

Sebastian
8.2K posts

@Itsallagame
Refining the self until I become fineness itself.



Taleb is highlighting nonlinearity in both cases: Low VO2 max is deadly (strong negative effect at the bottom), but once above average, extra points decouple from better longevity—no linear gain. Same for IQ: Very low scores strongly predict poor outcomes (can't function well). But above ~100-115, higher scores don't linearly predict more success, wealth, or achievement. Other factors (luck, grit, networks, domain-specific skills) take over. Diminishing returns kick in fast.



Calligolino Trump's trade: Gold, the new reserve currency, a flight away from US assets, up 35% ag. the dollar. I don't think anyone ever managed to destroy a country as switfly as Trump is doing it. PS- I am very very long gold/silver.



Final stage: decanting for 40 days.

