weather by umar

Visuals from #lalchowk srinagar If people likes my forecasting I will carry thanks for your support We don't spread any misinformation to public thanks to Almighty Allah #weatherbyumar

Eid looks clear & pleasant in Kashmir 🌙☀️ | Heat builds up in Jammu 🔥 Stay prepared! #WeatherByUmar #jammu #kashmir #heatwave #eidforecast #bakraeid

Despite non-visibility in South Asia, Eid has been declared on 27 May in some regions due to differing moon-sighting criteria and reliance on local testimonies #jammu #kashmir

Crescent Moon Visibility Outlook(hilal) Marginal in the Middle East, Very Difficult across #India, #Pakistan & the South Asian Region #Weatherbyumar #middleeast #kashmir #jammu #saudiarabia #Dubai #iran

@jangeshu Current deep convective cluster over J&K is intense but largely confined to higher terrain. Limited direct impact expected over Chandigarh, though residual outflow and isolated thunderstorm activity cannot be ruled out

Gulzar sahib does it have the punch to affect chandigarh. Thanks

@MukhtarNaj69419 @metsrinagar @LabeebGulzar @metcentreleh @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir Structure defines strength, but impact defines the forecast

@Immybhat1 @metsrinagar @LabeebGulzar @metcentreleh @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir Thanks for updating sir but some weather forecasters predicted weak wd expected 11 13 may

⚡ J&K Weather Alert | WD Update Weak system tonight, but a strong Western Disturbance incoming (11–13 May) bringing widespread rain, thunderstorms & gusty winds across #Kashmir. 🌧️ First proper rain spell of the season ⚠️ Stay alert for lightning & short intense bursts ⬇️

#moonsighting These are high-confidence predictions (95%) Final announcement depends on actual moon sighting (Ruet-e-Hilal committees) #india #pakistan #iran #saudiarabia #kuwait #oman #qatar #eiduladha #eid2026 #china

Calm for now over Srinagar — but instability building south. Light to moderate showers possible later tonight, not immediate. Active phase for jammu & pir panjal range tonight . #jammu #pirpanjal #kashmir #rain #storm

@MukhtarNaj69419 @metsrinagar @metcentreleh @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir Yes,May 2026 likely to stay slightly cooler with above-normal precipitation signals—driven by frequent but short-lived western disturbances, not continuous rainfall.

@Immybhat1 @metsrinagar @metcentreleh @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir Thanks sir but before couple of days imd issue above normal percepitation forecast for north India including valley

Short-lived WD impact till May 5—#Jammu sees active storms, while #Kashmir remains on the weaker fringe with scattered, brief showers. Post May 6, a stable and mostly dry pattern dominates across J&K #ladakh #kashmir #jammu #kargil

@MukhtarNaj69419 @metsrinagar @metcentreleh @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir A largely dry weather phase is expected across Jammu and Kashmir from 6th to 12th May,with isolated thunderstorms possible at a few places between (6-9 may)

@Immybhat1 @metsrinagar @metcentreleh @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang @GreaterKashmir Mtlb koi major spell nhi hai filhal 15 may tk

@Expert1202 @metsrinagar @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang Active pre-monsoon spell over Jammu — peak instability on 4th, tapering by 5th. Short-lived but impactful with thunder & gusty winds, especially across Jammu city, Kathua, Samba, Udhampur & Reasi belts

@Immybhat1 @metsrinagar @LabeebGulzar @Kyangs_Thang Jmmu ?

Forecast till tomorrow morning No widespread rain, short-lived & very localized Main system is missing Kashmir track (staying west-heavy) #Weatherbyumar #kashmir

@aamir471711 @metsrinagar @GreaterKashmir @Kyangs_Thang @LabeebGulzar This WD is weak for Kashmir because its main track stayed west. Kashmir is just on the edge of influence, not under the core system.

@Immybhat1 @metsrinagar @GreaterKashmir @Kyangs_Thang @LabeebGulzar Kal raat se dry hi hai bro

Yes, the #Islamabad storms will influence #Kashmir — arriving weaker but still capable of giving a decent rainy/thunder morning spell. Inshort, Dry night, building clouds — impactful #rainy morning with #thunder, easing by noon. #Weatherbyumar #valley

#weatherupdate Scattered storm cells circling the valley — expect a hit-and-run shower window this evening before conditions settle quickly overnight... #jammu #kashmir

All parameters and radar signals supported rainfall, but weather ultimately follows Allah’s will. Forecasting has its limits—some outcomes remain beyond human control. #weather #jammu #kashmir

#weatherupdate One proper rain event around 28th, followed by a dry break — then only light, scattered follow-up activity into early May Hot & dry conditions dominate Jammu with temperatures around 38–41°C, slight haze possible. 🔥 #jammu #kashmir #ladakh #rain #heatwave

@MukhtarNaj69419 @Vitlamganjoo Present indications suggest a possible increase in Western Disturbance (WD) activity during May. While this falls under long-range forecasting and carries some uncertainty, the overall trend currently points toward above-normal activity.

@Immybhat1 @Vitlamganjoo In early may frequency of wds will increase or decrease Umar baie

Weather Not Done Yet — J&K Till 30 April 🌪️ Check Poster⬇️

@Vitlamganjoo 23–25 April: Mostly dry, no significant rain expected Brief rain & thunder window around 25–27 April ⛈️ Followed by a strong heat comeback towards month end 🔥 👉 Short-lived relief, long heat ahead. Stay alert for sudden storms & gusty winds.

@Immybhat1 For valley only this weather forecasts or for whole J&K because jammu and surrounding areas are under tremendous heat waves round about 38-39 degrees Celsius