Leo

@SopranosPicks @lunxta_ @Duelbits Let’s gooo

@SopranosPicks @lunxta_ @Duelbits I know i tailed that one late when up a break in the 2nd! Fingers crossed

Adding On ➕ 𝗔𝗧𝗣 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲 𝗖𝗮𝗿𝗹𝗼 🇲🇨 (1U) Cobolli -2.5 @ 1.88 / -115 Wager Placed on @Duelbits Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! 🍀 I think Alexander Blockx is a generational talent, I love him even more for dealing with that Shapovalov rat but let me just be plain and simple, a healthy Cobolli in a big profile event with a crowd behind him is just so dangerous I would never bet against him. Flavio by whatever he wants. Game spreads are always risky so please respect the staking plan.

@SopranosPicks @lunxta_ @Duelbits Tony, zverev live? Not watching the game. Odds attractive but he was up a break and gave it up. Dont inspire confidence

@lunxta_ @Duelbits Potential is the sky, experience is no where near enough to be this short of a game spread for me.

@torelanda_12 After scoring 10 pts in 6 min in the third.

sports gambling shi so rigged.. 🤦🏾‍♂️ ayton ain’t played since 6:00 in da 3rd shi crazy I would’ve hit 😡

@SopranosPicks Great read Tony

𝗧𝗛𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗜𝗡 𝗔 𝗥𝗢𝗪 3️⃣‼️ ✅ Rafael Jodar -3.5 @ -155 💵 +1.30U 𝗛𝗜𝗧 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 𝗜𝗙 𝗖𝗔𝗦𝗛𝗘𝗗 ❤️ Cash the -4.5 if you took that too 😉

@SopranosPicks Dude, Trungelliti was a great read. Love live bets but we all know they can sometime go! Any opinion about Griekspoor?

@SopranosPicks @maksim_popovski You guys on dolo? To cover3.5?

@maksim_popovski Inshaallah 🙏

Day 1 of posting a tennis edit until clay season starts Arthur Fils 🇫🇷

@SopranosPicks Are you saying +3.5 Vacherot is in order? Vacherot been serving great. 1st serve percentage is about the same, but higher sample size (slightly higher percentage) on first serve pts won.

@SmoothManSports Smooth, do you have a min for a short reasoning behind Baez’s high confidence?

Two questions: 1. Anyone seeing a way around nuking Sebi Baez at #ATPMiami? 2. Why are you not signed up for the #BracketRoyale? sharpcircle.bet/march-madness/…

@SopranosPicks @Duelbits Dont get me wrong, she can still win but this should be priced close to even imo

@SopranosPicks @Duelbits What do you think about Badosa. I know she’s been inconsistent and injury prone. Her level hasnt been even close to where she was last year when she was fighting the injuries. She just lost to Sasnovich in Dubai. What on esrth justfies -204 there besides she likes Miami

Official Wager ⚖️ 𝗪𝗧𝗔 𝗠𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗶 🇺🇸 (1.5U) Masarova ML @ 2.10 / +110 Wager Placed on @Duelbits Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! 🍀 Pretty much using the same logic behind the Bergs pick here, pretty similar angles once you match these two ladies up. Rebeka Masarova is a great server by WTA standards and its one of her standout weapons, following it up aggressively she has always been consistent with her first serve numbers and it has given her success in her career. Also she has good movement and generates good power behind her groundstrokes, Cathy McNally is a grinder and she loves mixing it up, she has a arsenal of shot selection and she could cause trouble for someone like Masarova on slower surfaces but the chances she is able to get into rhythm on these courts is lower. She might be able to attack second serves but Masarova has been serving well throughout the qualifiers and she is the more physical player, conditions favour her so I don’t mind backing her at plus money. McNally likes to use slices and approach the net but on courts like these they don’t hold the same effect and rushing the net against Masarova can leave her exposed in these conditions.

@SopranosPicks @Duelbits So the line moved from +200 to +110 in 8 hrs! Wow! All the edge is gone!

POTD 🏦 𝗔𝗧𝗣 𝗠𝗶𝗮𝗺𝗶 🇺🇸 (2U) Burruchaga ML @ 2.95 / +195 Wager Placed on @Duelbits Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! 🍀 If I am not smoking crack, I think Roman Andres Burruchaga opened up as a slight underdog here and has been pushed all the way up to +200 as I made my graphics and write up, so all I have to say is read what I have to say, make your mind up because you don’t pay me a penny and I give you my thoughts and wagers for free whilst having $300 units on these bets. I’m pretty much at a last stance with Burruchaga, i’ve been so big on this guy for so long and don’t get me wrong he has fed us on clay courts in challenger events in South America but he just hasn’t been able to breakthrough to the top 100 and the ATP level, every-time I think he’s on the cusp of breaking out he lets us down and he even let us down badly on that POTD in Rio where he lost to Kopriva but as time goes on maybe I just really underrated Kopriva as he had a great run. As for this matchup, you know it takes alot for me to fade a Brit but Arthur Fery is someone the books show alot of love to for a fraudulent run during 2025 where he beat some big names at big events but they were physically hampered opponents. I believe Fery can develop into something but development takes time. Arthur Fery has more hard court success and experience on paper but I think this matchup favours Burruchaga on paper (for me personally), in conditions like these Burruchaga will feel more at home and his ability to dicate rallies from the baseline with a superior tolerance built from grinding clay courts and his ability to push opponents back behind the baseline should really trouble Ferys game, creating what I like to call a stylistic matchup. His forehand is great, his movement is exceptional and his serve is better than most clay rats and he loves making matches gritty, which is something Fery doesn’t deal with well. Also I see Fery as a weaker server and he can allow Burruchaga into rallies more than Burruchaga will do for him. Risks revolve around Burruchaga sometimes displaying brain dead behaviour, lack of hard court experience and failure to utilise key main draw chances but i’m really hoping he gets his head out of his arse and plays to his potential because I know Burruchaga’s game is one that can adapt to hard courts easily, he just needs to make it click.

@tennismasterr Blockx struggled visibly big time yesterday against Wong. Served 54%. Saved 7/8 bp. 33 winners- 34 UE. Failed to convert 12/14bp. On the other Navone served 70%. Saved 3/5 and converted 4/8 bp. 15 winners- 21 UE. But here’s the concern: Royer had 51 UE against Navone.

Cap Cana Challenger 🇩🇴 🇦🇷 Navone @ 2.68 / +168 (bet105) - 0.75u LIKE IF TAILING! ❤️ Navone is obviously more of a clay-courter, but at this level (below the main tour) I still think he is a very competent player, and today he looks a bit undervalued — especially in these humid and challenging conditions in Cap Cana. Blockx is still a bit physically vulnerable at this stage of his career, and I think that matters today, considering he has spent more than 5.5 hours on court in the last few days and described those matches as the most physically taxing of his career. Facing an Argentine like Navone in these circumstances is a big task, especially someone who relies on extending rallies and making matches physical. I think he is worth a shot as a big underdog against a potentially leggy young Belgian.

@SopranosPicks 💰

@InvestmentAcc Rybakina looks so locked in this tournament, the way she played against Pegula was peak Rybakina

Official Wager ⚖️ 𝗪𝗧𝗔 𝗔𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻 🇺🇸 (1.5U) Andreescu/Badosa o21.5 @ -110 🍀 Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! Got to the point where the Indian Wells draws no longer hold value so I end a successful campaign there and there will be less volume from me till new tournaments are in play. It’s pretty crazy to see both Paula Badosa and Biancu Andreescu outside the top 100, both of them are former Indian Wells champions! Both of their struggles with injuries have been tough and I feel like both of these ladies have been really unfortunate in their careers but they are doing all they can to get back on track. In terms of the matchup, you’re looking at Badosas powerful and aggressive baseline game coming up against Andreescu’s all court style. In general when styles like these matchup and its two opponents or similar level it rarely ever ends dominantly for one side and momentum shifts alot. I’d have staked 2U on this but both ladies are injury prone so its best to prepare for the worst (hopefully not) The courts here also favour Andreescu slightly in my opinion and her tools but like I said Badosa has great ball striking and a good serve, I’m expecting a competitive match between two former top 3 players in the world, I have Andreescu winning in three here. Low number on the over is something I don’t mind taking.

@SopranosPicks Im throwing some at the ML too

I am not going to regret this at all so when Jack Draper beats Daniil Medvedev I will give $50 to four people who like and comment on this post.

@sasha_vice49837 @SopranosPicks @Brodie_Bets @Duelbits Can you please elaborate?

@SopranosPicks @Brodie_Bets @Duelbits Damn, I guess you don’t do any research because he hurt himself yesterday

𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲 𝐎𝐟 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐃𝐚𝐲 🎾 𝗔𝗧𝗣 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗹𝘀 🇺🇸 (1.5U) Draper ML @ 2.45 / +145 Wager Placed On @Duelbits ⚔️ 📊 7-1 Tennis Run (+9.73U) 📊 23-14 Tennis Run (+22.13U) 🍀 Hit 𝗟𝗜𝗞𝗘 if you’re tailing! I find it so hilarious how time & time again cappers run with their head up their ass to the fatigue factors. If you follow me you would know I am largely against betting against a player who is showing some fatigue as I am a firm believer in these are some of the best athletes on the planet, who don’t get tired, who have big teams to help them recover and prepare and train for these moments. Also, as someone who has supported Jack Draper through his trials and tribulations I know exactly why they are claiming he is tired. Before Jack Drapers major ascension into the top 5 last year, his main concern was his fitness, he could barely compete in back to back three set matches but he put so much effort and work into that and overcame it, before his injury we saw him comfortably compete in multiple matches a week at extremely high levels so I believe people are not giving him the credit he deserves for improving in the fitness department. If they aren’t talking about the fatigue factor they are talking about how Daniil Medvedev looks amazing in Indian Wells so far… Tabilo? Baez? The only good win is Alex Michelsen to me and he is still very inexperienced at the top of the food chain. Are you also forgetting Medvedev is a shell of his former self and is no where near as consistent as he used to be. I have seen a major overreaction here and in all honesty, I don’t care if this bet wins or loses because I am staking lightly on this but I am telling you right now I do not agree with how cappers think Medvedev will be free money. Djokovic was standing way back on Drapers serve tonight and that gives Draper an idea of what he’s in for tonight, yes Medvedev is consistent in most rallies but Medvedev is also unleashing a heap of unforced errors off his forehand in recent times, Medvedev is arguing about the balls with umpires, showing poor mentality whilst Jack Draper has one of the best mindsets in tennis and he displayed that last night. What I saw tonight from Jack Draper was a man on a mission to defend his ranking points and remain at the pinnacle of the rankings. Medvedev was one of the last guys to make it here due to war in the middle east, he hasn’t had proper prep time and has looked good at the hands of weaker opposition. Medvedev backers are paying all that juice based on the fact they “think” Draper is physically cooked and i’ve seen this scenario once too many times. You don’t beat the goat and lose to Meddy. As long as Draper can find the serve at a high rate like in the third set against Novak and as long as he can keep most points short, he has more than just a chance to win.

@SmoothManSports @SharpCircleBet Respect!

🇺🇸 #ATPIndianWells 🌵🏜️ | 5U Write Up 🎾 Imagine not getting a Write Up: 🌵 5U 🇬🇧 Jack Draper ML (+125/2.25) Apologies in advance to my @SharpCircleBet family. 👇Here's Why👇 There’s a reason Jack Draper tends to look like a monster in the desert. Indian Wells might be the single best hard-court environment in tennis for players who generate extreme spin and weight on the ball. The gritty surface grabs shots, the bounce jumps higher than most hard courts, and forehands loaded with RPM suddenly become twice as uncomfortable to deal with. With thanks to Courtside Advantage from @TennisViz, Draper’s forehand has been averaging around 3,300 RPM this week, which is an absurd number. For context, Carlos Alcaraz is at 2986 RPM. That’s the kind of ball that doesn’t just land — it kicks up and drives you backwards behind the baseline. And once Draper has you back there, the rally is already tilting in his favor. Draper isn’t grinding people down like many spin-heavy player, though. He’s hitting them backwards. The weight on his forehand forces opponents off the baseline and into defensive court positions. It’s the same reason he’s played well in the altitude of Madrid — different surface, same principle: when conditions reward heavy spin and pace, Draper’s game shows up. Indian Wells might be the pinnacle of that. You can see it across the draw this week. Players who generate heavy RPMs are thriving. Even Cam Norrie — owner of one of the spin-heaviest forehands on tour — has sort of fumbled his way into the quarterfinals largely because this surface amplifies that style of play. Across the net is a very different stylistic profile. Novak Djokovic used to be the ultimate grinder, the guy who would drag you into endless rallies until something cracked. It's actually the strategy that led to multiple titles at #TennisParadise. But his game has evolved over time. The modern version of Djokovic is more of a precision ball striker, looking to take the ball early, land the first punch with the serve, and finish points quickly with his forehand. It’s a little like Kobe Bryant evolving into that lethal high-post scorer later in his career — a generational player adapting his offense to extend his prime. That style thrives when the ball cuts cleanly through the court. And while Indian Wells has played a little quicker this year, the desert still gets the final word. Once the sun drops and temperatures settle into the 60s, the ball gets heavier and spin becomes even more valuable. Which brings us back to Draper — a lefty hammering 3,500-RPM forehands on a surface designed to amplify that exact shot. If this match turns into a battle of who can control the geometry of the court — who can push the other guy back, who can dictate the height and shape of the ball — those conditions start to tilt the equation. And in Indian Wells, that equation has been pointing toward the reigning Champion all week. Best of luck, Super Team. Trust the system; cash the slips. 🍐🍊🍌🍉🍇🍈 🍑🍍🥥🥭🍒🍓🍋🍏🍎🥑🥝🫐 #GamblingX #GamblingTwitter #tennis #tennispicks #bet105partner #atp #wta #atpchallenger #ATPIndianWells #IndianWells #TennisParadise

@TennisWiz69420 Kartal’s defensive game has been crazy good in the past 3 matches. Things are really clicking for her. She returns everything to the point where her opponents eventually get frustrated and spray UE.

Madi Keys mental ineptness is second to none. Still shocked if she loses this. Keys S2 (+150) ❌ Keys S2 (+230) ❌ Personally going in on the ML (-125) to get even or get even worse, play gets responsibly ofc

@TennisWiz69420 Meant to say Set3

@TennisWiz69420 She’s got to come back in Set 2, right? Right? Man these commentators were showering Madison keys with compliments in Set 1 you would think she won the championship already.

+230? Give me more.