Inframarkets

Introducing Inframarkets. Energy markets have run the global economy for over a century. They have been institutional only. Until now. The first energy prediction market. Built on Solana.

@GlobalMktObserv What if its just getting started?

🚨The oil market disruption is far worse than headline prices suggest: Oman crude hit a record $173 per barrel on Wednesday, surpassing even the 2008 Financial Crisis spike. Dubai crude also surged to an all-time high above $150, as buyers scramble to replace supplies cut off by the Strait of Hormuz shutdown. The Hormuz closure has severed ~20% of the world's oil production from global markets, triggering the largest supply disruption in modern history. By comparison, Brent is trading at ~$115 and WTI near ~$95, massively understating the severity of the physical shortage. As a result, the gap between Brent and WTI is now the widest since 2013, as the Iran War disproportionately hits European oil supply. The problem is that Brent and WTI are the most commonly quoted benchmarks, but they only reflect North Sea and US supply conditions, not the Middle Eastern crisis. If the Strait does not reopen, Western oil prices will inevitably catch up, as US and European inventories are depleted and global supply tightens further. The real oil crisis has not even reached Western markets yet.

@EU_Eurostat 💪

In 2025, 47.3% of the electricity generated in the EU came from renewable energy sources.⚡♻️ Primary sources of renewable electricity in the EU: 💨Wind (37.5% of the total) ☀️Solar (27.5%) 💧Hydro (25.9%) Read more 👉link.europa.eu/VPbXr8

In 2025, 3.3% of all EU electricity hours went negative. In the same grids, evening spikes exceeded €2000/MWh. The range is widening. The average tells you almost nothing. The risk lives in the tails. Current instruments hedge the average. Event contracts hedge the tails.

@janrosenow No oil or gas dependency? No suffering from geopolitical risks

Spain's renewables build-out has structurally decoupled its electricity prices from gas markets. Gas now sets the price in only 15% of hours, compared to 90% in Italy. Countries that invested early in clean power are far less exposed to fossil fuel price shocks.

@Geiger_Capital Buckle up !!!

Jeff Currie on the price of oil… "This is the opposite of Covid. Get long, buckle your seatbelt and hang on for the ride."

@chamath Hey @socialcapital — let’s bring this new primitive and add it to the energy financial stack Tail risk is event-driven and volatility in power and energy cannot stop to grow

@thenarrator Mainnet very soon ⚡️

the prediction market vertical nobody is talking about: ENERGY > WTI oil perps did $5B in 72 hours on hyperliquid during the iran strikes > EU gas storage at record lows > AI data centers consuming more power than some countries > shipping lanes rerouting around conflict zones > tariffs reshaping commodity flows overnight every one of these is a tradeable outcome that no prediction market is pricing yet energy is more volatile than btc, affects everyone on earth, has zero retail pm infrastructure and these markets move every single day energy is the vertical that takes it to $100B.

Thanks @neelsomani

Retail had no access to power markets, until us. Inframarkets Mainnet soon 👀

@Restructuring__ Now you know how it's priced, but you still can't trade it. With @Inframarkets you finally can trade power markets *(US and Europe for the moment)

I now understand how electricity is priced better than 99% of people after watching this video 2 minutes well spent, watch this ex-Citadel simply explain the power market

We are in the midst of the largest energy disruption in history. And there is a mismatch between how risk behaves vs how it’s traded.

@OilCfd Time to bet on it

This is how it looks like

Monitor the situation. Our embedded map view allows you to see what is going on in the world, and easily trade energy market outcomes. Power, energy commodities, climate and much more. Turn current events into your edge. Coming with mainnet beta.

Big Tech just became Big Energy and most investors still don't see it. PJM's latest capacity auction cleared at nearly 10x the previous year. The companies building the future of computing are now, structurally, energy companies. The exposures are event-shaped. A polar vortex. A pipeline trip during peak load. A heatwave pushing ERCOT to emergency. The instruments to price these didn't exist, yet.

Diesel just crossed $5 for the first time in 27 months and freight costs are repricing in real time. From $3.651 just a month ago, agriculture, construction, and logistics are absorbing a 38% spike. When diesel moves like this, inflation does not stay still.

Inframarkets is currently in Private Beta. We're launching very soon. pre-register here: inframarkets.io

Bloomberg terminals cost $25,000 a year to trade energy volatility. Inframarkets costs $0. We turn geopolitical energy risk into event contracts anyone can trade: Aramco force majeure, VLCC seizures, Brent crossing $150. Settlement from official data sources. Open beta launching soon.

@JEBistline @ShanuMathew93 Nice work John!

Data centers: 4-5% of U.S. electricity today. By 2030: 9-17%. Those projections vary wildly by state. We built a dashboard so you can see your state's numbers and download the data.

@ijaack94 👀

@Inframarkets very cool!

Inframarkets is currently in Private Beta. We're launching very soon. pre-register here: inframarkets.io