Ankit Maheshwari

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Finally government is ready to listen, A good move!

Donald Trump has called on China, France, Japan, South Korea and the UK to send naval ships to force open the Strait of Hormuz.

📝 OIL -- DOLLAR -- GOLD Relation 1️⃣ Oil is traded in dollars (Petrodollar) Most countries must hold USD to buy oil. 2️⃣ If Hormuz is threatened Oil supply risk → oil price jumps → countries need more dollars to buy oil. 3️⃣ Result → Dollar strengthens Investors rush to USD liquidity, not gold initially. 4️⃣ Why gold/silver fall temporarily When the dollar rises, gold (priced in USD) often falls or pauses because traders move to cash. 5️⃣ Later stage If the war escalates → inflation + debt + money printing → gold usually rallies strongly later. ✅ Simple market sequence: War risk → Oil spike → Dollar demand → Gold dip → Later inflation fear → Gold rally. If this is helpful ---> Like & Repost

What happens when the straight of Hormuz closes.

Stock markets across the Asia Pacific region open lower on Monday after the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran over the weekend, which sent oil prices surging and US stock futures sinking. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 slid 1.26% as of 10:37 local time, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.9%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.5%. China’s Shanghai Composite Index traded downward by less than 0.1%. South Korea’s market is closed on Monday.

Today, stocks don’t matter. Today, oil doesn’t matter. Watch long-term US Treasuries. When fear rises - war, crisis, uncertainty - big money moves into US government bonds because they are seen as the safest place to park capital. Money moving into Treasuries = rising fear. Yields falling = market expects trouble. Yields rising sharply = inflation or escalation fears. The bond market moves first. Stocks react later. That’s the real signal today.

Gold and Silver investors...this is the second time this has happened in the past 3 months. Exchanges are protecting leveraged shorts . Last time this happened in end Nov, Silver shot through the roof. No idea where prices will head from here, as the crooked quant firm is now owning 10% of SLV and the exchange is on the side of big firms who will default if Silver prices surge. Regulators CFTC have failed global retail investors. The CME records should be examined to see who ordered this and why. Little hope this will happen . Full regulatory capture, exchange capture by big firms who know their errors will be protected at the expense of retail investors. Indian firms operating on CME in a bind as hedging got suspended and the Gold and Silver market tanked post the reopen. There will be losses for wholesalers and traders both in India due to this convenient CME 'technical issue'

Nifty is up nearly 200 points but 24000PE is trading higher than yesterday's price. Now, you know why people do not hedge in Indian markets.

Many good (FIIs) check the market's depth and liquidity before investing or trading. They also look at the cost of hedging to protect their investments. Because of the recent increase in (STT), the cost of hedging in the F&O will go up big time. FIIs are struggling to earn even 7% returns after taxes and currency conversion from the Indian market from last 2 years & hedging costs are shooting up dramatically. First , FIIs & Now Prop desk . Kya hi bole

Creativity is just connecting things. When you ask creative people how they did something, they feel a little guilty because they didn't really do it, they just saw something. It seemed obvious to them after a while. ~Steve Jobs

Rich Dad Predictions of a Crash again & again 😭😭😭 @theRealKiyosaki Even A Broken Clock shows the Right Time Twice 💪 #FI

Of Oil and Turmoil. My views on the India-US trade deal, with @ShivAroor:

Making India stop importing Russian oil (40% of our total oil imports) while committing us to buying half a trillion worth of American products; imposing 18% tariffs on Indian goods while at the same time having 0% tariffs on American goods, is a great trade deal. For America.

⚠️ DARK TRUTH ABOUT THE “US–INDIA TRADE DEAL” Read very carefully. This is NOT a growth deal. This is a VOLATILITY + MACRO RISK DEAL. — 🔻 Tariff cut to 18% = small relief for few exporters 🔻 Zero tariffs / zero NTBs = import shock for domestic industry 🔻 Stop Russian oil = higher energy cost → CAD ↑ → INR ↓ → Inflation ↑ 🔻 $500B “Buy American” = future dollar outflow headline — Market math is brutal: Export benefit ➝ narrow Macro damage ➝ system-wide — If oil cost rises even slightly: ➡️ CAD worsens ➡️ INR weakens ➡️ Yields stay high ➡️ Equity multiples compress This alone can neutralize all tariff gains. — Worst hidden risk: Headline optimism → Leverage build-up → Macro reality → Risk-off → Margin calls → Forced selling. Classic trap. — Base Reality: • Exporters may outperform • Index may struggle • Breadth likely weak • Volatility elevated — My View: This deal is structurally tilted against India’s macro unless energy replacement stays cheap AND tariff-zeroing is slow & selective. — Probability of negative market impact (medium-term): 62% Possibility: 78% This is not bullish certainty. This is policy-driven turbulence. ✍️ @AlgoBoffin ...

I don't know the exact reasoning behind the increase in STT. Having said that, if the goal was to reduce speculative activity in F&O, then I'm not sure this will do anything. 95% of trading is already in options, and this STT increase will only push that share higher. Why? Because the impact falls mostly on futures, while options are far more speculative than futures. If the govt wants to reduce speculation, then establishing product suitability (who can trade) criteria is the way to go. I know it's an unpopular opinion, but this will remove a lot of uncertainty among brokers and traders. It's a much better approach than a death by a thousand STT hikes 😬 The other problem with the uncertainty from steady STT hikes is that, at some point, you'll start seeing a material impact on trading volumes because transaction costs make trading unviable. You're already kinda seeing that with futures. Check the comments.

Conclusion of the India-EU Free Trade Agreement today marks a significant milestone in our relations. I thank all the leaders of Europe over the years for their constructive spirit and commitment in making this possible. This agreement will deepen economic ties, create opportunities for our people and strengthen the India-Europe partnership for a prosperous future.

Your ultimate asset isn’t your portfolio; it’s your body. 🧠💪 You can’t track Nifty, analyse charts, travel the world and chase passive income dreams if you’re running on 4 hours of sleep and zero movement. Prioritise 8 hrs sleep, daily walks, clean food and mental hygiene as ruthlessly as you track your P&L -> your future self (and your returns) will thank you. 🌍📈 #Health #Fitness #Investing #Longevity

🚀 FROM BLOODBATH TO BREAKOUT? 📈 Just 48 hours ago, ₹10 LAKH CRORE evaporated in a brutal Dalal Street sell-off and Nifty crashed 1.38% to 25,232. Today, the same market is quietly staging a classic recovery: smart money buying quality, VIX cooling off, and leaders in banks, IT and consumption inching back. If you panicked, you saw noise; if you were prepared, you’re seeing opportunity. This is how wealth shifts -> slowly, then all at once.​ #StockMarket #Nifty #DalalStreet #Investing #WealthCreation

Respected FM @nsitharaman Do Consider Market Conditions and Dollar Price while Preparing The Budget 🙏🏻 Markets are falling as if Capital Gain Taxes are Gonna Double. Any Chance of Cutting them? #stockmarketsindia

My Guru always told me “If you want to go for a run, go for a run. Don’t look for company. Sooner or later, on your fifth run or your twentieth, like-minded people will find you.” Only recently did I realise this principle works everywhere.