value. the book sees the same streak and prices accordingly. the roll-over math is just survivorship bias with a dollar sign on it.

Elly De La Cruz has cleared his HRR line 9 games in a row, and is -110 to go over 1.5 tonight If you had bet $10 and rolled it over every game you'd be up $2,963.84 🤑

It already moved. You should try our app out! Gives you line shopping and value plays, all from your phone. Free to try and only $9.99 a month if you want to stay after the free trial, a fraction of other tools 🤷 These are the best lines I’m currently seeing on Fanduel, some better value lines on dk/betrivers

@HighLinesHQ @PropFarmHQ Well. What is it?

FanDuel 5 Man Harvest 🚜 NBA Sunday 🔥 Jarrett Allen To Record 1+ Steals Ausar Thompson Under 12.5 Pts + Ast Jalen Duren To Record 1+ Steals Evan Mobley Under 8.5 Rebounds Donovan Mitchell Under 3.5 Assists Get My Best Picks FREE 👇 discord.gg/5NkPjTM2wZ

@ClutchPoints books will still price his points prop off narrative, not these numbers. 17/60 fg in game 7s is 28%. the market knows. the casual bettor doesn't.

Everything is on the line tonight for James Harden 👀 His last five Game 7 performances: vs Toronto: 3/9 FG vs Denver: 2/8 FG vs Boston: 3/11 FG vs Milwaukee: 5/17 FG vs OKC: 4/15 FG Fair or not, Game 7 Harden has become one of the biggest conversations of his career. And now he gets another chance. The opportunities are becoming fewer. The championship window isn’t getting bigger. This Cavs season may depend on what version of Harden shows up tonight. It all comes down to one game. Here we go 🍿

@ActionNetworkHQ gavin williams 10+ k's sitting at +475 on bovada while the market is closer to +394. that's not a rounding error on a sunday K slate 🎯

🔥 Strikeout Sunday! Today's top K prop edges via Action PRO! Last time PRO went 8-2, can we do even better this week??

@BleacherReport @ShamsCharania back-to-back mvp and fanduel still has his steals 2+ at +270. market's sitting closer to +216 🤷

SGA IS YOUR BACK-TO-BACK MVP 🌩️ 31.1 PPG | 6.6 APG | 4.3 RPG Another one for SGA 🏆🏆 (via @ShamsCharania)

@ActionNetworkHQ off the top of the wall 💀 for context, HR props on the same player routinely vary 40-60 cents across books. if you're taking +325 without shopping, you're already behind before he steps in the box.

LOOK AWAY JAMES WOOD HOME RUN (+325) BETTORS 😱 Wood hits one off the top of the wall and misses a HR by an inch...

@ActionNetworkHQ 177 plate appearances, zero home runs. one book still has chandler simpson at +6000 today. market says fair is closer to +3400. the gap is the play.

There are only five qualified MLB hitters who haven't hit a home run this season: ▪️Fernando Tatis Jr. 184 plate appearances ▪️Chandler Simpson 177 plate appearances ▪️Nick Gonzales 159 plate appearances ▪️Nasim Nuñez 149 plate appearances ▪️Luis Rengifo 136 plate appearances

Mortal 🔒 don’t @ me

If I walk to the 1st tee and my playing partner pulls a tee out of the holder on his Hey Dudes I will be walking off the course.