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Save Invest Repeat 📈
@InvestRepeat
My Mission: Spread Financial Freedom / Stock Market / Mutual Funds / Gold / Crypto / FIRE Group → https://t.co/jvybPZ2m1i
WhatsApp Channel: Katılım Eylül 2019
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Two interesting data points of #ElectionResult2026
➡️ Communists have no state under its control for the 1st time in last 50 years after losing Kerala.
➡️ West Bengal will have same political party’s government which is also in power in central government, for the 1st time in last 49 years.
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Parsed all the Exit Poll data for West Bengal Assembly Election 2026
In 2021, out of 19 Exit Polls
> 13 predicted TMC win
> 5 predicted BJP win
> 1 Hung Assembly
So 68.4% polls predicted TMC win, which turned out to be true.
In 2026, out of 10 Exit Polls
> 1 predicting TMC win
> 7 predicting BJP win
> 2 Hung Assembly
Now, 70% polls predicting BJP winning.
Let's see if averaged out exit polls are correct once again in Bengal or not.
@bong_politics @viprabuddhi @dibakardutta_

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In some hours, 4 different major Indian states will have a new government - either formed by same or different political party.
But NONE will help you in your personal & family growth. You have to work for it yourself.
Focus on creating multiple income sources, join gym, eat healthy, invest most of your savings, spend time with your family, do sadhana.
That's how you win. That's how your family will win.
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@InvestRepeat Focus on controllables health, skills, income streams and relationships that is where real compounding happens
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Poll of Polls - Parsed all the Exit Poll data for #TamilNadu Assembly Election 2026
In 2021, out of 11 Exit Polls
> 11 predicted SPA win
This turned out to be true.
In 2026, out of 15 Exit Polls
> 10 predicting SPA win
> 3 predicting AIADMK+ win
> 1 predicting TVK win
> 1 hung assembly
Now, 66.67% polls predicting SPA (DMK) winning again.
Let's see if averaged out exit polls are correct once again or not in Tamil Nadu.

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Poll of Polls - Parsed all the Exit Poll data for #Assam Assembly Election 2026
In 2021, out of 10 Exit Polls
> 7 predicted NDA win
> 3 Hung Assembly
So, 70% polls predicted NDA win, which turned out to be true.
In 2026, out of 8 Exit Polls
> 8 predicting NDA win
Now, 100% polls predicting BJP winning again.
Let's see if averaged out exit polls are correct once again or not in Assam.

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Poll of Polls - Parsed all the Exit Poll data for Kerala Assembly Election 2026
In 2021, out of 11 Exit Polls
> 6 predicted LDF win
> 1 predicted UDF win
> 4 Hung Assembly
So, 54.5% polls predicted LDF win, which turned out to be true.
In 2026, out of 10 Exit Polls
> 0 predicting LDF win
> 9 predicting UDF win
> 1 Hung Assembly
Now, 90% polls predicting UDF alliance of Congress, Indian Union Muslim League & others are winning.
Let's see if averaged out exit polls are correct once again or not.

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@this_iz_pratap That’s from his Ministry of Propaganda.
Both US officials met Balen Shah’s top ministers.

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@InvestRepeat And Balen shah refused to meet the so-called US special envoy.
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Balen Shah knows
> India won’t retaliate, as it fears Nepal might get closer to China
> CCP won’t retaliate, as it fears Nepal might get closer to India
Meanwhile 2 very senior US officials have recently visited Kathmandu including US special envoy to South & Central Asia - Sergio Gor.
Sidhant Sibal@sidhant
Breaking: Nepal's Balen Shah Govt tells India, China not to undertake Kailash Mansarovar Yatra through Lipilekh since it is 'Nepal Territory'. Nepal Foreign ministry:
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@viprabuddhi That’s interesting.
Though averaging out multiple “exit polls” do give correct direction of win even if it can’t predict exact seats.
In multiple states seeing average of exit polls is directionally correct. Not 100% strike rate but majority elections its correct.
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@InvestRepeat Most opinion polls are bogus btw, only a handful actually do survey.
Even among these, many have sampling issue as BJP supporters don't openly say things. Hence, TMC supporters are overrepresented in the end.
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@InvestRepeat Nobody gives a shit about Assam - absolutely non impacting state.
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@InvestRepeat @Munnaa_Bhaiya You can see another pattern
Who ever wins or lose ldf projections are slightly underestimated and Udf projections are slightly over estimated. Diff in Supporters response behaviours may be the reason.
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@Munnaa_Bhaiya True.
Though "poll of polls" has hardly ever been wrong. If majority of exit polls are indicating something, high chance of that happening. Of course, some misses are there, not 100% strike rate.
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@InvestRepeat Projection of 100% votes from .001% same is double edge sword.
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