InTheMoney

The market has economy jitters. It makes sense. Oil has spiked, the market is scared of pass-through inflation because of this, and the Fed has their hands tied. But remember this: the economy is NOT the stock market. They’re correlated strongly, but they are not the same. Right now, almost every company in my Actively Managed portfolio is dumping cash into AI investments. The capex is insane, and they’re all doing it for a reason. Once the economy jitters settle and those investments turn into great earnings at these much cheaper prices, shit will RIP. Think forward. DCA. I have family and friends that panicked during the COVID crash and 2022 bear market. They now are kicking themselves for not investing more. Think of the future and your future self will thank you now. Do I have to say not financial advice? NFA. But you guys know my stance, my philosophy. I’m in the top 5 for 1 year on Autopilot for a reason. And I don’t give a damn if I drop to #10 even if that means my visibility dies, less people subscribe, I get less of a cut. Because I care more about my fam, you guys, putting your sweaty palm in mine, as we ride this bumpy market but reinvest responsibly so that when things reverse, earnings beat at cheap prices, the AI thesis will regain momentum and 4 years from now you will have your tits blown off and be glad you read this tweet. Bookmark it. Look at it when you feel fear. Bravado is not day trading or panic selling, it’s buying when it hurts. But hurts on PAPER. You must look towards the future to be successful in the markets. If Matt Damon didn’t say it right before rug pulling everyone, I would say “fortune favors the bold”. But in this case, it’s not a shitcoin. And in this case, fortune will come to the bold. So be bold. You are my top priority and it is crucial you understand my market philosophy. I’m invested with you and will be on this ride the whole way. Keep your hands, feet, and balls inside the ride at all times. I’ll see you again when you come back to this bookmarked post and smile. And as always, I’ll continue to be present and update you on my thought process. One good headline and everything flips. Heart jacked, hands steady. ITM marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1218/5…

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The market has economy jitters. It makes sense. Oil has spiked, the market is scared of pass-through inflation because of this, and the Fed has their hands tied. But remember this: the economy is NOT the stock market. They’re correlated strongly, but they are not the same. Right now, almost every company in my Actively Managed portfolio is dumping cash into AI investments. The capex is insane, and they’re all doing it for a reason. Once the economy jitters settle and those investments turn into great earnings at these much cheaper prices, shit will RIP. Think forward. DCA. I have family and friends that panicked during the COVID crash and 2022 bear market. They now are kicking themselves for not investing more. Think of the future and your future self will thank you now. Do I have to say not financial advice? NFA. But you guys know my stance, my philosophy. I’m in the top 5 for 1 year on Autopilot for a reason. And I don’t give a damn if I drop to #10 even if that means my visibility dies, less people subscribe, I get less of a cut. Because I care more about my fam, you guys, putting your sweaty palm in mine, as we ride this bumpy market but reinvest responsibly so that when things reverse, earnings beat at cheap prices, the AI thesis will regain momentum and 4 years from now you will have your tits blown off and be glad you read this tweet. Bookmark it. Look at it when you feel fear. Bravado is not day trading or panic selling, it’s buying when it hurts. But hurts on PAPER. You must look towards the future to be successful in the markets. If Matt Damon didn’t say it right before rug pulling everyone, I would say “fortune favors the bold”. But in this case, it’s not a shitcoin. And in this case, fortune will come to the bold. So be bold. You are my top priority and it is crucial you understand my market philosophy. I’m invested with you and will be on this ride the whole way. Keep your hands, feet, and balls inside the ride at all times. I’ll see you again when you come back to this bookmarked post and smile. And as always, I’ll continue to be present and update you on my thought process. One good headline and everything flips. Heart jacked, hands steady. ITM marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1218/5…

“And as always, I’ll continue to be present and update you on my thought process. One good headline and everything flips.” I rest my case.

(These are base guidelines that flex with market conditions, but are the core of my investment philosophy)

It’s important for people to realize something I learned a long time ago. Not through textbooks or reading, those taught me how derivatives and markets function. They didn’t teach me how to make the markets function for ME, and then the privilege of helping them function for others. Investing is not complicated. A lot of people say “I don’t know how to pick stocks” and stare at balance sheets and fundamentals. But those are present or backwards-looking. Here’s what matters, and Peter Lynch probably said it best: Buy companies you like, whose products or services you use or would use if you could afford, are profitable and are trending profitable, and have a STORY. The story is the key piece. NVDA? I bought at wicked lows because every single person who gamed had an NVDA graphics card. I would scrounge money as a college student to upgrade incrementally whenever I could. And then they turned into an AI beast, and I don’t even have to look at the fundamentals. I bought for one reason; I continue to hold for both. AMD? Same thing, but with processors. They destroy Intel in that arena at a fraction of the price. And now they’re leveraged to be a big fascet in AI infrastructure. HOOD? I bought at $8. People hated them for GME. But I knew one thing: people forget. Or, at least, younger people turning investment-age won’t care. And as they rolled out new products, it only confirmed they were making dedicated progress. I sold at the top when they continued to push “platform for advanced traders” but have nothing but a pretty UI and a shitty trading platform with meek and slow execution and features. I hopped out. The product offerings slowed and became dull. They lost my interest, and if they lost mine, I don’t want to be invested because again: I invest in companies whose products or services I want to use. AAPL? Same thing. GOOG? Same thing. It goes on. And through experience, you learn that this is the key to investing. And then you learn the next biggest key: red is always the new green. Buying during COVID, buying during the 2022 bear market, they always pay off over the long-term. And then enter derivatives. This one I did not learn or read or study beyond understanding mechanics. The philosophy is simple: the market, throughout all of history, has had more green candles than red. Therefore, if you are not reckless in the companies you invest in, you should lean heavily long, using long-dated ITM calls with low breakevens as 5-10% of your portfolio. If they’re sitting ducks by 3 months until expiration? Dodge the acceleration in theta decay, sell, add funds, open a new LEAP if you still believe in the company. Otherwise, shift. Just don’t keep feeding the furnace until you go bust. You can sell options, sure, but it’s if you’re risk-averse. Or an income whore who likes short-term capital gains tax in taxable accounts. The wheel is fine, just keep it small. Avoid the FUCK out of credit spreads. You WILL get creamed eventually, and pin risk is much higher because your short strike is closer to the stock price than your long one. Even with IV working in your favor, debit spreads negate enough of this. Just check breakeven. That’s IV expressed on paper in a readable format. Think you can well outpace breakeven over time? Go for it. Looks ridiculous? Adjust strikes or dodge entirely. Optionsprofitcalculator.com is your best friend. And I did this by sitting and thinking. Not reading or watching. You can short, buy puts, hedge. But in my personal experience, at least as a younger individual, keep those to a minimum. Leverage the upside, buy the dips, and your future self will thank you. Thank you to everybody who entrusts their money with my portfolios on autopilot and have an unyielding desire to learn. I try to help people skip past shortfalls early on, but experience will whittle down what works and what doesn’t. Unlike day traders, I can easily provide a reproducible framework and market psychology.

These tweets age like fine wine

(See pinned post on my profile for more details)

If you want to augment with something less risky, take a breather has become more of a “Defensive Actively Managed” It is primed to be defensive against stagflation risk, which is elevated, and the conflict in Iran. Again, I repeat, you can add buying power to MULTIPLE of my portfolios. You can all-in on this one if you want, but I think augmenting adds the most diversity against my two theses: short-medium term uncertainty, long-term ripping AI and tech profits with high beta. marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1218/5…

@timrxbi And not just on the mag 7. I’m choosing to be more targeted now.

@timrxbi It absolutely will and yes I am.

I want to VERY FIRMLY REITERATE: this is a high-risk portfolio. SQQQ has its own decay. Going all-in on this would be, in my opinion, somewhat short-sighted. Augmentation as a hedge for those who want it, but Actively Managed with DCA is where my heart lies.

@CeceBarbour lol

@InTheMoneyAdam 🎤 drop 😅

Significantly increasing exposure to the downside due to the Fed being stuck between a rock and a hard place with inflation pressure from the Iran conflict and slowing economic growth, as well as the obvious risk-off sentiment shift. I'm always a fan of DCA into Actively Managed. Staying heavy in tech and adding funds over time has always produced great results over the past 12 years, even through Covid and 2022. However, some people have liquidity needs, want to hedge, or just want to bet on the downside. So here it is. And you don't have to go all-in; you can mix-and-match, adding only some funds to this portfolio as a hedge, or even augmenting with the Take a Breather portfolio which is positioned for stagflation and the Iran conflict. But risk-off sentiment, for now, is wide, and investors want to see HUGE beats in earnings to justify valuations. This is good, as it gives us a chance to buy amazing companies at cheaper prices. If you were buying and selling pens as a side hustle, and you bought 100 at $25 dollars with the knowledge that over the long-term, their value would increase, would you panic-sell if the value of those pens dropped 10%? Nope. You'd buy more, knowing you could offload them at a higher price in the future. You know my stance by now, but I don't know everyone's time horizons or liquidity needs, so this portfolio (when used as a hedge) or Take a Breather offer augments for those who want some defense. Join or add it here: marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1218/5…

@CeceBarbour I’ve made my stance clear: DCA all the way. A line on a chart means nothing to me when there’s outside forces. TA is bs when headlines hit. This is just an augmentation option, that’s all.

@InTheMoneyAdam Ewww at the 200 day? Might wanna wait for confirmation

@_CourtBouillon I’ll let the women do that as they get stressed out. I was born with natural beauty.

@InTheMoneyAdam When are we buying more makeup?

Dropped the stagnant positions that are just sit and watch. Anybody can do this. Adjusted for risk of stagflation, which is becoming higher. You can mix-and-match this with my Actively Managed portfolio (see screen recording) by adding money to this one, it's free with your subscription, to match your risk tolerance. I always am a fan of riding the dip and buying the whole way, but I don't know everyone's financial details: time horizon, income, debt, savings, etc. So I think it's only reasonable to provide this alternative. Use public, no need to approve trades, they happen quick: share.public.com/Adam771875 Link to port: marketplace.joinautopilot.com/landing/1218/5… After today's economic data, the economy is growing at a third of what it was one quarter ago, inflation won't come down, the Fed has no tools to use because jobs are still holding up, businesses aren't investing, and consumers are running out of gas. That's stagflation potential. Stocks that replaced this boring port while still keeping with the theme: ENERGY (Brent $100, WTI $95) XOM (Exxon) - Big daddy, prints cash above $80 crude, fat dividend, buyback hungry CVX (Chevron) - Cleanest balance sheet of the majors, consistent returns COP (ConocoPhillips) - Pure oil and gas play DVN (Devon) - Just absorbed Coterra for $21.5B, variable dividend tied directly to commodity prices. Oil rips, payout=yummerz MPC (Marathon Petroleum) - Margins go absolutely fucking nuts when crude is elevated DEFENSE (Iran conflict, Trump's $1.5T defense budget proposal) LMT (Lockheed) - +50% YTD, F-35, missile defense. Iran situation is a direct catalyst. Kinda a no brainer. RTX (Raytheon) - Patriot batteries, missile systems, every conflict rehappening. this thing prints like my CPA printing all my brokerage 1099's KTOS (Kratos) - Drones and autonomous systems, +263% YTD, most levered play to modern warfare spending. The good Modern Warfare, not the new stuff. Hop on Arc Raiders. GOLD MINERS (Gold parked above $5,200, a duh stagflation hedge) NEM (Newmont) - Largest gold miner on earth, margins above 70% at current prices, free cash flow machine. The fundamentals are pristine as hell. GOLD (Barrick) - Record 2025 efficiency, AISC at $1,950, every dollar gold moves up directly benefits their margin Staples (Pricing power and purely consumer Staples (hah) defense PM (Philip Morris) - +11% annual EPS growth, pricing power that quit just like their users. People don't stop smoking because inflation is hot. They might use it as a lighter, though. PG (Procter & Gamble) - Cost passthrough is easy. Tide doesn't have a recession. MIDSTREAM (Fee-based cash flow, high yield) EPD (Enterprise Products) - 6.3% yield, 27 consecutive years of dividend growth ET (Energy Transfer) - 7.1% yield, trades at a discount to peers, 3-5% annual EBITDA growth HEALTHCARE (Inelastic demand) JNJ (J&J) - 63 consecutive years of dividend increases. And people want medical care even if the economy gets wrecked.

@hamid_heinski Your username makes me feel like I’m talking to my “special” twin brother. Which I already have one of those but the effort was really super, keep it up.

Who needs the stock market when you have Kalshi? There’s a reason my name is JPDreamGirl on there. Stagflation risk is elevated, some reporter was going to ask about it, it was a matter of whether or not he echoed the word back. People were grossly underpricing a die loaded against them.

@Guardy2000 Thank you! I appreciate that.

@InTheMoneyAdam Just wanted to stop by and say I appreciate your frequency in trades on the actively managed portfolio. Appreciate your hard work.